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The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.
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In-Depth Analysis
Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.
The ECB is entering an unusual period of transition, with several changes in its top leadership. The reshuffle comes at a time when the ECB is balancing persistent inflation risks, fragile economic growth and rising political tensions across Europe
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Cryptocurrencies
Cryptocurrencies are trading under pressure on Thursday, weighed down by risk-off sentiment driven by Middle East tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty. Bitcoin has extended its decline below $65,000 and is targeting the key support area at $60,000.
Bitcoin price action over the last few weeks has felt less like a normal, healthy correction and more like a slow grinding crash that continues to wreak havoc on holdings and trading accounts. And everything suggests that the dramatic crash isn’t over.
Hyperliquid (HYPE) and Near Protocol (NEAR) prices have dropped 11% and 17%, respectively, at press time on Thursday, erasing gains as the well-known investor Arthur Hayes dumps HYPE and NEAR holdings.
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Stocks
Broadcom (AVGO), the $2 trillion semiconductor powerhouse, shed weight afterhours on Wednesday after delivering a solid earnings report that bested Wall Street Consensus.
Weekly Forecast
The EUR/USD pair finished the last week of May at around 1.1660, barely up compared to the previous week’s close. The US Dollar shed some ground on the back of hopes, but losses were limited by persistent speculation that the Federal Reserve will have no choice but to hike interest rates before year's end.
The British Pound reversed course and posted a weekly loss against the US Dollar, with 1.3500 remaining a tough nut to crack for buyers. GBP/USD danced to the whims and fancies of fluid market conditions, thanks to the fast-shifting headlines around a potential peace deal between the United States and Iran.
Another apathetic week saw the US Dollar retreat modestly, although not by much. Geopolitics remained firmly at the centre of market attention, particularly toward the end of the week after reports emerged that the US and Iran had reportedly reached an agreement aimed at extending the current 60-day ceasefire.
