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EUR/USD holds gains above 1.0650 amid risk-on mood

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.0650 amid risk-on mood

EUR/USD is clinging to recovery gains above 1.0650 in European trading on Monday. The pair regains lost footing, as markets remain upbeat and weigh negatively on the safe-haven US Dollar. Markets reposition ahead of key Eurozone and US data due later this week. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD: Rebound from YTD low stalls below 1.2400

GBP/USD: Rebound from YTD low stalls below 1.2400

GBP/USD attracts some dip-buyers on Monday amid a softer US Dollar but the rebound remains capped below 1.2400. Easing geopolitical tensions boosts investors’ confidence and undermines the safe-haven Greenback. A light UK and US calendar lies ahead. 

GBP/USD News

Gold returns to the red after failing above $2,400 yet again

Gold returns to the red after failing above $2,400 yet again

Gold price extends pullback as Middle East fears calm down. US Dollar weakens amid upbeat mood, despite rebounding US Treasury bond yields. Gold price targets $2,350 on a sustained break below 50-SMA at $2,370 on the 4H chart.

Gold News

XRP jumps above $0.50 as Ripple is set to file opposition brief in SEC lawsuit

XRP jumps above $0.50 as Ripple is set to file opposition brief in SEC lawsuit

XRP price climbed to a high of $0.54 on Monday, hours before Ripple files its response to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) remedies-related opening brief. 

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All eyes on Lagarde – Stock markets remain in correction/sell-on-upticksmode

All eyes on Lagarde – Stock markets remain in correction/sell-on-upticksmode

Today’s eco calendar won’t move markets with EMU April consumer confidence the sole important release. ECB President Lagarde gives a lecture at Yale university, but she’ll stick to previous comments.

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GBP/USD, THE CABLE

The GBP/USD (British Pound/U.S. Dollar) is the abbreviation for the British pound and U.S. dollar currency pair. Also called “the cable”, this cross belongs to the group of Majors. The GBP/USD tends to have a negative correlation with the USD/CHF and a positive correlation to the EUR/USD currency pairs. The Sterling is one of the four most liquid currencies in Forex and one of the reasons is the highly developed capital market. While 60% of the volume of foreign exchange are made via London, the GBP is not the most traded currency but is quite popular due to the good reputation of the UK monetary policy and a high interest rate.

The GBP/USD reached an all time high of 2.4546 in November 1980 and a record low of 1.0339 in September 2022.


GBP/USD FORECAST 2024

Setting out to analyze the GBP/USD price outlook for 2024, there are plenty of unknowns and looming uncertainties that make it difficult to convincingly predict the course of the Pound Sterling against the US Dollar (USD) in the year ahead.

On both sides of the Atlantic, increased odds of a recession, a dovish pivot in the monetary policies and general elections are foreseen as the key factors driving the GBP/USD price action next year, barring any unprecedented geopolitical risks.

Read the GBP/USD Forecast 2024 by Dhwani Mehta.


MOST INFLUENTIAL CURRENCIES FOR GBP/USD

Other currencies relate to the GBP/USD pair and can have influence on it as well: USD, EUR,CAD and YEN. This group also includes the following currency pairs: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY

MOST INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS FOR GBP/USD

The Bank of England is probably the organization that impacts the most the GBP/USD. It has a wide range of responsibilities, similar to those of most central banks around the world. It acts as the government's bank and the lender of last resort. It issues currency and, most importantly, it oversees monetary policy. Andrew Bailey is the new Governor of the Bank of England since 16 March 2020. Her Majesty the Queen has approved the appointment. He is widely and deeply respected for his leadership managing the financial crisis, developing the new regulatory frameworks, and supporting financial innovation to better serve UK households and businesses.

The US Central bank, the Federal Reserve of the United States, is also closely related to the pair. Inside that institution, the Board of Governors (also known as the Federal Reserve Board) is carefully observed. The board meets several times per year and announces the interest rates. If rates remain unchanged, attention turns to the tone of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) statement, and whether the tone is hawkish, or dovish over future developments of inflation.

The City of London includes a lot of organizations and institutions that might impact the cable, in particular the London Stock Exchange, the third-largest stock exchange in the world. The LSE allows companies to raise money, increase their profile and obtain a market valuation through a variety of routes, thus following the firms throughout the whole IPO process.

The European Central Bank also has influence on the cable due to the importance of business and trade between the UE and the UK. Any assessment of possible scenarios linked to a macroeconomic decision taken by the ECB has impact on the commercial partners of the Eurozone. The Euro is the second reference currency in the world (after the US Dollar) and any move by its central bank, the ECB, has consequences on the assessment of its partners.