Sentiment Aggregator
Market Sentiment - Understanding the trend and making it your friend
Market sentiment is defined as the net amount of any group of market player's optimism or pessimism reflected in any asset or market price at a particular time, a kind of collective emotion. The goal of understanding sentiment is to discern when a trend has reached an extreme point and is prone to reverse its direction.
Among sentiment indicators there is the VIX, the CoT Report, Put-Call Ratios, the Ted Spread, Mutual Funds statistics, Margin Balances and Investor Polls- such as FXStreet's weekly FX Forecast Poll.
Sentiment related content
The Forex Forecast Poll
The Forex Forecast is a currency sentiment tool that highlights our selected experts' near and medium term mood and calculates trends according to Friday's 15:00 GMT price. The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.
The CoT Report
The COT provides up-to-date information about the trend and the strength of the commitment traders have towards that trend by detailing the positioning of speculative and commercial traders in the various futures markets. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) releases a new COT report each Friday.
EUR/USD
GBP/USD
JPY/USD
CHF/USD
Educational Reports
Editors' picks
When are the BoJ Summary of Opinions and how could they affect USD/JPY?
The Bank of Japan will publish its report on Sunday at 23:50 GMT. This report includes the BOJ's projection for inflation and economic growth. USD/JPY trades on a positive note on the day in the lead up to the BoJ Summary of Opinions. The pair edges higher as the US Dollar strengthens after former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh was selected to be the next Fed chair.
EUR/USD: US Dollar recovers ahead of ECB, more Trump in the docket
The EUR/USD pair soared in the last week of January, hitting a multi-year high of 1.2082 before finally retreating and trimming most of its weekly gains to settle around the 1.1900 level. The US Dollar gapped lower on Monday, on headlines suggesting the United States intended to intervene in the Japanese Yen.
Gold falls below $4,800 as Warsh pick eases Fed independence concerns
Gold price tumbles to around $4,780 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal extends the decline after reaching historic highs last week amid signs of political stability in the United States. Traders will take more cues from the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index report later on Monday.
Week ahead: Could strong US data shift focus from Trump’s rhetoric?
Significant market moves keep investors on their toes. Trump has been the primary source of volatility, mainly when targeting the Fed. Pivotal US data releases next week as markets adjust to potential Warsh Fed nomination. RBA, BoE and ECB meet next week; decent chances of surprises across the board. Dollar/Yen prepares for February 8 elections; gold experiences its first substantial correction.
Global central banks hold steady as EMs signal easing ahead
Central banks across both G10 and emerging markets met this week, with most opting to keep policy rates unchanged. Canada, Sweden, Brazil and Chile all held rates steady. Beyond central bank decisions, the Eurozone's solid Q4 GDP growth bolstered the case for the ECB to keep policy rates unchanged next week.