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CFTC Report: Oil positioning rebounds; VIX and Yen exposure turn more bearish
The week in one sentence: Speculative positioning turned more constructive in the week to August 18. WTI recorded the largest increase, followed by a sharp narrowing in CAD net shorts. VIX and JPY positioning moved the other way, while Gold remained the clearest crowded long despite a softer spot price.

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In-Depth Analysis

$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.

Türkiye: From currency crisis to inflation culture

The earlier Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) helped break the Lira. Today's CBRT has contained much of the direct exchange-rate pass-through, but it has not yet broken the inflationary habits the currency collapse left behind.

Cryptocurrencies

XRP extends breakout as ETF inflows, futures demand drive momentum

Ripple rises on Friday to trade above $1.40 as bulls aim for a continuation of the rally above $1.50. The remittance token is up by more than 12% on the day and over 40% since Monday, reinforcing the bullish outlook.

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: The US Treasury saves BTC

Bitcoin extends gains, trading above $77,000 on Friday after rallying over 20% and reaching its highest level since mid-May. Crypto markets continue to cheer the US Treasury’s decision to double its debt buyback operations, posting their 7th-largest liquidation event in history.

Chainlink hits seven-month highs amid strong DeFi, institutional demand

Chainlink is up roughly 8% on Friday, pushing the price up over 20% so far this week into double digits. DeFi ecosystem records daily DEX volume of over $9 billion for three consecutive days as TVL rises to $84.76 billion.

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Broker Reviews

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Stocks

Walmart shares face weakness following earnings: Were results bad?
Walmart (WMT - Free Report) delivered an overall solid release on Thursday, beating expectations on both the top and bottom lines while raising its full-year outlook. Still, shares moved sharply lower following the release as investors focused on slowing U.S. sales trends, softer near-term guidance, and the stock's elevated valuation.

Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: US Dollar falls apart, what’s next?

The US Dollar collapsed this week, helping EUR/USD reach a fresh three-month high just above the 1.1700 mark, heading into the weekly close a handful of pips below that level but still firmly up. The USD sell-off was triggered by the United States Department of the Treasury, which announced on Wednesday that it will increase the government debt repurchase size by at least double.

The Japanese Yen’s historic rescue is running out of steam
The Japanese Yen staged a spectacular 900-pip comeback after a historic US-Japan intervention. Less than three weeks later, that rescue is already showing signs of fading. The Yen is benefiting somewhat from a softer US Dollar, but its downward trend is likely to resume as the underlying pressure on the currency has not disappeared.
Bitcoin: The US Treasury saves BTC

Bitcoin extends gains, trading above $77,000 on Friday after rallying over 20% and reaching its highest level since mid-May. Crypto markets continue to cheer the US Treasury’s decision to double its debt buyback operations, posting their 7th-largest liquidation event in history.

US Dollar: The US Dollar’s new enemy is the bond market
It was not geopolitics, the US-Japan joint FX intervention to support the beleaguered Japanese currency or the omnipresent bets on what the Federal Reserve (Fed) might do in the second half of the year that kept the US Dollar (USD) well on the back foot over the past five days.