GBP/USD Exchange rate
EUR/USD continues to trade in positive territory above 1.0700
EUR/USD has managed to stay in positive territory above 1.0700 despite having retreated modestly in the early American session. ECB President Lagarde reiterated that inflation in the Eurozone is projected to remain too high for too long, helping the Euro keep its footing.
Gold falls below $1,980 as US yields rebound
Gold price has turned south and dropped below $1,980 after having rallied to a fresh multi-month high of $2,010 earlier in the day. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield has turned positive on the day near 3.5% following the sharp decline seen in the European session and weighed on XAU/USD.
GBP/USD rises to fresh multi-week highs above 1.2250
GBP/USD has gathered bullish momentum and advanced to its highest level since mid-February above 1.2250 on Monday. The US Dollar struggles to find demand following a mixed opening in Wall Street and allows the pair to cling to its daily gains.
Bitcoin price primed to revisit $33,000 as global market turmoil rages on
Bitcoin (BTC) price is rallying in a full recovery story after a harsh and long crypto winter through most of 2022. It looks inevitable that BTC will soon take out $30,000 and march higher.
UBS ends Credit Suisse Crisis with $3.25 billion buyout, CS stock purchased for 0.76 CHF
CS is no more. Over the weekend the Swiss National Bank organized a buyout of the struggling bank by the only other Swiss lending giant – UBS.
GBP/USD, THE CABLE
The GBP/USD (British Pound/U.S. Dollar) is the abbreviation for the British pound and U.S. dollar currency pair. Also called “the cable”, this cross belongs to the group of Majors. The GBP/USD tends to have a negative correlation with the USD/CHF and a positive correlation to the EUR/USD currency pairs. The Sterling is one of the four most liquid currencies in Forex and one of the reasons is the highly developed capital market. While 60% of the volume of foreign exchange are made via London, the GBP is not the most traded currency but is quite popular due to the good reputation of the UK monetary policy and a high interest rate.
The GBP/USD reached an all time high of 2.4546 in November 1980 and a record low of 1.0339 in September 2022.
GBP/USD FORECAST 2023
What caused the GBP/USD Forecast downfall in 2022?
It was another down year for the GBP/USD pair but the severity of the decline was intense mainly due to the monetary policy divergence between the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and Bank of England (BoE) in the first half of 2022.
In addition, the British economy was badly hit by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine that took place in February last year. The West responded with harsh sanctions on Russia, as Moscow refused to stay quiet and cut the gas supplies to Europe and the United Kingdom among other restrictive measures.
Meanwhile, the failure of the United Kingdom (UK) political system collaborated with the collapse of the Pound Sterling against the United States Dollar (USD) in the second half of the year.
Read the GBP/USD Forecast 2023 by Dhwani Mehta.
MOST INFLUENTIAL CURRENCIES FOR GBP/USD
Other currencies relate to the GBP/USD pair and can have influence on it as well: USD, EUR,CAD and YEN. This group also includes the following currency pairs: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY
MOST INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS FOR GBP/USD
The Bank of England is probably the organization that impacts the most the GBP/USD. It has a wide range of responsibilities, similar to those of most central banks around the world. It acts as the government's bank and the lender of last resort. It issues currency and, most importantly, it oversees monetary policy. Andrew Bailey is the new Governor of the Bank of England since 16 March 2020. Her Majesty the Queen has approved the appointment. He is widely and deeply respected for his leadership managing the financial crisis, developing the new regulatory frameworks, and supporting financial innovation to better serve UK households and businesses.
The US Central bank, the Federal Reserve of the United States, is also closely related to the pair. Inside that institution, the Board of Governors (also known as the Federal Reserve Board) is carefully observed. The board meets several times per year and announces the interest rates. If rates remain unchanged, attention turns to the tone of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) statement, and whether the tone is hawkish, or dovish over future developments of inflation.
The City of London includes a lot of organizations and institutions that might impact the cable, in particular the London Stock Exchange, the third-largest stock exchange in the world. The LSE allows companies to raise money, increase their profile and obtain a market valuation through a variety of routes, thus following the firms throughout the whole IPO process.
The European Central Bank also has influence on the cable due to the importance of business and trade between the UE and the UK. Any assessment of possible scenarios linked to a macroeconomic decision taken by the ECB has impact on the commercial partners of the Eurozone. The Euro is the second reference currency in the world (after the US Dollar) and any move by its central bank, the ECB, has consequences on the assessment of its partners.