The US economy grew at a 3.4% annual rate, yet Treasury yields fell and the Nasdaq ended October with its worst monthly performance since March 2025. The market is no longer rewarding capital expenditure simply because it supports growth. Investors are testing whether that expenditure can produce cash flow and returns above the cost of capital.

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Gold rebounds toward $4,000 as Iran peace hopes sink Oil, US Dollar

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In-Depth Analysis

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions

The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.

Warsh is cutting the Fed's rate meetings. Fewer decisions, bigger moves

The Fed can't fix this inflation. It's a mechanical weight, not a demand problem

What a split Congress means for the US Dollar

The United States (US) is going to the polls on Tuesday, and much is at stake. The mid-term elections mean the renovation of roughly one-third of the Senate and all 435 of the House seats. Additionally, special elections in Florida and Ohio will be held to fill the seats vacated by US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Vice President JD Vance.

European Central Bank faces 3-year-high inflation at 3.8%

Gold hits a one-year low below $4,000. Here's what the chart reveals

Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin braces for US midterm elections as historical sell-offs revive downside concerns

Bitcoin (BTC) braces for the impact of the US midterm elections, just a week after the $6 billion hack from Binance. Historically, congressional elections have negatively affected not just the president’s party but also Bitcoin.

Bitcoin slips below $78,000 amid ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) slips below $78,000 at the time of writing on Monday after posting its fourth straight weekly loss. Institutional demand shows signs of weakening, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording outflows of over $202 million last week.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP consolidate amid weak market sentiment

Bitcoin hovers above $78,000, building on the 100-day EMA support as market sentiment remains weak. Ethereum shows signs of recovery near $2,300, though upside remains technically capped.

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Stocks

NASDAQ 100 not yet in correction, but it's getting close

The NASDAQ 100 topples 3% on Friday on a wave of AI stock selling stemming from the disastrous Amazon (AMZN) and Intel (INTC) earnings reports released late Thursday. Coming off the previous session's Alphabet (GOOGL) earnings-induced slide and a horrid October, growth investors might be surprised to know that the NDX isn't yet in a correction.

Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: US President Donald Trump judgment day has come

The EUR/USD pair settled around 1.1160, down for the week and closing October with losses. The US Dollar (USD) advanced through the first half of the week but changed course after the Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy announcement, then fell further after the European Central Bank (ECB) reported the same decision. The Greenback regained some poise on Friday, as risk aversion took the lead.

European Central Bank faces 3-year-high inflation at 3.8%

The European Central Bank (ECB) faces a difficult monetary policy environment as Eurozone inflation reached 3.8% in September, its highest level in three years and almost twice the central bank's 2% target.

Gold: Bears dominate even as US yields push lower ahead of midterm election

Bitcoin: Binance security breach and hawkish Fed push BTC lower

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to weaken this week, down more than 3% and heading for its fourth straight weekly loss. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is facing a bearish outlook, fueled by a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook at the October meeting and a reported $6.3 billion hack at Binance, which is driving risk aversion and triggering heavy liquidations.

US Dollar: A hawkish Fed is no longer enough

The US Dollar (USD) managed to regain some composure, ending the week with acceptable gains after surrendering some ground following earlier two-week highs. Indeed, the US Dollar Index (DXY), at some point in the last few days, popped to as high as the 102.50 zone, just to lose some momentum soon afterwards despite keeping its weekly bullish mood well in place.