|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Dives below 1.3000 and tests 100-DMA

  • GBP/USD falls 0.15%, decisively breaking below the 1.3000 mark and testing the 100-DMA for the first time since August 2024.
  • Momentum signals bearish control, with the RSI nearing recent lows, potentially pushing the pair toward the 1.2915/20 support zone.
  • A break below 1.2915 could lead to a test of key support at 1.2798, while resistance lies at 1.2990 and the 50-DMA at 1.3135.

The Pound Sterling extended its losses against the US Dollar for two straight days, with sellers clearing the 1.3000 figure decisively, which could pave the way for further downside. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.2961, fluctuating around the 100-day moving average (DMA), down 0.15%.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The GBP/USD is testing the 100-DMA for the first time since early August 2024. Although the pair hit a daily low of 1.2944, sellers lacked the strength to push the spot price toward the bottom trendline of an ascending channel.

Momentum shows that sellers are in charge. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is dipping towards its most recent low, which, once broken, would signal bears to exert pressure on the pair.

If GBP/USD presses toward the bottom trendline and clears the support at around 1.2915/20, the exchange rate could likely hit 1.2900. The next key support level would be the confluence of the August 15 low and the 200-DMA at 1.2798

Conversely, if buyers stepped in and push the exchange rate past 1.2990, a move toward 1.3000 is on the cards. The next major resistance is found at the 50-DMA at 1.3135.

GBP/USD Price Chart – Daily

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.08%0.11%0.09%-0.06%-0.37%-0.28%-0.08%
EUR-0.08% 0.04%0.03%-0.14%-0.47%-0.34%-0.14%
GBP-0.11%-0.04% -0.02%-0.17%-0.50%-0.39%-0.19%
JPY-0.09%-0.03%0.02% -0.14%-0.46%-0.38%-0.17%
CAD0.06%0.14%0.17%0.14% -0.31%-0.22%-0.03%
AUD0.37%0.47%0.50%0.46%0.31% 0.10%0.29%
NZD0.28%0.34%0.39%0.38%0.22%-0.10% 0.20%
CHF0.08%0.14%0.19%0.17%0.03%-0.29%-0.20% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

The week ahead: Dollar at a crossroads as CPI and ECB take centre stage
With the summer finally over, investors returned with a strong appetite for action. Following last week’s strong performance, the US dollar has taken a back seat so far this week, as oil, the yen and sovereign bond yields monopolized market interest.
CFTC report: Oil rebound offsets broader positioning retreat
The week in one sentence: Speculative positioning became more defensive in the week ending September 1. Yen short positioning recorded the largest deterioration, while Gold length also retreated. Oil buying returned alongside stronger prices, and Canadian Dollar and Euro positioning improved, although Euro flows diverged from weaker spot prices.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.