USD/JPY Exchange rate


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Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD trades above 1.18 ahead of US retail sales

EUR/USD is trading above 1.18, off the highs. The dollar advanced along with higher yields, the ongoing fiscal impasse, and upbeat jobless claims. The focus shifts to US retail sales for July. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD trades above 1.3050 ahead of more reopening steps

GBP/USD is trading above 1.3050, off the lows. The UK is set to ease some restrictions over the weekend, extending its gradual exit from lockdown. The US dollar is taking a break after gaining and ahead of retail sales. 

GBP/USD News

Gold trades with modest losses, below $1950 level

Gold traded with a mild negative bias through the early European session and was last seen hovering near the lower end of its daily range, around the $1945 region.

Gold News

Forex Today: Three reasons for the greenback comeback, all eyes on retail sales

The US dollar has been gaining ground once again as the bond-yield pendulum swings up again. Washington's fiscal impasse, a weak bond auction, upbeat jobless claims, and Sino-American relations will make way for retail sales figures for July. 

Read more

WTI drops to $42 amid poor Chinese data led risk-aversion

WTI (futures on Nymex) has come under fresh selling pressure and attacks the $42 level, as risk-aversion seeps into the European session and diminishes the demand for the higher-yielding assets such as oil.

Oil News

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USD/JPY

USD/JPY is the abbreviation for the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen cross. Trading this currency pair is known as the "gopher". The USD/JPY tends to have a positive correlation with the USD/CHF and USD/CAD, they all use the U.S. dollar as the base currency. The Yen is sensitive to factors related to Asian stock exchanges and due to the interest rate differential with other major currencies, it is also sensitive to any change affecting the so-called "Carry Trade".


HISTORICAL HIGHS AND LOWS

  • Fixed Rate: (from 1944 to 1971) After World War II, the Yen lost its value. To stabilize, the exchange rate of it was fixed at ¥360 per $1 as part of the Bretton Woods system that set an obligation for each country to adopt a monetary policy that maintained the exchange rate by tying its currency to gold.
  • Free Float Rate: When the Bretton Woods system ended in 1971, the USA terminated convertibility of the US dollar to gold. The JPY became undervalued and was allowed to float. Since then, the pair reached its highest price in January 1973 at 301.15¥/USD and its minimum in October 2011 at 72¥/USD.

USD/JPY FORECAST 2020

In his "USDJPY Forecast 2020" published at the end of 2019, Yohay Elam states that USD/JPY price is set to continue moving in response to US-Sino trade relations in 2020 and remarks that politics will likely have a more significant role in 2020.

Read Yohay’s full article


MOST INFLUENTIAL CURRENCIES FOR USD/JPY

The USD/JPY pair can also be impacted by other currencies, in particular the Euro (for being a prominent commercial partner) and the Chinese Yuan Renminbi (for being the other main Asian currency).This group also includes EUR/USD,GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY

MOST INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS FOR USD/JPY

The organizations that most impact the USD/JPY are the Federal Reserve of the United States and the Bank of Japan (BoJ).

  • About the Fed: The Federal Reserve System is the central banking system of the United States of America. It was created on December 23, 1913, with the enactment of the Federal Reserve Act, after a series of financial panics led to the desire for central control of the monetary system in order to alleviate financial crises.
  • About the BoJ: The Bank of Japan is the central bank of Japan. The bank is often called Nichigin for short. The Bank's objectives are to issue banknotes and to carry out currency and monetary control and to ensure smooth settlement of funds among banks and other financial institutions, thereby contributing to the maintenance of the stability of the financial system.

The interest rate differential between the Fed and the BoJ will affect the value of these currencies when compared to each other. For example, when the Fed intervenes in open market activities to make the USD stronger, the value of the USD/JPY cross could increase, due to a strengthening of the U.S. dollar when compared to the Japanese yen.

In Japan, deflation has been a persistent threat for many years, and the BOJ has pursued a policy of very low rates in the hopes of stimulating demand and economic growth; at various points in the 2000s, real rates in Japan were actually slightly negative.

The US Government is as well an institution of great importance for this pair: events as administration statements, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the US Dollar and the currencies traded against it. The same happens of course for the Japanese Government, in particular, all the speeches of the Primer Minister and its so-called “Abenomics” economic policies which are based upon "three arrows" of fiscal stimulus, monetary easing and structural reforms.