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Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD falls amid Sino-American tensions ahead of Non-Farm Payrolls

EUR/USD is trading around 1.1850, down amid a risk-off mood stemming from President Trump's move against China's TikTok and WeChat. Tension is mounting ahead of the highly uncertain Non-Farm Payrolls.

EUR/USD News

Gold consolidates near record highs, flat-lined around $2060 area ahead of NFP

Concerns about escalating US-China tensions pushed gold to fresh record highs on Friday. A goodish pickup in the USD prompted some profit-taking amid overbought conditions. 

Gold News

GBP/USD retreats amid doubts about the furlough scheme, dollar strength

GBP/USD is struggling around 1.31 as UK Chancellor Rishi Sunak said the furlough scheme that is underpinning the economy cannot last forever. The dollar is gaining ground amid geopolitical tensions ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls.

GBP/USD News

Forex Today: Dollar ticks up after Trump's TikTok move, all eyes on Non-Farm Payrolls

Trump's executive order against TikTok and WeChat has dampened the market mood and strengthened the dollar. Fiscal stimulus have made limited progress and investors are now focused on July NFP, which carries high uncertainty amid the resurgence of coronavirus. 

Read more

WTI drops 1% to $41.50 ahead of US NFP, rigs data

WTI (futures on Nymex) is on a steady decline so far this Friday, undermined by reduced demand for higher-yielding assets amid the renewed US-China tensions induced risk-aversion.

Oil News

Majors

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THE MOST TRADED CURRENCY PAIR

The EUR/USD (or Euro Dollar) currency pair belongs to the group of 'Majors', a way to mention the most important pairs in the world. The popularity of Euro Dollar is due to the fact that it gathers two main economies: Europe and the United States of America. This is a widely traded currency pair where the Euro is the base currency and the US Dollar is the counter currency. Since the EUR/USD pair consists of more than half of all the trading volume worldwide in the Forex Market, it is almost impossible for a gap to appear, let alone a consequent breakaway gap in the opposite direction.

The EUR/USD reached an all time high of 1.6038 in July 2008 and a record low of 0.8231 in October 2000.


EUR/USD FORECAST 2020

In her article called “Lean times soon to turn into flush times for euro dollar” published at the end of the year 2019, Valeria Bednarik talks about the EUR/USD Forecast and explains that "the focus this time shouldn’t be put on technical readings, but in politics".

"2020 should be the year of change. Or at least, the year when things begin to change. The recent trade deals hint some relief in the trade war front, hence in growth’s concerns. Whether the economies will be able to grow or not without the trade conflict in the way, is a different story. But optimism is supposed to reign."

Read Valeria’s full article.


MOST INFLUENTIAL CURRENCIES FOR EUR/USD

The EUR/USD pair can also be impacted by other currencies, in particular GBP, CAD, JPY, CNY, and AUD. This group also includes the following currency pairs: GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY

MOST INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS FOR EUR/USD

The organization that most impact has nowadays the EUR/USD is the Federal Reserve, the central banking system of the United States of America created with the enactment of the Federal Reserve Act, after a series of financial panics led to the desire for central control of the monetary system in order to alleviate financial crises. Jerome Powell is Fed's Chair, serving in that office since February 2018.

The Board of Governors (also known as the Federal Reserve Board) is carefully observed. The board meets several times per year and announces the interest rates. If rates remain unchanged, attention turns to the tone of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) statement. Also particularly significant are the 12 Federal Reserve Banks that make up the Federal Reserve. These Federal District Reserve Districts issue their own statements and research data that give hints about the health of the US economy and might as well influence dollar-related currency pairs.

The US Government is as well an institution of great importance for the EUR/USD pair: events as administration statements, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the US Dollar and the currencies traded against it.

Not only American institutions influence the EUR/USD pair, European too of course. And the number one organization is the European Central Bank, which is the central bank for the euro and administers monetary policy within the Eurozone, comprising 19 member states of the European Union and is one of the largest monetary areas in the world. ECB's main objective is to maintain price stability for the Euro while setting and implementing the monetary policy for the Eurozone (including interest rates). It also conducts foreign exchange operations and takes care of the foreign reserves of the European System of Central Banks. Christine Lagarde is ECB's President since November 2019.