FOREX INDICATOR: CONFLUENCES

Technical Confluences Indicator

EUR/USD key to a meaningful recovery is a break above 1.1444 – Confluence Detector

The EUR/USD consolidated its losses and is looking for a new direction. In order to stage a recovery and not only a dead-cat bounce, there are some hurdles to cross.

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that the 1.1444 is a convergence of potent technical lines: the Fibonacci 161.8% one-month, the Bolinger Band 4h-Middle, and the Bolinger Band one-day Lower. We also find Fibonacci 23.6% one-week just above.

A break will open the door to another resistance line close by 1.1474 which is the confluence of the Pivot Point one-month Support 2, and the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 2.

Support is at 1.1365 which is the meeting point of the recent 2018 low, the Pivot Point one-month Support 3, and the PP one-day Support 1.

Further down, there are very few support lines with one noteworthy point at 1.1326 which is the Fibonacci 161.8% one-day.

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What are the Technical Confluences?

The TCI (Technical Confluences Indicator) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

HOW TO READ THE CHART?

Confluence of technical levels

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. This means that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbours. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Color code

The tool detects and draws those price levels in which the confluences of indicators and key levels are recorded. Blank lines represent areas where the price can move without technical resistance. The levels with the highest assigned weight of resistance are drawn with the darker colour, this colour being degraded as the influence of the maximum levels decreases.

Tooltip

You can see which indicators are within each price level by placing the cursor on the level. The explanation uses a code that indicates:

Recent maximums and minimums
Round numbers. Round numbers have a psychological effect on traders, so we assign the finished price levels at 0, 00 and 000 some degree of resistance.
Short-term highs and lows
Pivot Points
Moving averages
Bollinger bands
Fibonacci retracements

HOW TO USE IT?

With the TCI tool, you can easily locate areas where the price can find a support zone or resistance zone and make trading decisions. If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points each time. If you are a medium- and long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels in which a medium / long-term trend can stop your travel and rest, where to undo positions or where to increase your position.

Bars’ length

The length of the bars of the TCI tool is determined by the weight assigned by the algorithm at each price level. The longest bar in a confluence indicates the level of the price segment where the highest level of confluence of the segment is located. In case of similar levels in the same price range, the maximum length will be assigned to that bar with more accumulated indicators.