EUR/USD Forecast: The next target emerges at the 200-day SMA Premium
The renewed downside momentum of the US Dollar (USD) prompted a decent reaction in EUR/USD on Thursday, extending the recent recovery to the 1.0740 region, or two-week tops.
Forex analysis is how traders assess the next moves a currency pair is about to take, providing insights for taking a position. For this reason it is an essential tool for traders to make the best decisions in their daily trading routine, based on the fundamental and technical aspects of an asset. Fundamental analysis is based on the countries' economic situation, future prospects, and primarily what central banks plan to do with interest rates. Technical analysis focuses on previous price action, the repeat of well-known chart patterns, and other factors.
The renewed downside momentum of the US Dollar (USD) prompted a decent reaction in EUR/USD on Thursday, extending the recent recovery to the 1.0740 region, or two-week tops.
GBP/USD reversed its direction and recovered to 1.2500 after falling to the 1.2450 area earlier in the day. Although markets remain risk-averse, the US Dollar struggles to find demand following the disappointing GDP data.
Gold fell below $2,320 in the early American session as US yields shot higher after the data showed a significant increase in the US GDP price deflator in Q1. With safe-haven flows dominating the markets, however, XAU/USD reversed its direction and rose above $2,340.
Broker promotions
In the US, the latest Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia paints a rather upbeat picture of the economic outlook. A similar survey of the ECB points towards a gradual pickup in growth this year.
There is a construction boom underway that is quietly transforming the production capabilities and other aspects of the US economy. The fastest-growing category within nonresidential construction in recent years has been manufacturing.
Recently an agreement has been reached between representatives of the European Council, the European Parliament, and the European Commission on a new economic governance framework.
It is hard to imagine a company enduring worse headlines last quarter than Boeing (NYSE:BA), but the embattled airplane manufacturer posted some unexpectedly positive news on Wednesday in the form of a decent earnings report.
"A cycle is a recognizable price pattern or movement that occurs with regularity in a specific time period"
"Advisory Opinion, comprised of arguments and trade ideas which have been committed to publication and therefore have an influence on the trading public, are considered a sentiment indicator."
"Have you ever read news updates mentioning Elliott Wave yet you don’t have a clue what these mean for the Forex?"
"Support and Resistance Lines conform the most basic analytical tools and are commonly used as visual markers to trace levels where the price..."
There are innumerable ways to analyze the Forex market, but its goal is the same: trying to predict where the price is headed next. The most popular types of forex analysis are:
There are several indicators key to trade the forex market, and all of them are a great tool for the trader to forecast where the price can go next.
There are indicators of sentiment, trend, volume, etc. Their value will depend on the strategy the trader is trying to follow and its risk management rules.
Detecting directional movements is critical. At the end, an FX trader needs to determine and anticipate such a move, or trend, to make profits.
There are multiple tools that can be used to achieve the goal, such as trend lines, supports, resistances, technical indicators, and even pure observation of the price behaviour on the forex chart.
It’s important to take into account that fundamental analysis is as important as the technical one. Using both the trader could better forecast the trend to maximize the benefits and limit the losses trading Forex.
The best strategy for one person could be the worst one for others. There are several questions that need to be answered ahead of defining it. How many hours can I dedicate to FX? What is my risk tolerance? These among the most relevant questions.
A forex strategy is a combination of tools that should result in a positive balance in a certain period of time. During the creation of a strategy, flexibility and imagination are very important values. Once the strategy is created, discipline is one of the greatest virtues.
Every learning process is evolutionary and requires the right steps to be followed in order to obtain knowledge and develop skills.
For new traders, it is advisable to work with simple but very powerful tools, such as trend lines, support and resistance or Japanese candlesticks.
It is advisable to start working on simple patterns, such as triangular figures, rectangles or reversal patterns. These types of layouts are easier to manage and the novice trader will learn to manage positions without large ranges that increase risks.
Educate yourself. Knowing the tools, and learning to use it is critical. As in any other professional career, learning before practicing is the key to success. Recognizing strengths and weaknesses is also a critical part of this process.
There are multiple providers of forex signals send traders positions that are ready to be traded out of box. FXStreet has its own signals service with experts at different markets. In the FXS Signals service, you will have access to multiple trading signals, both algorithmic and executed by our team of expert analysts. Automated strategies are presented in a transparent manner and the technical fundamentals on which the strategy is built are provided. Manual strategies executed by FXS experts are always explained with a didactic objective. Tthat allows the user of the FXS service to not only execute the trade with understanding, but also to make their own decisions in the future.