EUR/USD has already fallen sharply, but the forces pushing the pair lower are becoming increasingly interconnected. French fiscal concerns, renewed energy pressure and an uncomfortable policy dilemma for the European Central Bank (ECB) are colliding with a US economy that continues to give the Federal Reserve (Fed) little reason to turn dovish.

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In-Depth Analysis

The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?

The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.

US mortgage rates just hit a three-year high four weeks before the midterms

The S&P 500 is near all-time highs, but only a quarter of its stocks are above their 50-day average. What does that mean?

War should be bullish for Gold. Right now it's capping it

Oil is up by more than a third since the US and Israel went to war with Iran on February 28. Gold is down by about a fifth over the same stretch. The war reaches Gold through the Federal Reserve (Fed) rather than through fear. Every jump in Oil adds to the case for higher US interest rates, and higher rates make a metal that pays nothing more expensive to hold.

The US 10-year just hit a 2002 high. Does it give the US Dollar its next leg?

Scott Bessent has a plan to cut mortgage rates. It hinges on one war

Cryptocurrencies

Ripple risks losing the 50-day EMA support as exchange reserves rise

Ripple sellers are gaining ground on Thursday, as the token slips below $1.40. Sell-side pressure remains intense in the broader crypto market, as seen with leading digital assets, including Bitcoin currently below $83,000 and Ethereum, sliding below $2,600.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP extend sell-off amid ETF outflows

Bitcoin extends its decline below $83,000 on Thursday as heightened selling pressure weighs on the market. Leading altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, mirror the sector-wide pullback, with ETH dipping under $2,600 and XRP challenging support at $1.40.

Top Altcoins Price Forecast: Ripple, Cardano, Solana – Sellers in control flag further downside risk

Top altcoins, including Ripple, Cardano, and Solana, are facing near-term selling pressure, extending losses so far this week. Ripple and Solana witness reduced institutional support, while Cardano follows suit.

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Stocks

Elliott Wave view: Nikkei Futures (NKD) correction poised to attract buyers

The short‑term Elliott Wave view in Nikkei Futures shows the cycle from the July 29, 2026 low unfolding as a five‑wave diagonal. Wave 1 advanced to 69,660, followed by a corrective pullback in wave 2 that ended at 62,600. The Index then extended higher in wave 3, reaching 71,540.

Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: EU inflation outpaces US price growth as ECB, Fed meetings loom

The US Dollar (USD) had yet another positive week, appreciating sharply against most of its major rivals. The EUR/USD pair fell for a fourth consecutive week and traded as low as 1.1215, a level last seen in May 2025. As the weekend approaches, the pair hovers around 1.1280 as the US Dollar Index (DXY) eases from an over one-year high.

France’s 10-year yield hits highest since 2002: This chart shows the market losing faith

France’s bond market is sending an increasingly uncomfortable message. The country’s 10-year government bond yield climbed as high as 4.96% on Thursday, reaching its highest level since July 2002 and moving within touching distance of the psychologically important 5% threshold.

Gold: Precious metal extends slide but safe-haven flows limit losses

Bitcoin: Is BTC setting up for an Uptober rally?

Bitcoin (BTC) extends its gains, trading near $86,000 at the time of writing on Friday after closing September 6.33% up, reversing its seasonal weakness. Historical data suggest October could be a strong month for BTC, especially after a positive September.

US Dollar: Rally faces next test as inflation retakes centre stage

The US Dollar’s (USD) rally remained everything but abated, climbing for the third consecutive week and reaching levels last seen in April 2025. The move higher came on the back of a mixed performance in US Treasury yields, extending their rally in the belly and long end of the curve while losing some momentum at the short end.