EUR/USD News (Euro US Dollar)
EUR/USD: Back below 1.11 as President Trump extends shutdown through April
EUR/USD has fallen back below 1.11 amid risk aversion in stocks. US President Trump's decision to extend lockdown to counter the coronavirus outbreak is likely to cause a deeper economic slowdown. Goldman Sachs believes the economic fallout has only just begun.
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Technical Overview
Fundamental Overview
The dollar is again rising amid the risk-off tone in the Asian stocks and the US equity index futures. Investors are shunning risk despite China's rate cut, possibly due to the worsening situation in the US and President Trump's decision to extend social distancing through April, which could force large parts of the economy to shut down.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs are of the opinion that the economic fallout in the West has only just begun and another sell-off in the stock markets could be seen. As a result, the US treasuries (and the US dollar) could continue to draw haven demand in the near-term.
The offered tone may further strengthen if there is a delay in the unified fiscal response from the European Union, according to ANZ research.
The data docket is heavy on Monday with the Eurozone consumer and business sentiment indices scheduled for release along with the preliminary German Consumer Price index for March. Across the pond, the focus will be on the Pending Home Sales and the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index.
Big Picture
THEMES AFFECTING THE EUR/USD
SPECIAL WEEKLY FORECAST
EUR/USD Forecast: Corrective rebound doesn’t change the doom picture
The EUR/USD pair has staged a substantial recovery this past week, recovering toward the 1.1000 price zone after falling to 1.0635 at the beginning of the week, its lowest since April 2017.
Latest EURUSD Analysis
Editors' picks
EUR/USD: Back below 1.11 as President Trump extends shutdown through April
EUR/USD has fallen back below 1.11 amid risk aversion in stocks. US President Trump's decision to extend lockdown to counter the coronavirus outbreak is likely to cause a deeper economic slowdown. Goldman Sachs believes the economic fallout has only just begun.
GBP/USD: Off two-week high, below 1.2400, amid coronavirus crisis
With the dire warnings on the UK’s economic growth crossing wires amid expectations of a longer lockdown, GBP/USD drops below 1.2400 ahead of the London open on Monday. The surge in the virus figures and inclusion of the PM Boris Johnson recently weighed on the pair.
USD/CNH: Extends recovery gains beyond 7.1050 after PBOC rate cut
USD/CNH takes further measures after China’s central bank took steps to combat the coronavirus (COVID-19). PBOC cuts seven-day reverse repo rate, Moody’s cited weakness of China’s shadow banking industry.
Gold declines in Asia as dollar catches bid
Gold is entrenched in the negative territory in Asia as the US dollar, the shiny metal's biggest nemesis, is benefitting from the renewed risk aversion in the equity markets. China's reverse repo rate cut fails to restore risk sentiment and put a bid under the shiny metal.
USD/JPY keeps losses on 107.00 after China rate cut
USD/JPY continues to trade in the red as the rate cut by China has failed to bring cheer to the equity markets. China's rate cut and liquidity infusion have failed to put a bid under the risky assets. The Anti-risk Yen remains better bid and is keeping USD/JPY on the defensive.
Majors
Cryptocurrencies
Signatures
Influential Institutions & People for the EUR/USD
The Euro US Dollar can be seriously affected by news or the decisions taken by two main central banks:
The European Central Bank (ECB) is the central bank empowered to manage monetary policy for the Eurozone and maintain price stability, so that the euro’s purchasing power is not eroded by inflation. The ECB aims to ensure that the year-on-year increase in consumer prices is less than, but close to 2% over the medium term. Another of its tasks is one of controlling the money supply. The European Central Bank’s work is organized via the following decision-making bodies: the Executive Board, the Governing Council and the General Council. Christine Lagarde is the President of this organism.
ECB Official Website, on Twitter and YouTube
On the other
FED Official Website, on Twitter and Facebook
Christine Lagarde
Christine Lagarde was born in 1956 in Paris, France. Graduated from Paris West University Nanterre La Défense and became President of the European Central Bank in November 1st 2019. Prior to that, she served as Chairman and Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund between 2011 and 2019. Lagarde previously held various senior ministerial posts in the Government of France: she was Minister of the Economy, Finance and Industry (2007–2011), Minister of Agriculture and Fishing (2007) and Minister of Commerce (2005–2007).
Lagarde on ECB'S Profile and Wikipedia
Jerome Powell
Jerome Powell took office as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in February 2018, for a four-year term ending in February 2022. His term as a member of the Board of Governors will expire January 31, 2028. Born in Washington D.C., he received a bachelor’s degree in politics from Princeton University in 1975 and earned a law degree from Georgetown University in 1979. Powell served as an assistant secretary and as undersecretary of the Treasury under President George H.W. Bush. He also worked as a lawyer and investment banker in New York City. From 1997 through 2005, Powell was a partner at The Carlyle Group.
Jerome Powell Fed's Profile and Wikipedia
ECB NEWS & ANALYSIS
FED NEWS & ANALYSIS
About EUR/USD
The EUR/USD (or Euro Dollar) currency pair belongs to the group of 'Majors', a way to mention the most important pairs in the world. This group also includes the following currency pairs: GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD and USD/CAD. The popularity is due to the fact that it gathers two main economies: the European and American (from United States of America) ones. This is a widely traded currency pair where the Euro is the base currency and the US Dollar is the counter currency. Since the EUR/USD pair consists of more than half of all the trading volume worldwide in the Forex Market, it is almost impossible for a gap to appear, let alone a consequent breakaway gap in the opposite direction.
Normally, it is very quiet during the Asian session because economic data that affects the fundamentals of those currencies is released in either the European or U.S. session. Once traders in Europe get to their desks a flurry of activity hits the tape as they start filling customer orders and jockey for positions. At noon activity slows down as traders step out for lunch and then picks back up again as the U.S. comes online. If there is important U.S. data we can expect quiet markets just ahead of the number. U.S. economic news have the ability to either reinforce an existing trend or reverse it depending on by how much it missed or beat expectations with the EUR/USD news. By 5:00 GMT liquidity leaves the market once again as European traders close out positions and head home.
Related pairs
GBP/USD
The GBP/USD (or Pound Dollar) currency pair belongs to the group of 'Majors', a way to mention the most important pairs worldwide. This group also includes the following currency pairs: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD and USD/CAD. The pair is also called 'The Cable', reffering to the first Transatlantic cable that was crossing the Atlantic Ocean in order to connect Great Britain with the United States of America. This term was originated in the mid-19th century and it makes GBP/USD one of the oldest currency pairs in the world.
The popularity of the Pound Dollar is due to the fact that represents two strong economies: British and American (from United States of America). The Cable is a widely observed and traded currency pair where the Pound is the base currency and the US Dollar is the counter currency. After the result of the Brexit referendum, where the majority of the British voted to abandon the European Union, GBP/USD has been suffering some turbulence in the Forex market as a consequence of the associated risks of leaving the single market.
USD/JPY
The USD/JPY (or US Dollar Japanese Yen) currency pair is one of the 'Majors', the most important pairs in the world. Japanese Yen has a low interest rate, normally used in carry trades, that's why is one of the most trades currencies worldwide. In the USD/JPY the US Dollar is the base currency and the Japanese Yen is the counter currency. The pair represents American (from United States of America) and Japanese economies.
Trading the USD/JPY currency pair is also known as trading the "ninja" or the "gopher", although this last name is more frequently used when reffered to the GBP/JPY currency pair. The US Dollar Japanese Yen usually has a positive correlation with the following two pairs: USD/CHF and USD/CAD. The nature of this correlation is dued to the fact that both currency pairs also use the US Dollar as the base currency, such as USD/JPY. The value of the pair tends to be affected when the two main central banks of each country, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve Bank (Fed), face serious interest rate differential.