Since late June, the bond market has been pricing in a Federal Reserve (Fed) that keeps raising rates into 2027, and most US stocks have already been marked down for it. The S&P 500 hasn't, because a handful of AI-linked giants make up much of the index and their prices haven't followed the rest.

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In-Depth Analysis

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?

Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?

Stock futures just went red on the CPI. Here's what the bond market is pricing that equities haven't caught up to

Gold doesn't need a dovish Fed. It needs fiscal repression

S&P 500 earnings just hit a record. The AI data centre bill hasn't landed yet

S&P 500 companies are on track for a third straight quarter of earnings growth above 25%, according to FactSet. Their profit margin hit 17% in the April-June quarter, the highest in FactSet data going back to 2009. The cash behind those earnings has been shrinking for two years, and almost all of the shrinkage is in the handful of companies building data centres for artificial intelligence (AI).

China's rare earth leverage has an expiration date: November 10. Here's what Beijing is deciding

A historic Treasury rout is underway. Investors are buying it at record size

Cryptocurrencies

XRP upside remains capped despite Ripple-Meritz partnership in Korea

Ripple (XRP) trades in a tight range on Wednesday, with key psychological support levels at $1.30 and $1.35, while a supply-heavy upside caps the token’s recovery potential toward $1.40.

Bitcoin extends rebound above $84,000 with US CPI data in focus

Bitcoin extends its recovery on Wednesday, aiming for the $85,000 resistance. US-listed BTC spot ETFs recorded an inflow of $175.62 million on Tuesday, after a mild outflow on Monday.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP hold steady ahead of US CPI

Bitcoin (BTC) is staging a subtle recovery on Wednesday, holding above $84,000. The Crypto King remains broadly in bullish hands despite failure to break the supply cluster in the $87,000-$88,000 range.

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Stocks

Apple (AAPL) tops out? Elliott Wave says not yet

Short-term Elliott Wave analysis in Apple shows the cycle from the August 1, 2026 low unfolding as a five‑wave impulse. From that low, wave 1 ended at $322.37. A corrective decline in wave 2 followed, finishing at $309.90. The stock then advanced in wave 3, reaching $345.34. A measured pullback in wave 4 completed at $325.81, setting the stage for the next rally.

Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: US Dollar persistent demand hints at a test of 1.1000

The EUR/USD pair maintained its bearish route, edging lower for a fifth consecutive week. The pair traded as low as 1.1161 before trimming some losses, settling on Friday at around 1.1210. Financial markets were once again all about US Dollar (USD) momentum and risk aversion, with government bond yields stealing the limelight while hitting multi-decade highs.

Scott Bessent has a plan to cut mortgage rates. It hinges on one war

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's plan to lower borrowing costs has two parts. One is buying back more long-dated government bonds. The other is getting past the war with Iran; after that, he has reportedly said rates should drop. The 30-year mortgage rate is at its highest in almost three years, and the bond yield it follows has added very little for war-driven inflation.

Gold: Precious metal finds support but upside potential remains limited

Bitcoin: Uptober or Rektober?

Bitcoin (BTC) price is down over 4% so far this week, trading below $83,000 at the time of writing on Friday as mounting selling pressure threatens to derail the seasonal “Uptober” rally. Profit-taking, a surge in long liquidations and weakening demand from institutional investors are weighing on BTC.

US Dollar: December is calling, but CPI gets the final word

The US Dollar (USD) kept its bullish bias well in place for yet another week, extending its march north while revisiting an area last seen 18 months ago. The continuation of the leg higher in the buck has been underpinned by steady bets on further tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in Q4, alongside radio silence on the Middle East conflict.