US DOLLAR INDEX Forecast and News


US Dollar retreats for now while Trump remains quiet on sources over the upcoming tariff approach

The US Dollar is on the backfoot after the December Producer Price Index got released. Traders are on edge over possible comments from President-elect Donald Trump on the above headline. The US Dollar Index (DXY) dips below 110.00 and looks for support to bounce back. 

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Latest US Dollar Index Analysis


Latest US Dollar Index Analysis

Editors' picks

EUR/USD stays defensive near 1.0300 ahead of US CPI

EUR/USD stays defensive near 1.0300 ahead of US CPI

EUR/USD remains under pressure near 1.0300 in the European trading hours on Wednesday. The pair is undermined by a broadly steady US Dollar and a tepid risk sentiment ahead of the US CPI inflation data release. Dovish ECB commentary also remain a weight on the pair. 

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD recovers to 1.2200 despite softer UK inflation data

GBP/USD recovers to 1.2200 despite softer UK inflation data

GBP/USD erases losses to retake 1.2200 in the European session on Wednesday. The Pound Srerling shakes off a surprise cooldown in the UK inflation. The December UK CPI inflation fell to 2.5% YoY vs. 2.7% expected. The focus now shifts to US CPI data.

GBP/USD News
USD/JPY drops below 157.50 after BoJ Ueda's comments

USD/JPY drops below 157.50 after BoJ Ueda's comments

USD/JPY has come under renewed selling pressure and drops below 157.50 in the early European morning on Wednesday. The pair retraces from near 158.00 after BoJ Governor Ueda talks up the odds of a rate hike next week. Meanwhile, US Dollar stays subdued ahead of the crucial US CPI report. 

USD/JPY News
Gold price turns positive for the second straight day amid softer USD; US CPI in focus

Gold price turns positive for the second straight day amid softer USD; US CPI in focus

Gold price reverses an intraday dip to the $2,669 area and turns positive for the second straight day on Wednesday, though the upside seems limited ahead of the US CPI report. The US Dollar hangs near the weekly low touched in reaction to the softer US PPI on Tuesday and turns out to be a key factor lending support to the commodity. 

Gold News
WTI holds above $76.50 on new US sanctions on Russian oil exports

WTI holds above $76.50 on new US sanctions on Russian oil exports

West Texas Intermediate, the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $76.75 on Wednesday. The WTI price edges higher as new US sanctions on Russian oil exports threaten to tighten global supplies. 

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DOLLAR INDEX, USDX

The US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000).
Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time.

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE US DOLLAR INDEX

The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people:

  • Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.
  • The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index.
  • The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.”
  • US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative.

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The US Dollar Index

When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events.

A Look at the US Dollar Index

Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board.