Trading with Elliott Waves
Back in 1934, Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered that price action displayed on charts, instead of behaving in a somewhat chaotic manner, had actually an intrinsic narrative attached. Elliot saw the same patterns formed in repetitive cycles. These cycles were reflecting the predominant emotions of investors and traders in upward and downward swings. These movements were divided into what he called "waves". Elliott adopts the 3 impulses and 2 corrections of the Dow Theory, but achieves a higher precision. Elliot was in fact describing the fractal nature of financial markets 50 years before the term was used to describe it.
The primary objective to the trader, and the aim of this dedicated page, is to identify the presence of the most destructive and thereby profitable wave formations, be they a third wave or a C wave. In case of the Forex market, some authors sustain that many times wave 5 is the longest.
Note that many analysts combine these principles with the Fibonacci ratios and other support and resistance levels in order to measure the potential of each price move including their probable time duration.
Wave Counts Traders are following now
Finding the Sweet Spot with Elliott Waves
The point in using the rules and guidelines of the Elliott Wave Theory is to know where in the overall structure is the market right now, and what portion of that motion are they most likely to capture. Traders using waves are recognized by having their preferred wave pattern, their sweet spot so to speak, that frees them from having to keep a full account of the waves in all time frames.
Although the variability of forms represents a real challenge for any Elliott's apprentice, it is important to distinguish between an impulsive and corrective wave. And here lies another big lesson from Elliott: in recognizing that the market spends much more time in corrective mode than in impulse mode, and that periods of correction can be very complex in terms of price action.
In the midst of a corrective pattern, it is common that patience is exhausted while waiting for confirmation of a trend change. So we must give corrective patterns the time to unfold before wading into the market. This requires discipline and a solid understanding of the variety of ways in which corrective patterns can be deployed.
USDCHF has made a big pullback since end of 2015 that we see it as a corrective and temporary decline.
The GBP/USD continues to build a triangle formation within the wave 4 (green) correction as the Cable breaks above resistance (dotted red). The Fib levels are expected to act as resistance.
Learn more about Elliott Waves
Peter Kendall of Elliot Wave International joins John O’Donnell and Merlin Rothfeld for the Weekend Edition of Power Trading Radio to talk about Elliot Wave principles. These waves not only impact the financial markets, but can be applied to social elements like Music, Art, Movies and more. This discussion of Socionomics looks at how these trends are working now and how they may drive markets going forward.
It is ingrained in most of our belief systems that we are competing with the rest of the world. In some extreme cases we might even tend to see big market participants or even broker-dealers conspiring against the little traders. Here’s where the wave principles can help change this kind of thinking...