The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.

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In-Depth Analysis

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

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France’s 10-year yield hits highest since 2002: This chart shows the market losing faith

France’s bond market is sending an increasingly uncomfortable message. The country’s 10-year government bond yield climbed as high as 4.96% on Thursday, reaching its highest level since July 2002 and moving within touching distance of the psychologically important 5% threshold.

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Cryptocurrencies

Ripple seeks higher support amid cooling on-chain activity and ETF demand

Ripple (XRP) is trading above $1.50 on Monday, as bulls struggle to sustain recovery. Despite the sideways price action between support at $1.45 and supply at $1.60, XRP remains supported by uptrending major moving averages and key momentum indicators.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin rally slows while Ethereum and XRP extend recovery amid slowing ETF inflows

Bitcoin is narrowly consolidating while trading above $86,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, on the other hand, show a positive outlook, with Ethereum edging higher above $2,700 while Ripple steadies above $1.52.

AI Tokens Price Prediction: Capital rotation fuels FET, VIRTUAL, and NEAR rallies

AI tokens, including Artificial Superintelligence Alliance, Virtuals Protocol, and NEAR Protocol, are leading gains over the last 24 hours. This suggests a rotation of capital from previously favored DeFi tokens into AI tokens.

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Stocks

Tesla Elliott Wave analysis: Bulls attempt to regain control

Tesla sold off aggressively in July following a disappointing earnings report, breaking below the 335 support and extending the deeper correction from the December highs. However, we still think this decline can be counted as wave C within a larger corrective structure.

Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: EU inflation outpaces US price growth as ECB, Fed meetings loom

The US Dollar (USD) had yet another positive week, appreciating sharply against most of its major rivals. The EUR/USD pair fell for a fourth consecutive week and traded as low as 1.1215, a level last seen in May 2025. As the weekend approaches, the pair hovers around 1.1280 as the US Dollar Index (DXY) eases from an over one-year high.

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Bitcoin: Is BTC setting up for an Uptober rally?

Bitcoin (BTC) extends its gains, trading near $86,000 at the time of writing on Friday after closing September 6.33% up, reversing its seasonal weakness. Historical data suggest October could be a strong month for BTC, especially after a positive September.

US Dollar: Rally faces next test as inflation retakes centre stage

The US Dollar’s (USD) rally remained everything but abated, climbing for the third consecutive week and reaching levels last seen in April 2025. The move higher came on the back of a mixed performance in US Treasury yields, extending their rally in the belly and long end of the curve while losing some momentum at the short end.