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Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD drops towards 1.0150 amid risk-aversion, ahead of US data

EUR/USD drops towards 1.0150 amid risk-aversion, ahead of US data

EUR/USD turns south after rejection at 1.0200 as risk-off flows dominate. US dollar finds demand, despite weaker yields and cautious Fed minutes. The euro looks vulnerable amid the deepening EU energy crisis and growth risks.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD: Bears tighten grips on the way to 1.1930

GBP/USD: Bears tighten grips on the way to 1.1930

GBP/USD extends the previous day’s pullback from 21-DMA as MACD teases bears. Weekly low holds the key to further downside towards May’s bottom. Previous resistance line from April appears a tough nut to crack for bears. Two-month-old resistance line, 100-DMA adds to the upside filters.

GBP/USD News

Gold eyes a daily close below 21 DMA for further downside Premium

Gold eyes a daily close below 21 DMA for further downside

Gold price is fading the early bounce this Thursday, as the US dollar is seeing renewed buying interest amid the extension of risk-off flows. Dire Chinese economic outlook combined with Fed’s caution on a potential downturn keep investors on the edge.

Gold News

Shiba Inu price to provide another opportunity before a 50% upswing

Shiba Inu price to provide another opportunity before a 50% upswing

Shiba Inu price is on the verge of triggering another run-up, but it needs to allow investors who partook in the previous rally to book profits. As a result, more market participants are likely to flock around the next support level, triggering another leg-up.

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GBP/USD, THE CABLE

The GBP/USD (British Pound/U.S. Dollar) is the abbreviation for the British pound and U.S. dollar currency pair. Also called “the cable”, this cross belongs to the group of Majors. The GBP/USD tends to have a negative correlation with the USD/CHF and a positive correlation to the EUR/USD currency pairs. The Sterling is one of the four most liquid currencies in Forex and one of the reasons is the highly developed capital market. While 60% of the volume of foreign exchange are made via London, the GBP is not the most traded currency but is quite popular due to the good reputation of the UK monetary policy and a high interest rate.

The GBP/USD reached an all time high of 2.4546 in November 1980 and a record low of 1.042 in February 1985.


GBP/USD FORECAST 2022

Number one political event in 2022 on theGBP/USD Forecast is still being Brexit.

BoE's fiscal policy and covid will be key too. These clouds are set to clear at various paces, making way for rapid changes and new challenges.

Although 2021 was still dedicated to minor Brexit issues and fighting covid, 2022 could be when the UK goes its own way. Losing “equivalence” would make the country less attractive to investments while maintaining the current status could cause trouble within the ruling Conservative Party. Investors prefer equivalence, but any doubts about it could weigh on sterling.

Read the GBP/USD Forecast 2022 by Yohay Elam.


MOST INFLUENTIAL CURRENCIES FOR GBP/USD

Other currencies relate to the GBP/USD pair and can have influence on it as well: USD, EUR,CAD and YEN. This group also includes the following currency pairs: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY

MOST INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS FOR GBP/USD

The Bank of England is probably the organization that impacts the most the GBP/USD. It has a wide range of responsibilities, similar to those of most central banks around the world. It acts as the government's bank and the lender of last resort. It issues currency and, most importantly, it oversees monetary policy. Andrew Bailey is the new Governor of the Bank of England since 16 March 2020. Her Majesty the Queen has approved the appointment. He is widely and deeply respected for his leadership managing the financial crisis, developing the new regulatory frameworks, and supporting financial innovation to better serve UK households and businesses.

The US Central bank, the Federal Reserve of the United States, is also closely related to the pair. Inside that institution, the Board of Governors (also known as the Federal Reserve Board) is carefully observed. The board meets several times per year and announces the interest rates. If rates remain unchanged, attention turns to the tone of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) statement, and whether the tone is hawkish, or dovish over future developments of inflation.

The City of London includes a lot of organizations and institutions that might impact the cable, in particular the London Stock Exchange, the third-largest stock exchange in the world. The LSE allows companies to raise money, increase their profile and obtain a market valuation through a variety of routes, thus following the firms throughout the whole IPO process.

The European Central Bank also has influence on the cable due to the importance of business and trade between the UE and the UK. Any assessment of possible scenarios linked to a macroeconomic decision taken by the ECB has impact on the commercial partners of the Eurozone. The Euro is the second reference currency in the world (after the US Dollar) and any move by its central bank, the ECB, has consequences on the assessment of its partners.