EUR/USD Exchange rate
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD advances above 1.14 after unchanged ECB, mixed US data
EUR/USD is trading above 1.14, higher after the ECB left policy unchanged and called governments to act. US retail sales beat with 7.5% while jobless claims disappointed with 1.3 million. US coronavirus figures are showing further increases in cases.
GBP/USD advances above 1.26 amid mostly upbeat US, UK data
GBP/USD is trading above 1.26, higher. The UK jobs reports showed low unemployment but also depressed wages. US retail sales beat expectations but jobless claims remain high.
Gold trades with modest losses, downside remains limited
Gold witnessed a modest intraday pullback amid a pickup in the USD demand. The prevalent risk-off mood extended some support to the safe-haven metal. A sustained break below $1800 is needed to confirm a bearish break.
Why is the crypto market falling today?
War for dominance impacts the market and heralds several days of turbulence. Fight between Bitcoin and Ethereum hurts the Altcoin segment, which is largely overbought after weeks of euphoria. Ripple is the most affected of the Top 3 and steps back into a high-risk environment.
Oil : The price action seems indecisive at these elevated levels
WTI is still in a bull trend on the chart below but at these elevated levels, it seems the price seems to be very jittery. Previously within this trend when the price moved higher the size of the bullish candles was bigger.
Majors
Cryptocurrencies
Signatures
THE MOST TRADED CURRENCY PAIR
The EUR/USD (or Euro Dollar) currency pair belongs to the group of 'Majors', a way to mention the most important pairs in the world. The popularity of Euro Dollar is due to the fact that it gathers two main economies: Europe and the United States of America. This is a widely traded currency pair where the Euro is the base currency and the US Dollar is the counter currency. Since the EUR/USD pair consists of more than half of all the trading volume worldwide in the Forex Market, it is almost impossible for a gap to appear, let alone a consequent breakaway gap in the opposite direction.
The EUR/USD reached an all time high of 1.6038 in July 2008 and a record low of 0.8231 in October 2000.
EUR/USD FORECAST 2020
In her article called “Lean times soon to turn into flush times for euro dollar” published at the end of the year 2019, Valeria Bednarik talks about the EUR/USD Forecast and explains that "the focus this time shouldn’t be put on technical readings, but in politics".
"2020 should be the year of change. Or at least, the year when things begin to change. The recent trade deals hint some relief in the trade war front, hence in growth’s concerns. Whether the economies will be able to grow or not without the trade conflict in the way, is a different story. But optimism is supposed to reign."
MOST INFLUENTIAL CURRENCIES FOR EUR/USD
The EUR/USD pair can also be impacted by other currencies, in particular GBP, CAD, JPY, CNY, and AUD. This group also includes the following currency pairs: GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY
MOST INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS FOR EUR/USD
The organization that most impact has nowadays the EUR/USD is the Federal Reserve, the central banking system of the United States of America created with the enactment of the Federal Reserve Act, after a series of financial panics led to the desire for central control of the monetary system in order to alleviate financial crises. Jerome Powell is Fed's Chair, serving in that office since February 2018.
The Board of Governors (also known as the Federal Reserve Board) is carefully observed. The board meets several times per year and announces the interest rates. If rates remain unchanged, attention turns to the tone of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) statement. Also particularly significant are the 12 Federal Reserve Banks that make up the Federal Reserve. These Federal District Reserve Districts issue their own statements and research data that give hints about the health of the US economy and might as well influence dollar-related currency pairs.
The US Government is as well an institution of great importance for the EUR/USD pair: events as administration statements, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the US Dollar and the currencies traded against it.
Not only American institutions influence the EUR/USD pair, European too of course. And the number one organization is the European Central Bank, which is the central bank for the euro and administers monetary policy within the Eurozone, comprising 19 member states of the European Union and is one of the largest monetary areas in the world. ECB's main objective is to maintain price stability for the Euro while setting and implementing the monetary policy for the Eurozone (including interest rates). It also conducts foreign exchange operations and takes care of the foreign reserves of the European System of Central Banks. Christine Lagarde is ECB's President since November 2019.