Cycle Analysis

Cycle Analysis Reports

Cycle Trading: Change of Character - Revisited

Featured Market Timing Alerts

...we should see a relative sharp decline in the coming weeks. Key date: 10/07/17 +/-4 CD

October 11th and 17th are dates to watch. Both could see moves to the down side.

USD/JPY is presenting two high points around 9/28 and 10/6 then a decline with an important low around 10/23

Venus and Mars – move from a trine to Pluto to a square with Saturn, October 8-11. The pendulum swings from love to suspicion, from acceptance to interrogation[...] any market that declines into a hard Venus/Saturn aspect is a good “buy” candidate. Any lover that doesn’t return shortly after that passage is a “good-bye” candidate..

Key dates: Sept 25, Oct 5, 11

Our next two important dates are 21 September and 14 October [...]

Saturn will square the USA Neptune and oppose it's natal Mars 3 times in 2017. January, July and October. The effect of Saturn square Neptune is deflationary.

... I conclude that: The market will be higher in a year, likely by at least 15%; Most of the gains will be recorded by July; Factoring in the fact that 2017 is a year ending in 7, the next correction is likely due between July and October.

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Recent Lessons about Cycle Theories

Main Characteristics of Cycles

A cycle is a recognizable price pattern or movement that occurs with some degree of regularity in a specific time period. The analysis of cycles shows us support and resistance that represent smart places to anticipate a reaction in the price of an asset, and therefore represent a basic tool in technical analysis.. Cycle lengths are measured from trough to trough, the most stable portion of a cycle. The information you find on this page is useful to combine with Elliott wave analysis. It's also a valuable tool to understand what is happening in the different asset classes: bonds, equities, commodities and the U.S. dollar.

Amplitude: it's the distance from the horizontal axis to the extreme peak or trough (it's called the “power” of the cycle). Normally the amplitude is a function of its duration- the longer the cycle, the larger the swing. Expressed in dollars, pips, or points, it's related to volatility. Power of amplitude can be influenced greatly by exogenous, unpredictable events some of them anticipated in FXStreet's Sentiment Aggregator. Because amplitude is considered a projection problem, the most reliable projections are made strictly on periodicity and phase.

Period: it's the distance between troughs. While the amplitude appears to change quickly at times, the period appears to change more slowly. The period often remains relatively constant and is an estimate based on immediate past price history.

Phase: its used to identify the last cycle low and determine how far from the y-axis the particular cycles begins, it thus determines the offset between two cycles of different phases. It measures the time location of a wave trough and allows for the study of the relationship between different cycle lengths. Being the relationship of the starting points of different cycles, if for example, one cycle has the same period as another but its peaks and valleys are exactly opposite, it's 180º out of phase). If two cycles are identical in phase, they are coincident.

Seasonalities and Periodicities

Best hours for trading: make sure you don't miss the opportunity!

It is in general agreed that the time period between 12 pm GMT and 3 pm GMT are the most active times for traders who seek to capitalize from the largest movements in the market. The New York markets open at around 12 GMT, and trading in London closes at 3 pm, so the time period in between sees the largest amount of liquidity reaching the markets.

Other Market Timing Techniques

Cycle Indicator

The key is to locate the beginning phases of each cycle, so you can take advantage of the information obtained from the study of the distributions. One of the existing methods to locate those phases would be the study of the price ROC (Rate of Change).


Revolutionary War Cycles

The next war is likely to start in Libya and Syria (Note this article as written in 2011). The current depression began in 2007 and will continue to 2020. [...] The United Kingdom and China will be badly affected. [...] The country that will do the best out of this mess will be India.

The Gann Angles

Gann was fascinated by the relation of time (T) and price (P). Gann drew his angles from all significant price pivot point highs and lows. He used just one pivot point to draw an angle that rose (or fell) at predetermined and fixed rates of speed, as follows:...

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