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Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD: Pressured towards 0.7800 amid US dollar bounce, China inflation eyed

AUD/USD holds lower ground after snapping three-day winning streak. Market sentiment dwindles as traders await more clues to confirm no reflation fears. China CPI, PPI for April, Second-tier Aussie data will decorate calendar, risk will be the key.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD: Bears seeking break of 2-hour support

The bears are seeking a sizeable retracement in the pair following the recent bullish spike on the daily time frame which has already started to retrace. There are prospects, at this juncture, of a retest of old support that would be expected to act as new resistance. 

EUR/USD News

XAU/USD 4-hour support is a hurdle for the bears

The price of gold is trading at $1,836.81 at the time of writing and is up on the day by some 0.30%. The bulls, however, are backing off on what could be profit-taking as the US dollar stabilises within a narrow range on Monday vs a basket of major currencies.  DXY is flat and has stuck to a 90.0420/3390 window.

Gold News

ETH soars above $4,000, as BTC and XRP struggle

Bitcoin price beginning to hint at a complex topping process. Ethereum price shakes off rising wedge pattern to test new Fibonacci extension level.

More Crypto News

UK GDP Preview: Contraction to trigger correction? Sterling set for a reality check

The UK is projected to report a 1.7% contraction in the first quarter.  Optimism about a vaccine-led recovery from the second quarter onward is baked into the price. A reminder of past weakness may trigger a much-needed correction after the big breakout.

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GBP/USD, THE CABLE

The GBP/USD (British Pound/U.S. Dollar) is the abbreviation for the British pound and U.S. dollar currency pair. Also called “the cable”, this cross belongs to the group of Majors. The GBP/USD tends to have a negative correlation with the USD/CHF and a positive correlation to the EUR/USD currency pairs. The Sterling is one of the four most liquid currencies in Forex and one of the reasons is the highly developed capital market. While 60% of the volume of foreign exchange are made via London, the GBP is not the most traded currency but is quite popular due to the good reputation of the UK monetary policy and a high interest rate.

The GBP/USD reached an all time high of 2.4546 in November 1980 and a record low of 1.042 in February 1985.


GBP/USD FORECAST 2021

The key topic on the GBP/USD Forecast is still being Brexit.

Trump, Biden's new government and covid will be key too. These clouds are set to clear at various paces, making way for rapid changes and new challenges.

Economic figures will likely be the arbiter of Brexit dampening effect, the UK’s high readiness for receiving the vaccine and other factors. The changing relationship between governments and central banks will likely be in focus.

Read the GBP/USD Forecast 2021 by Yohay Elam.


MOST INFLUENTIAL CURRENCIES FOR GBP/USD

Other currencies relate to the GBP/USD pair and can have influence on it as well: USD, EUR,CAD and YEN. This group also includes the following currency pairs: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY

MOST INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS FOR GBP/USD

The Bank of England is probably the organization that impacts the most the GBP/USD. It has a wide range of responsibilities, similar to those of most central banks around the world. It acts as the government's bank and the lender of last resort. It issues currency and, most importantly, it oversees monetary policy. Andrew Bailey is the new Governor of the Bank of England since 16 March 2020. Her Majesty the Queen has approved the appointment. He is widely and deeply respected for his leadership managing the financial crisis, developing the new regulatory frameworks, and supporting financial innovation to better serve UK households and businesses.

The US Central bank, the Federal Reserve of the United States, is also closely related to the pair. Inside that institution, the Board of Governors (also known as the Federal Reserve Board) is carefully observed. The board meets several times per year and announces the interest rates. If rates remain unchanged, attention turns to the tone of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) statement, and whether the tone is hawkish, or dovish over future developments of inflation.

The City of London includes a lot of organizations and institutions that might impact the cable, in particular the London Stock Exchange, the third-largest stock exchange in the world. The LSE allows companies to raise money, increase their profile and obtain a market valuation through a variety of routes, thus following the firms throughout the whole IPO process.

The European Central Bank also has influence on the cable due to the importance of business and trade between the UE and the UK. Any assessment of possible scenarios linked to a macroeconomic decision taken by the ECB has impact on the commercial partners of the Eurozone. The Euro is the second reference currency in the world (after the US Dollar) and any move by its central bank, the ECB, has consequences on the assessment of its partners.