USDJPY Forecast and News


USD/JPY trades with modest gains amid positive risk tone, modest USD uptick

USD/JPY gains traction on Friday and moves away from over a one-week low set the previous day. The Fed-BoJ policy divergence and a positive risk tone undermine the JPY and act as a tailwind. The recent hawkish remarks by Fed officials help revive the USD demand and remain supportive.

Latest JPY News


Technical Overview.

The USD/JPY pair builds on the previous day's goodish recovery move from the 131.75-131.70 area, or a one-and-half-week low and gains some positive traction on Friday. The pair maintains its bid tone through the early part of the European session and is currently placed just below mid-133.00s.


Fundamental Overview

A combination of factors undermine the Japanese yen and act as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair amid a modest pickup in the US dollar demand. The overnight sharp spike in the US Treasury bond yields widens the US-Japan rate differential, which, along with a positive risk tone, weighs on the safe-haven JPY. Apart from this, a big divergence in the monetary policy stance adopted by the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve offers additional support to the major.

In fact, the BoJ has repeatedly said that it will stick to its ultra-easy policy settings. In contrast, the recent hawkish comments by several Fed officials indicated that the US central bank remains on track to tighten its monetary policy further. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari this week backed the case for additional interest rate hikes.

That said, signs of easing inflationary pressures in the US might have forced investors to trim bets for a 75 Fed rate hike at the September policy meeting. The US CPI report on Wednesday revealed that consumer prices were unchanged in July. Furthermore, the US Producer Price Index unexpectedly fell in July for the first time in two years, suggesting that inflation may have peaked. This, in turn, raises uncertainty over the size of the next rate hike by the Fed.

Nevertheless, the US central bank is still expected to raise its benchmark interest rates by at least 50 bps in September. Adding to this, the emergence of fresh buying on Thuesday supports prospects for a further near-term appreciating move for the USD/JPY pair. Market participants now look forward to the Preliminary Michigan US Consumer Sentiment Index. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment might provide some impetus to the major.



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Editors' picks

EUR/USD extends slide toward mid-1.0200s after US data

EUR/USD extends slide toward mid-1.0200s after US data

EUR/USD continues to decline toward 1.0250 during the American trading hours on Friday. After the data published by the UOM showed that the long-run inflation outlook rose to 3% in August from 2.9% in July, the dollar gathered strength against its rivals, weighing on the pair.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD pushes lower 1.2100 on broad dollar strength

GBP/USD pushes lower 1.2100 on broad dollar strength

GBP/USD is trading deep in negative territory near 1.2100 during the American session on Friday. With the UoM's Consumer Sentiment Survey pointing to a modest increase in the long-run inflation outlook, the US Dollar Index extended its rally, reflecting a broad dollar strength.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY trades with modest gains amid positive risk tone, modest USD uptick

USD/JPY trades with modest gains amid positive risk tone, modest USD uptick

USD/JPY gains traction on Friday and moves away from over a one-week low set the previous day. The Fed-BoJ policy divergence and a positive risk tone undermine the JPY and act as a tailwind. The recent hawkish remarks by Fed officials help revive the USD demand and remain supportive.

USD/JPY News

Gold clings to modest gains above $1,790

Gold clings to modest gains above $1,790

Gold stays relatively resilient on Friday and trades modestly higher on the day above $1,790. Although the greenback continues to outperform its rivals on the latest US data, falling US Treasury bond yields help XAU/USD hold in positive territory.

Gold News

WTI eases towards $93.00 on OPEC/EIA demand forecasts, USD rebound

WTI eases towards $93.00 on OPEC/EIA demand forecasts, USD rebound

WTI crude oil prices remain sidelined at around $93.30-35 during Friday’s Asian session, pausing a two-day recovery around the weekly top. The black gold’s latest inaction could be linked to the light calendar and mixed catalysts. However, downbeat demand forecasts for 2022 by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the International Energy Agency (IEA), published on Thursday, appear to weigh on the quote.

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USDJPY YEARLY FORECAST

How could USDJPY move this year? Our experts make a USDJPY update forecasting the possible moves of the yen-dollar pair during the whole year. Don't miss our 2022 USDJPY forecast!

USDJPY FORECAST 2022

In the USDJPY Price Forecast 2022, our dedicated contributors seeing a sideways tendency. By the end of the year 2021, the average forecast for the pair is 103.2100. Read more details about the forecast.

From January 2021 to December 2021, the maximum level for the USDJPY was 115.42¥/USD (on November 24th 2021), and the minimum, 103.49¥/USD (on January 21st 2021).

MOST INFLUENTIAL POLITICAL EVENTS IN 2022 FOR USDJPY

Political measures to counter coronavirus will be in the focus of the market this 2022. The prolonged impact of the pandemic resulted in major central banks launching asset-buying and lending programs while keeping policy rates near record lows.

Following decades of substantial growth, Japan has been suffering from stagnation since the 1990's stock buble crisis, marked by low inflation, low interest rates and sluggish growth. 2022 might be a a good time to think about the role of current monetary policies and their real impact on economic developments.


Influential Institutions & People for the USDJPY

The US Dollar Japanese Yen can be seriously affected by news or the decisions taken by two main central banks:

The Federal Reserve Bank (Fed)

On the other hand we found The Federal Reserve System (Fed) wich is the central banking system of the United States. Fed has two main targets: to keep unemployment rate to their lowest possible levels and inflation around 2%. The Federal Reserve System's structure is composed of the presidentially appointed Board of Governors, partially presidentially appointed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC organizes 8 meetings in a year and reviews economic and financial conditions. Also determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth.

The Bank of Japan (BOJ)

The Bank of Japan is the central bank of Japan and it's a juridical person established based on the Bank of Japan Act, nor being a government agency either a private corporation. The most important missions of the BOJ are the following: to issue and manage banknotes, to implement monetary policy and to ensure stability of the financial system. Almost all of the decisions are taken by the Policy Board, formed by a bunch of members working to provide currency and monetary control and setting the next moves that the central bank will take.


Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell took office as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in February 2018, for a four-year term ending in February 2022. His term as a member of the Board of Governors will expire January 31, 2028. Born in Washington D.C., he received a bachelor’s degree in politics from Princeton University in 1975 and earned a law degree from Georgetown University in 1979. Powell served as an assistant secretary and as undersecretary of the Treasury under President George H.W. Bush. He also worked as a lawyer and investment banker in New York City. From 1997 through 2005, Powell was a partner at The Carlyle Group.

Haruhiko Kuroda

Haruhiko Kuroda was nominated, by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, as Governor of the Bank of Japan in March 2013. He had previously worked as President of the Asian Development Bank for 8 years. As the head of the BOJ, he has a major influence over the Japanese Yen. His words are usually followed by traders in order to find any clue of next possible trend in the currency. 

BOJ NEWS & ANALYSIS

FED NEWS & ANALYSIS


About USDJPY

The USDJPY (or US Dollar Japanese Yen) currency pair belongs to the group of 'Majors', a way to mention the most important pairs in the world. This group also includes the following currency pairs: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD and USD/CAD. Japanese Yen has a low-interest rate and is normally used in carrying trades. This is the reason why is one of the most traded currencies worldwide. In this pair, the US Dollar is the base currency and the Japanese Yen is the counter currency. The pair represents American (from the United States of America) and Japanese economies.

Trading this currency pair is also known as trading the "ninja" or the "gopher", although this last name is more frequently used when referred to the GBP/JPY currency pair. The US Dollar Japanese Yen usually has a positive correlation with the following two pairs: USD/CHF and USD/CAD. The nature of this correlation is due to the fact that both currency pairs also use the US Dollar as the base currency. The value of the pair tends to be affected when the two main central banks of each country, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve Bank (Fed), face serious interest rate differential.

Related pairs

GBP/USD

The GBP/USD (or Pound Dollar) currency pair belongs to the group of 'Majors', a way to mention the most important pairs worldwide. This group also includes the following currency pairs: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD and USD/CAD. The pair is also called 'The Cable', referring to the first Transatlantic cable that was crossing the Atlantic Ocean in order to connect Great Britain with the United States of America. This term was originated in the mid-19th century and it makes GBP/USD one of the oldest currency pairs in the world.

The popularity of the Pound Dollar is due to the fact that represents two strong economies: British and American (from the United States of America). The Cable is a closely watched and widely traded currency pair where the Pound is the base currency and the US Dollar is the counter currency. For that reason, all the macroeconomic data related to the United States and the United Kingdom affects the price of this pair. One of the events which affected most the volatility of the pound vs. dollar was Brexit.

EUR/USD

The EUR/USD (or Euro Dollar) currency pair belongs to the group of 'Majors', a way to mention the most important pairs in the world. This group also includes the following currency pairs: GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD and USD/CAD. The popularity of Euro Dollar is due to the fact that it gathers two main economies: the European and American (from United States of America) ones. This is a widely traded currency pair where the Euro is the base currency and the US Dollar is the counter currency. Since the EUR/USD pair consists of more than half of all the trading volume worldwide in the Forex Market, it is almost impossible for a gap to appear, let alone a consequent breakaway gap in the opposite direction.

Normally, the EUR/USD is very quiet during the Asian session because economic data that affects the fundamentals of those currencies is released in either the European or U.S. session. Once traders in Europe get to their desks a flurry of activity hits the tape as they start filling customer orders and jockey for positions. At noon activity slows down as traders step out for lunch and then picks back up again as the U.S. comes online.