FOMC Interest rate decision (FED) | News & Analysis


Powell's dovish words put the US Dollar in selling mode

LATEST FED MEASURES TO BATTLE INFLATION

Fed's Barr: Inflation is far too high

"Fed is quite focused on bringing inflation down to 2%", "we've moved quickly this year to restrictive territory", "we are now at a point where we can pay more attention to the rate we are getting to, less on pace" and "we may shift to slower pace of rate increases at next meeting" are some other key comments form the Federal Reserve’s vice chair of supervision, Michael Barr.

Fed's Williams: Fed has a ways to go on rates

The New York Fed’s John Williams who recently said that he predicts a time, “probably 2024”, when the Fed will lower the federal funds rate, has today said on Fox News that the Fed has a ways to go on rate hikes.

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FED Latest Analysis


October Fed decision review

Breaking: Fed hikes policy rate by 75 bps to 3.75-4% as expected

The US Fed on Wednesday announced that it raised the policy rate, federal funds rate, by 75 bps to the range of 3.75-4% following the November monetary policy meeting. This decision came in line with the market expectation. The dollar came under renewed selling pressure and the US Dollar Index declined below 111.00 with the initial reaction.


August Fed decision review


July Fed decision review


June Fed decision review

Breaking: Fed lifts interest rates by 75 bps to 1.50-1.75%, as expected

The US Federal Reserve on Wednesday announced that it had lifted interest rates by 75 bps to 1.50-1.75%, as expected. The vote split was 10 to one, with Esther George favouring a 50 bps rate hike. The US central bank said in its statement that it anticipates ongoing increases to interest rates to be appropriate, noting that it is strongly committed to returning inflation to 2.0%.



April Fed decision review

Breaking: Fed hikes by 50 bps, begins balance sheet reduction from June

The US Federal Reserve announced on Wednesday that the FOMC had agreed to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to 0.75% to 1%, in line with expectations. The Fed further noted that it will begin trimming the balance sheet on June 1, starting with a $47.5 billion cap on monthly runoff and rising to $95 billion monthly after three months.

Fed Quick Analysis: Powell deals three blows to the dollar, but there is no alternative to the king Premium

The Federal Reserve has lifted its leg from the hawkishness pedal – but remains en route to "expeditious" tightening, which is set to keep the dollar bid. After a series of hawkish comments on the impact of inflation – and kicking off the presser by talking directly to the American people – Fed Powell sent the dollar higher. But, traders want to know what's next.

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AMC stock is up 3.4% in Friday's premarket just a day after authorities halted trading due to unusual volatility. Thursday saw options volume three times higher than the 20-day average.

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Gold retreats below $1,790 as US yields surge on US NFP

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Gold price turned south and dropped below $1,790 in the early American session. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield is up more than 2% on the day near 3.6% after the bigger-than-expected November job growth, weighing heavily on XAU/USD.

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FTX exchange collapse, loss of $3.1 billion could have been avoided on one condition

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Big Picture

What's important about Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting?

With a pre-set regularity, a nation's Central Bank has an economic policy meeting, in which board members took different measures, the most relevant one, being the interest rate that it will charge on loans and advances to commercial banks.

In the US, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (FED) meets at intervals of five to eight weeks, in which they announce their latest decisions. A rate hike tends to boost the local currency, as it is understood as a sign of a healthy inflation. A rate cut, on the other hand, is seen as a sign of economic and inflationary woes and, therefore, tends to weaken the local currency.

If rates remain unchanged, attention and also main news and analysis turn to the tone of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) statement, and whether the tone is hawkish, or dovish over future developments of inflation.

What is the Fed?

The Federal Reserve System (Fed) is the central banking system of the United States and it has two main targets or reasons to be: one is to keep unemployment rate to their lowest possible levels and the other one, to keep inflation around 2%. The Federal Reserve System's structure is composed of the presidentially appointed Board of Governors, partially presidentially appointed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC organizes 8 meetings in a year and reviews economic and financial conditions. Also determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. FOMC Minutes are released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve and are a clear guide to the future US interest rate policy.

How to trade the event?

  • Do not rely on the Fed to determine the direction of the dollar in the coming months.
  • The dollar tends to follow its predominant trend when the Fed starts to hike rates.
  • There is no direct link between the Fed hiking rates and the usd falling. When a weak usd has coincided with a Fed hiking cycle, it has been falling for some time.
  • Due to this, we may see a muted reaction to a potential Fed rate hike.

WHO IS FOMC'S CHAIRMAN?

Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell Jerome Powell took office as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in February 2018, for a four-year term ending in February 2022. His term as a member of the Board of Governors will expire January 31, 2028. Born in Washington D.C., he received a bachelor’s degree in politics from Princeton University in 1975 and earned a law degree from Georgetown University in 1979. Powell served as an assistant secretary and as undersecretary of the Treasury under President George H.W. Bush. He also worked as a lawyer and investment banker in New York City. From 1997 through 2005, Powell was a partner at The Carlyle Group.


The World Interest Rates Table

The World Interest Rates Table reflects the current interest rates of the main countries around the world, set by their respective Central Banks. Rates typically reflect the health of individual economies, as in a perfect scenario, Central Banks tend to rise rates when the economy is growing and therefore instigate inflation.

FED educational resources