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Forex Today: USD regains poise in Asia, a busy EUR calendar ahead

Dhwani Mehta FXStreet

Resurgent USD demand was the main theme in Asia this Friday, as cautiousness crept back into markets amid the latest IAEA warning over North Korea’s nuclear developments. Despite mild risk-aversion, as reflected by mixed Asian equities and negative oil prices, the safe-havens such as the Yen and gold remained on the back foot. The Japanese currency also shrugged-off mixed data dump out of Japan, as the BOJ’s summary of opinions weighed down on the sentiment. Meanwhile, the Antipodeans incurred losses, having ignored better macro news.

Main topics in Asia

RBNZ 2017 Annual Report: NZ economy and financial system sound

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) published its 2017 Annual Report in the overnight trades, citing that the NZ economy and financial system remain sound.

NZ building consents up 10% in Aug - Westpac

New Zealand’s residential building consents jumped by 10% in August and the increase was driven entirely by consents for multiples (apartments, townhouses etc) which had their single biggest month in 13 years, explains Michael Gordon, Research Analyst at Westpac.

BOJ Summary of Opinions: Chance of inflation hitting 2% target next year is low

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) Summar of Opinions at the monetary policy meeting on September 20/21 shows the policy makers believe the odds of inflation hitting the 2% target next year are low.

IAEA: North Korea has made rapid progress on nuke development

The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the United Nations (UN) nuclear watchdog, came out with a warning on Friday over the North Korean nuke tests.

South Korea bans all forms of initial coin offering in the country - RTRS

Reuters out with the latest update on the cryptocurrencies, citing that South Korea bans all forms of initial coin offering in the country, following China’s footsteps.

Key Focus ahead

On the final trading day, we have a busy economic calendar, with the traders awaiting the German retail sales data ahead of the European opening bells. In the European session, markets eagerly look forward to the UK current account and final GDP revision amid a string of second-liner macro news from the UK docket, while the German unemployment change and Eurozone flash CPI could provide fresh insights on the ECB monetary policy stance going forward.

For the NA traders, the Canadian GDP and RMPI data will kick-off an eventful session, following by the US dataflow, including the core PCE price index, personal spending, Chicago PMI and consumer sentiment. Amongst central bankers’ speeches, BOE Governor Carney’s will hog the limelight, while BOE MPC member Broadbent and FOMC member Harker are also scheduled speak in the NA session today.

GBP/USD: A busy session ahead, 1.3300 still on sight?

The GBP/USD pair resumed its recent bearish momentum in the Asian session, after a temporary reversal seen yesterday, as investors remain nervous ahead of a slew of key macro news from both the UK and US.

EUR/USD - Focus on inflation differential & the impact on bond yield spread

EUR/USD regained poised on Thursday as the USD rally stalled despite the upward revision of the US Q2 GDP. The currency pair closed at 1.1786 and traded flat lined around 1.780 levels in Asia.

EUR/GBP poised for potential breakdown amid key data

The end of this week brings a few more key data points that could result in a further significant impact on the EUR/GBP currency pair. Friday brings current account and trade data from the UK…

RBA to keep rates on-hold next Tuesday – Reuters Poll

Results of the latest Reuters poll showed that almost all the economists polled believe the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will keep interest rates on-hold, when it meets next week.

Key Events AHead:

GMT	Event	Consensus	Previous
Friday, Sep 29
05:00	JPY Annualized Housing Starts	0.968M	0.974M
05:00	JPY Housing Starts (YoY)	0.9%	-2.3%
05:00	JPY Construction Orders (YoY)		14.9%
06:00	GBP Nationwide Housing Prices n.s.a (YoY)	1.9%	2.1%
06:00	GBP Nationwide Housing Prices s.a (MoM)	0.1%	-0.1%
08:30	GBP Net Lending to Individuals (MoM)	£5.0B	£4.8B
08:30	GBP Gross Domestic Product (YoY)	1.7%	1.7%
08:30	GBP Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)	0.3%	0.3%
08:30	GBP Total Business Investment (QoQ)	0%	0%
08:30	GBP Total Business Investment (YoY)	0%	0%
08:30	GBP Consumer Credit	£1.350B	£1.179B
08:30	GBP Mortgage Approvals	68.000K	68.689K
08:30	GBP Index of Services (3M/3M)	0.7%	0.5%
08:30	GBP M4 Money Supply (MoM)	0.2%	0.5%
08:30	GBP M4 Money Supply (YoY)		4.4%
08:30	GBP Current Account	£-16.00B	£-16.89B
09:00	EUR Consumer Price Index (YoY)	1.6%	1.5%
09:00	EUR Consumer Price Index - Core (YoY)	1.2%	1.3%
12:00	GBP MPC Member Cunliffe Speech
12:30	USD Personal Spending	0.1%	0.3%
12:30	USD Core Personal Consumption Expenditure - Price Index (YoY)	1.4%	1.4%
12:30	USD Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)	0.3%	0.1%
12:30	USD Personal Income (MoM)	0.2%	0.4%
12:30	USD Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)	1.5%	1.4%
12:30	USD Core Personal Consumption Expenditure - Price Index (MoM)	0.2%	0.1%

Author

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

EUR/USD looks to stabilize near 1.1600 as focus shifts to US data

EUR/USD is looking to stabilize near 1.1600 in the European session on Wednesday as traders breathe a sigh of relief before the top-tier US ADP jobs and ISM Services PMI data. A pause in the US Dollar uptrend helps the pair's recovery, but surging energy prices due to the Iran war will likely remain a drag.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3350 as USD preserves gains

GBP/USD stays in the red below 1.3350 in the European session on Wednesday. Escalating conflict in the Middle East keeps the "flight to safety" theme intact, supporting the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Traders will take more cues from the US ADP Employment and ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index reports, which are due later on Wednesday.

Gold retains positive bias amid sustained safe-haven flows and modest USD pullback

Gold maintains its offered tone through the first half of the European session, though it lacks follow-through and remains below the $5,200 mark. Investors remain concerned about a prolonged conflict in the Middle East and its impact on the global economy amid an already uncertain environment.

ADP Employment Report set to signal stronger February jobs growth, little effect on Fed outlook

The Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Research Institute will release its monthly report on private-sector job creation for February on Wednesday. The so-called ADP Employment Change report is expected to show that the United States private sector added 50K new positions in the month, following the 22K gained in January.

Asian stocks fall as South Korea’s KOSPI slumps over 10%

Asian equities drop on Middle East tensions; the MSCI Asia Pacific Index falls up to 4%. South Korea’s KOSPI fell 10.71% near 5,170, with the Korean Won weakened past 1,500 per dollar.

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