USD/JPY Exchange rate


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Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD consolidates in a range above mid-0.6700s

AUD/USD consolidates in a range above mid-0.6700s

AUD/USD holds steady above mid-0.6700s during the Asian session on Tuesday. The US Dollar languishes near a three-month low touched on Monday. Apart from this, the prevalent risk-on environment, bets that the RBA could be raising interest rates again and hopes for more stimulus from China lend support to the pair.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD Monday bidding blinks as ECB rate call looms over the horizon

EUR/USD Monday bidding blinks as ECB rate call looms over the horizon

EUR/USD fell short of recent bullish momentum, pulling back sharply after a brief jump above 1.0900 to kick off the new trading week and keeping price action strung out along the top end of a descending price channel. 

EUR/USD News

Gold on its route to retest record highs at $2,450

Gold on its route to retest record highs at $2,450

Gold regains its traction and trades in positive territory slightly above $2,420 after dropping toward $2,400 at the beginning of the week. Investors await Fed Chairman Powell's appearance at the Economic Club of Washington.

Gold News

Meme coins soar in double-digit gains as PEPE, WIF, FLOKI, MOG lead the charge

Meme coins soar in double-digit gains as PEPE, WIF, FLOKI, MOG lead the charge

Meme coins are leading the crypto market again as the ripple effect of Bitcoin's recovery is flowing across major crypto categories. PEPE, WIF, FLOKI and MOG are at the forefront of the recovery, elevating their daily performance above the 20% mark on Monday.

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The Trump trade

The Trump trade

The US markets may have had a mild reaction to the assassination attempt on Donald Trump at a rally in Pennsylvania at the weekend, however, there are long term ramifications for financial markets, particularly in Europe.

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Cryptocurrencies

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USD/JPY

USD/JPY is the abbreviation for the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen cross. Trading this currency pair is known as the "gopher". The USD/JPY tends to have a positive correlation with the USD/CHF and USD/CAD, they all use the U.S. dollar as the base currency. The Yen is sensitive to factors related to Asian stock exchanges and due to the interest rate differential with other major currencies, it is also sensitive to any change affecting the so-called "Carry Trade".


HISTORICAL HIGHS AND LOWS

  • Fixed Rate: (from 1944 to 1971) After World War II, the Yen lost its value. To stabilize, the exchange rate of it was fixed at ¥360 per $1 as part of the Bretton Woods system that set an obligation for each country to adopt a monetary policy that maintained the exchange rate by tying its currency to gold.
  • Free Float Rate: When the Bretton Woods system ended in 1971, the USA terminated convertibility of the US dollar to gold. The JPY became undervalued and was allowed to float. Since then, the pair reached its highest price in January 1973 at 301.15¥/USD and its minimum in October 2011 at 72¥/USD.

USD/JPY FORECAST 2024

The Yen could receive support from the BoJ if it indicates a shift toward ending its ultra-loose monetary policy stance, potentially through a rate hike that would mark the end of seven years of negative rates. Governor Ueda and Deputy Governor Hino offered some comments about it in December. Rumors and speculations in that direction would trigger momentum for the Yen. Read more details about the forecast.


MOST INFLUENTIAL CURRENCIES FOR USD/JPY

The USD/JPY pair can also be impacted by other currencies, in particular the Euro (for being a prominent commercial partner) and the Chinese Yuan Renminbi (for being the other main Asian currency).This group also includes EUR/USD,GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY

MOST INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS FOR USD/JPY

The organizations that most impact the USD/JPY are the Federal Reserve of the United States and the Bank of Japan (BoJ).

  • About the Fed: The Federal Reserve System is the central banking system of the United States of America. It was created on December 23, 1913, with the enactment of the Federal Reserve Act, after a series of financial panics led to the desire for central control of the monetary system in order to alleviate financial crises.
  • About the BoJ: The Bank of Japan is the central bank of Japan. The bank is often called Nichigin for short. The Bank's objectives are to issue banknotes and to carry out currency and monetary control and to ensure smooth settlement of funds among banks and other financial institutions, thereby contributing to the maintenance of the stability of the financial system.

The interest rate differential between the Fed and the BoJ will affect the value of these currencies when compared to each other. For example, when the Fed intervenes in open market activities to make the USD stronger, the value of the USD/JPY cross could increase, due to a strengthening of the U.S. dollar when compared to the Japanese yen.

In Japan, deflation has been a persistent threat for many years, and the BOJ has pursued a policy of very low rates in the hopes of stimulating demand and economic growth; at various points in the 2000s, real rates in Japan were actually slightly negative.

The US Government is as well an institution of great importance for this pair: events as administration statements, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the US Dollar and the currencies traded against it. The same happens of course for the Japanese Government, in particular, all the speeches of the Primer Minister Fumio Kishida, who replaced Yoshihide Suga in October 2021.