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In-Depth Analysis

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.

France's government could fall over the budget. Here's what that would actually mean for the Euro
The Euro (EUR) is trading at its lowest level since May 2025, nearly 7% below its January peak, and France's government could fall over its 2027 budget before the end of November. A French government falling hasn't moved the Euro much by itself, so the risk to price is narrower: France losing its place under the emergency safety net the European Central Bank (ECB) keeps for government bonds.

Cryptocurrencies

XRP steadies as long-term buy signals face fresh resistance

Ripple trades sideways around the pivotal $1.50 level on Tuesday. The remittance token similarly holds in a broader range with support at $1.40 and resistance at $1.60. A break on either side could set the pace and direction XRP takes in the fourth quarter of 2026.

Top Altcoins Price Forecast: Ripple in a limbo near $1.50, Cardano extends rally, and Solana faces headwinds

Ripple hovers around $1.50 on Tuesday, near the apex of a triangle pattern, suggesting an imminent breakout move. Cardano is up 3%, extending gains for the third consecutive day as bullish momentum persists. Solana edges lower for the second consecutive day.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP bulls battle to restart uptrend amid ETF outflows

Bitcoin upholds a robust bullish outlook, trading at $85,837 on Tuesday as sellers push to regain control over the trend. Altcoins, meanwhile, reflect Bitcoin’s ranging action, with Ethereum trading sideways above $2,700 and Ripple hovering around the pivotal $1.50 level.

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Stocks

S&P 500 (SPX) pushing toward fresh highs in wave ((v))

The short-term Elliott Wave view in the S&P 500 indicates that the cycle from the March 30, 2026 low remains active, unfolding as a five-swing diagonal structure. From that low, wave ((i)) concluded at 7620.9, followed by a corrective decline in wave ((ii)) which ended at 7237.85. The Index then resumed its upward trajectory, advancing in wave ((iii)) toward 7816.7.

Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: EU inflation outpaces US price growth as ECB, Fed meetings loom
The US Dollar (USD) had yet another positive week, appreciating sharply against most of its major rivals. The EUR/USD pair fell for a fourth consecutive week and traded as low as 1.1215, a level last seen in May 2025. As the weekend approaches, the pair hovers around 1.1280 as the US Dollar Index (DXY) eases from an over one-year high.
France’s 10-year yield hits highest since 2002: This chart shows the market losing faith
France’s bond market is sending an increasingly uncomfortable message. The country’s 10-year government bond yield climbed as high as 4.96% on Thursday, reaching its highest level since July 2002 and moving within touching distance of the psychologically important 5% threshold.
Bitcoin: Is BTC setting up for an Uptober rally?
Bitcoin (BTC) extends its gains, trading near $86,000 at the time of writing on Friday after closing September 6.33% up, reversing its seasonal weakness. Historical data suggest October could be a strong month for BTC, especially after a positive September.
US Dollar: Rally faces next test as inflation retakes centre stage
The US Dollar’s (USD) rally remained everything but abated, climbing for the third consecutive week and reaching levels last seen in April 2025. The move higher came on the back of a mixed performance in US Treasury yields, extending their rally in the belly and long end of the curve while losing some momentum at the short end.