US DOLLAR INDEX Forecast and News


US Dollar Index: A breach of 90.00 exposes 2021 lows at 89.20

The inability of USD-bulls to push further north of recent tops in the 91.00 region in past sessions prompted sellers to return to the markts and shifted the attention to the potential continuation of the downtrend.

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Latest US Dollar Index Analysis


Latest US Dollar Index Analysis

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EUR/USD: Fades bounce off 50-day SMA above 1.2100

EUR/USD sellers probe intraday low while defying the previous day’s U-turn from 50-day SMA. Bearish MACD, failures to keep recovery moves from the key SMA favor sellers. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD pressured towards 1.3650 amid risk-off, ahead of UK jobs

GBP/USD remains depressed, heading towards 1.3650. The cable responds to the fresh risk-off mood after flashing a two-day losing streak. UK virus data suggests an improvement in covid conditions, Health Secretary Matt Hancock gives credits to activity restriction measures.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY: Sellers elusive even as BOJ minutes sound dovish, take note of yen strength

USD/JPY quiet even as the BOJ minutes signal score for more easing. The minutes call for vigilance on the exchange rate. the BOJ minutes have failed to move the needle on the JPY pairs. The BOJ looks to have run out of ammo, making it look relatively less dovish than its US counterpart.

USD/JPY News

Gold rises 0.3%, but the market still looks indecisive

Gold still locked in Monday's indecisive price range. The yellow metal is still stuck in the indecisive price range of $1,847 to $1,868, marked by Monday's Doji candle. Worsening of risk aversion may yield a range breakdown.

Gold news

WTI eyes to regain $53.00 as vaccine news battles risk-off mood

WTI remains firm at around $52.85 during the early Asian trading on Tuesday. The energy benchmark posted the biggest gains in over a week the previous day as chatters over Iraq’s output cut joined news of a fire in a Russian refinery and dispute in Libya. 

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DOLLAR INDEX, USDX

The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000).
Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time.

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE DOLLAR INDEX

The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people:

  • Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.
  • The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index.
  • The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.”
  • US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative.

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The US Dollar Index

When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events.

A Look at the US Dollar Index

Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board.