EUR/USD falls below 1.1300 as dollar keeps its strength ahead of Fed

EUR/USD is trading in the negative territory below 1.1300 on Wednesday as markets wait for the FOMC to announce its policy decisions following its two-day meeting. The US Dollar Index holds above 96.00 ahead of the American session, supported by the modest recovery seen in US Treasury bond yields. 

EUR/USD News

Joseph Trevisani
Valeria Bednarik

Fed to offer insights into tightening path

The Fed looks to find the right balance between keeping inflation under control and reassuring markets that they will continue to support the economy in the face of a global slowdown. Our experts will analyze the market reaction to the event from 18:30 GMT. Join us here!

GBP/USD holds above 1.3500 for now on improving sentiment

GBP/USD is posting modest daily gains above 1.3500, supported by the positive shift seen in market sentiment. The UK's FTSE 100 Index is rising more than 1.5% and S&P Futures are up 2.4% ahead of the Fed's policy announcements. 

GBP/USD News

Gold on the defensive below $1,850, focus remains on FOMC

A combination of factors dragged gold away from over two-month high touched on Tuesday. A recovery in the risk sentiment, Fed rate hike bets acted as a headwind for the commodity.

Gold News

Dogecoin short squeeze will launch DOGE to $0.25

Dogecoin price has been on a wild ride over the past few weeks. After gaining more than 50% between January 11 and January 15, DOGE dropped a further 44% to print new nine-month lows. 

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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Preview: No surprises for a 25bps rate hike Premium

BOC to keep the overnight rate steady at 0.25% at its first policy meeting of 2022. A surprise 25-bps rate hike cannot be ruled out amid hotter Canadian inflation, labor market. 

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When the facts change: US Inflation becomes the dominant economic topic Premium

Consumer prices rocketed at the fastest rate in almost four decades in November, with gains in necessities from food and gasoline to shelter and cars, leaving little place to protect the family budget. Fed officials have abandoned their claim that US inflation is a temporary phenomenon.

FXS Signals

Technical Confluences Detector

Dhwani Mehta

Gold price has paused its two-day uptrend, as bulls contemplate the next move, in anticipation of the critical Fed interest rate decision. Fed is seen hinting at a March rate lift-off while traders will closely eye any signals on the timing of the balance sheet reduction. Expectations of a hawkish Fed outcome are limiting the upside in gold price, although bulls draw support from the ongoing Russia-Ukraine geopolitical turmoil. Let’s take a look at gold’s key technical levels in the run-up to the Fed showdown.

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that the gold price is consolidating below a bunch of healthy resistance levels stacked up around $1,849.

At that supply zone, the previous week’s high coincides with Fibonacci 38.2% one-day.

The immediate upside meets strong offers around $1,852, the confluence of the pivot point one-week R1, Fibonacci 23.6% one-day and Bollinger Band one-day Upper.

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Axie Infinity price not out of the woods yet as AXS slides toward $30

Axie Infinity price continues to face weakness as its downtrend remains intact. AXS could be headed for a 40% plunge following the slice below the lower boundary of the prevailing chart pattern.

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IMF pushes El Salvador to drop Bitcoin as legal tender

The IMF has urged El Salvador to remove Bitcoin’s status as legal tender in the country. IMF directors emphasized that there are huge risks associated with the use of the leading cryptocurrency on financial stability.

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MATIC completes corrective wave and will return to $2

MATIC price suffered one of the fastest 50% retracements out of the major cryptocurrencies. Bears finally generated a sell-off from the rising wedge and pushed MATIC towards its most vital primary support zone. Buyers have stepped in, but it remains to be seen whether they will continue.

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Dogecoin short squeeze will launch DOGE to $0.25

Dogecoin price has been on a wild ride over the past few weeks. After gaining more than 50% between January 11 and January 15, DOGE dropped a further 44% to print new nine-month lows. However, there are strong indications that a strong reversal may soon be at play.

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WEEKLY FORECAST

EUR/USD: Federal Reserve between a rock and a hard place Premium

The EUR/USD pair gave up its latest gains and returned to its comfort zone, just a handful of pips above the 1.1300 figure. The pair lost the most on Tuesday when US traders returned to their desks and pushed government bond yields to levels last seen in February 2020.

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GBP/USD: Sterling set rebound with help from the Fed, ignoring Boris' travails Premium

Fear has finally arrived – inflation, aggressive policy from the Fed, China's slowing economy and Russia's potential military action. Everything supported the safe-haven dollar and contributed to a much-needed correction in the pound. The Fed decision is now in the limelight. 

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USD/JPY: The Fed’s next step is balance sheet reduction Premium

The USD/JPY moved further from its four-year high at 116.10 on January 4, dipping below 114.00 on Thursday and trading to a one-month low on Friday. Dollar weakness proliferated in spite of the diverging monetary policies of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BOJ).

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AUD/USD: Unreliably optimistic Australian data hides a nearby crisis Premium

The AUD/USD pair is trading below 0.7200 heading into the close, unchanged for the week. The pair peaked at 0.7276 on Thursday, helped by encouraging Australian data that, nevertheless, fell short of overshadowing the greenback’s renewed bout of demand.

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Bitcoin: BTC may capitulate to $30,000

Bitcoin price has dropped considerably over the last three weeks. The recent downswing has made things worse for BTC and hints that a steep correction could be on its way.

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Gold: XAU/USD could turn south on a hawkish Fed surprise Premium

After a tarnished start to the week, gold made impressive gains, breaking above a key resistance area on Wednesday and reaching its highest level in nearly two months, near $1,850, on Thursday. From there, the yellow metal went into consolidation mode, giving back some of its weekly gains, but ended up closing the second straight week in positive territory.

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GameStop (GME) stock likes volatility, and meme traders should certainly be used to it by now, but perhaps not the type that was evident yesterday. GameStop shares crashed below $100 and kept on going before a broad-based afternoon rally helped GME stock recover to close just above the psychological $100 level.

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