XAU/USD Exchange rate
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD bulls pause for a breather ahead of the US PCE Price Index
AUD/USD holds above 0.6600 in Friday’s Asian session, remaining close to yesterday's two-month high. Divergent RBA-Fed policy expectations support spot prices amid a broadly weaker US Dollar. However, bulls are pausing ahead of today’s key US PCE Price Index. Still, spot prices remain on track to register strong gains for the second consecutive week.
USD/JPY stays pressured near 155.00 on Fed-BoJ policy divergence
USD/JPY remains weak near 155.00 in the Asian session on Friday. The pair faces headwinds from expectations of the Fed-BoJ monetary policy divergence, which outweighs the fall in Japanese Household Spending in October. All eyes are on the delayed US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data for September later on Friday.
Gold flat lines near $4,200 ahead of US PCE inflation release
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,205 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. Rising US Treasury yields and upbeat US jobs data cap upside for the precious metal. Traders might prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US inflation data. The US delayed the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index report for September, which will be published later on Friday.
XRP slides amid record on-chain activity, mixed technical signals
Ripple (XRP) is trading under pressure at the time of writing on Thursday, after bulls failed to break the short-term resistance at $2.22. The reversal may extend toward Monday’s low of $1.98, especially if risk-off sentiment persists in the broader cryptocurrency market.
Why the Fed may cut rates in December: Understanding the policy shift
The Fed has gone through a noticeable policy swing in recent months - from initiating a rate cut, to signaling a potential pause, and now shifting once again toward another cut in December. This has created understandable confusion among traders and investors trying to interpret the Fed’s reaction function.
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XAU/USD, GOLD
In the Forex market, Gold functions as a currency. The particularity of Gold is
that it is traded against the United States Dollar (USD), with the internationally accepted code for gold
being XAU. Known as a safe-haven asset, Gold is expected to appreciate in periods of market volatility and
economic uncertainty. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating
currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.
The XAU/USD pair tells the trader
how many US Dollars are needed to purchase one troy ounce of Gold.
HISTORIC HIGHS AND LOWS FOR XAU/USD
- All-time records: Max: $2,790.11 on 25/10/2024 – Min: $34.78 on 27/01/1970
- Last 5 years: Max: $2,790.11 on 25/10/2024 – Min: $1,451.32 on 13/03/2020
* Data as of December 2024
XAU/USD 2025 FORECAST
In the XAU/USD 2025 Forecast, FXStreet analyst Eren Sengezer suggests Gold’s 2025 outlook depends on Federal Reserve (Fed) policy, Donald Trump’s decisions and geopolitics. A bearish scenario could unfold if geopolitical tensions ease, inflation remains persistent and United States-China trade tensions weaken China’s economy, reducing Gold demand. A hawkish Fed could also pressure prices.
On the bullish side, continued global policy easing, a recovering Chinese economy or escalating geopolitical conflicts could boost safe-haven flows into Gold, supporting its resilience and pushing prices higher.
Gold's technical outlook suggests weakening bullish momentum, with the RSI at its lowest since February and XAU/USD. Key support lies at $2,530-$2,500, with further declines potentially targeting $2,400 and $2,300. On the upside, resistance at $2,900 could limit gains, with additional barriers at $3,000-$3,020 and $3,130 if Gold attempts a new record high.
ASSETS THAT INFLUENCE XAU/USD THE MOST
- Currencies: The US Dollar (USD) and the Euro (EUR) are the primary currencies influencing Gold prices. Other important currency pairs include EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD, and USD/CAD.
- Commodities: Silver and Gold are the most important precious metal commodities.
- Bonds: Influential fixed-income securities include the German Bund (a federal government-issued bond) and the US Treasury Note (T-Note).
- Indices: Key indices related to Gold and mining include the HUI (NYSE Arca Gold BUGS), the XAU (Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index) and the GDM (NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index).
- Exchanges: The most important stock exchanges for Gold are the New York Mercantile Exchange (COMEX), the Chicago Board of Trade, the Euronext/LIFFE, the London Bullion Market, the Tokyo Commodity Exchange, the Bolsa der Mercadorias e Futuros and the Korea Futures Exchange.
INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS FOR THE XAU/USD
- WGC (World Gold Council) is the market development organization for the Gold industry. Its aim is to stimulate and sustain demand for the precious metal.
- LBMA (London Bullion Market Association) is an organization whose members participate in this wholesale over-the-counter market for trading Gold and Silver. It is loosely overseen by the Bank of England. Most LBMA members are major international banks, bullion dealers, and refiners.
- COMEX (Commodity Exchange) is the primary market for trading metals. The COMEX merged with the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) in 1994 and joined the CME Group in 2008.
- CGSE (Chinese Gold and Silver Exchange Society). It is an organization of Gold trading firms in Hong Kong that are participants of the Chinese Gold and Silver Exchange, the first exchange in Hong Kong.
- Central banks like the Federal Reserve (Fed), the European Central Bank (ECB) or the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) significantly influence Gold prices through their monetary policies.
INFLUENTIAL PEOPLE FOR THE XAU/USD
- Neal Froneman, the World Gold Council’s Chairman.
- Scott Bessent, the US Treasury Secretary.
- Xi Jinping, President of the People's Republic of China.
- The London Bullion Market Association members.
CIRCUMSTANCES THAT INFLUENCE XAU/USD THE MOST
- Demand and supply: The balance between global Gold demand and its availability impacts its price.
- Economic uncertainty and currency devaluation: Gold is widely known as a safe-haven asset for investors in periods of economic uncertainty or when a currency faces devaluation.
- Practical applications: The use of Gold in technology innovations, jewelry manufacturing and other industrial applications.