Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in the US rose by 199,000 in November, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Friday. This reading came in above the market expectation of 180,000.
Forex analysis is how traders assess the next moves a currency pair is about to take, providing insights for taking a position. For this reason it is an essential tool for traders to make the best decisions in their daily trading routine, based on the fundamental and technical aspects of an asset. Fundamental analysis is based on the countries' economic situation, future prospects, and primarily what central banks plan to do with interest rates. Technical analysis focuses on previous price action, the repeat of well-known chart patterns, and other factors.
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GBP/USD recovered toward 1.2550 after coming in within a touching distance of 1.2500 in the second half of the day after Nonfarm Payrolls came in at 199,000 for November. Despite the recent rebound, the pair remains on track to snap a three-week winning streak.
Gold broke below its daily range and declined toward $2,010 with the immediate reaction to the upbeat US November jobs report. Although XAU/USD managed to recover toward $2,020, rising US Treasury bond yields triggered another leg lower.
Despite more recent weakness in the oil market, a tight balance in the second half of next year should see prices trade higher. Meanwhile, we expect Europe to end the 2023/24 winter with comfortable gas storage.
At the recent FOMC press conference, Fed Powell said that the economy has “been able to achieve pretty significant progress on inflation without seeing the kind of increase in unemployment that has been very typical of rate hiking cycles like this one”.
Despite the 525 bps of rate hikes that the Federal Open Market Committee has implemented since March 2022, the U.S. economy generally remains resilient due, in large part, to continued strength in consumer spending.
The DJIA looks like it might end its five-week streak of gains this week as the index drifted lower during the first three sessions through Wednesday. The DJIA gained 0.17% on Thursday and would only eke out another weekly gain if it rallies intensely on Friday.
"A cycle is a recognizable price pattern or movement that occurs with regularity in a specific time period"
"Advisory Opinion, comprised of arguments and trade ideas which have been committed to publication and therefore have an influence on the trading public, are considered a sentiment indicator."
"Have you ever read news updates mentioning Elliott Wave yet you don’t have a clue what these mean for the Forex?"
"Support and Resistance Lines conform the most basic analytical tools and are commonly used as visual markers to trace levels where the price..."
What are the types of Forex Analysis?
There are innumerable ways to analyze the Forex market, but its goal is the same: trying to predict where the price is headed next. The most popular types of forex analysis are:
- Technical analysis
- Fundamental analysis
- Sentiment analysis
What indicator is best for Forex?
There are several indicators key to trade the forex market, and all of them are a great tool for the trader to forecast where the price can go next.
There are indicators of sentiment, trend, volume, etc. Their value will depend on the strategy the trader is trying to follow and its risk management rules.
How do you analyze trends in Forex?
Detecting directional movements is critical. At the end, an FX trader needs to determine and anticipate such a move, or trend, to make profits.
There are multiple tools that can be used to achieve the goal, such as trend lines, supports, resistances, technical indicators, and even pure observation of the price behaviour on the forex chart.
It’s important to take into account that fundamental analysis is as important as the technical one. Using both the trader could better forecast the trend to maximize the benefits and limit the losses trading Forex.
How do I create a Forex Strategy?
The best strategy for one person could be the worst one for others. There are several questions that need to be answered ahead of defining it. How many hours can I dedicate to FX? What is my risk tolerance? These among the most relevant questions.
A forex strategy is a combination of tools that should result in a positive balance in a certain period of time. During the creation of a strategy, flexibility and imagination are very important values. Once the strategy is created, discipline is one of the greatest virtues.
How can beginners start trading forex?
Every learning process is evolutionary and requires the right steps to be followed in order to obtain knowledge and develop skills.
For new traders, it is advisable to work with simple but very powerful tools, such as trend lines, support and resistance or Japanese candlesticks.
It is advisable to start working on simple patterns, such as triangular figures, rectangles or reversal patterns. These types of layouts are easier to manage and the novice trader will learn to manage positions without large ranges that increase risks.
Educate yourself. Knowing the tools, and learning to use it is critical. As in any other professional career, learning before practicing is the key to success. Recognizing strengths and weaknesses is also a critical part of this process.
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