US DOLLAR INDEX Forecast and News


US Dollar Index Price Analysis: Potential test of the 96.00 area

DXY is alternating gains with losses in the 96.60 region on Tuesday, always against the backdrop of solid risk appetite trends favouring the risk complex.

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Latest US Dollar Index Analysis


Latest US Dollar Index Analysis

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EUR/USD flirts with 1.14 amid an upbeat market mood

EUR/USD is trading around 1.14 as investors are encouraged by Moderna's progress toward a coronavirus vaccine. Uncertainty about the EU Fund and US COVID-19 cases are in play.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD advances toward 1.26 amid upbeat inflation figures

GBP/USD is trading closer to 1.26 after UK CPI beat expectations with 0.6% YoY. The pound is benefiting from British fiscal stimulus and the safe-haven dollar is down on coronavirus vaccine hoeps.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY holds steady around 107.25 on BOJ's status-quo

USD/JPY shows little reaction to the BOJ's status-quo on the monetary policy decision and downbeat quarterly outlook report. The spot also remains unfazed by the risk-on rally in the Asian equities amid coronavirus vaccine hopes. 

USD/JPY News

Gold: Bulls gather pace for further upside

Gold consolidates the recent pullback well above the $1800 mark, as the coronavirus vaccine hopes boost the equities and downs the greenback. Are gold bulls bidding up for a test of the multi-year highs?  

Gold News

WTI faces rejection at key hurdle despite decline in US inventories

WTI surrenders gains after facing rejection at key trendline hurdle. Fears that OPEC+ may ease output cuts look to be capping the upside. The black gold rose nearly 0.5% on Tuesday, as US crude inventories fell by 8.3 million barrels in the week to July 10.

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DOLLAR INDEX, USDX

The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000).
Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time.

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE DOLLAR INDEX

The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people:

  • Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.
  • The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index.
  • The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.”
  • US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative.

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The US Dollar Index

When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events.

A Look at the US Dollar Index

Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board.