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The Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) latest dot plot, released on Wednesday, indicates that interest rates will average 3.4% by the end of 2026, in line with the September projection.
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In-Depth Analysis
The global and European economies have been resilient in recent years even accounting for the modest global slowdown of 2025. But risks for the recovery are rising, underscoring a negative medium-run global macro and credit outlook.
The latest data in China has changed little to the overall picture of a two-speed economy with domestic demand looking weak while exports and tech continue to power ahead.
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Cryptocurrencies
Pi Network (PI) edges lower by 3% at press time on Thursday, marking its fifth consecutive day of losses. A transfer of 2 million PI tokens from the liquidity reserve, part of the Pi core team wallets, bolsters the bearish sentiment.
Cardano (ADA) extends losses by 5% at press time on Thursday, following the 3% decline on the previous day and breaking the local resistance trendline. Derivatives data indicate a bearish shift in the narrative, as Open Interest and the number of active long positions decline.
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Stocks
Unilever PLC (UL), the multinational consumer goods powerhouse behind brands like Dove, Hellmann's, and Ben & Jerry's, just delivered one of those chart moments that separates the patient traders from the impulsive ones.
Weekly Forecast
EUR/USD has finally taken a breather after a pretty energetic climb. The pair broke above 1.1680 in the second half of the week, reaching its highest levels in around two months before running into some selling pressure.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) recovery gathered steam against the US Dollar (USD), driving GBP/USD to fresh five-week highs above the 1.3350 level.
Bitcoin (BTC) is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Resistance at $94,150 capped recovery on Wednesday, but in the meantime, bulls have contained downside risks above $90,000.
Despite the humble recovery seen in the latter part of the week, the US Dollar Index (DXY) remained well on the defensive, breaking below its 99.00 support to clinch new multi-week troughs. The move has also breached its critical 200-day SMA around 99.50, potentially leading to further losses in the short term.
