NZD/USD FORECAST AND NEWS
NZD/USD weakens to near 0.5750 as traders await US PCE inflation release
The NZD/USD pair edges lower to around 0.5765 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday, pressured by the rebound in the US Dollar. Nonetheless, the potential downside for the pair might be limited amid rising bets for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week. Traders will take more cues from the US delayed Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index report for September, which is due later on Friday.
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AUD/USD bulls pause for a breather ahead of the US PCE Price Index
AUD/USD holds above 0.6600 in Friday’s Asian session, remaining close to yesterday's two-month high. Divergent RBA-Fed policy expectations support spot prices amid a broadly weaker US Dollar. However, bulls are pausing ahead of today’s key US PCE Price Index. Still, spot prices remain on track to register strong gains for the second consecutive week.
USD/JPY stays pressured near 155.00 on Fed-BoJ policy divergence
USD/JPY remains weak near 155.00 in the Asian session on Friday. The pair faces headwinds from expectations of the Fed-BoJ monetary policy divergence, which outweighs the fall in Japanese Household Spending in October. All eyes are on the delayed US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data for September later on Friday.
Gold flat lines near $4,200 ahead of US PCE inflation release
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,205 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. Rising US Treasury yields and upbeat US jobs data cap upside for the precious metal. Traders might prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US inflation data. The US delayed the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index report for September, which will be published later on Friday.
XRP slides amid record on-chain activity, mixed technical signals
Ripple (XRP) is trading under pressure at the time of writing on Thursday, after bulls failed to break the short-term resistance at $2.22. The reversal may extend toward Monday’s low of $1.98, especially if risk-off sentiment persists in the broader cryptocurrency market.
Why the Fed may cut rates in December: Understanding the policy shift
The Fed has gone through a noticeable policy swing in recent months - from initiating a rate cut, to signaling a potential pause, and now shifting once again toward another cut in December. This has created understandable confusion among traders and investors trying to interpret the Fed’s reaction function.
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INFLUENTIAL INSTITUTIONS AND PEOPLE FOR THE NZD/USD
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is New Zealand's central bank. Its primary role is to “give people, communities and businesses the confidence to spend, borrow and save money” by maintaining a sound and efficient monetary and financial system. The RBNZ achieves this by managing inflation to keep prices stable, regulating banks and finance companies, producing New Zealand’s banknotes and coins and operating effective wholesale payment and settlement systems.
The official website, on X and YouTubeThe Federal Reserve (Fed)
The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States (US) and it has two main targets: to maintain the unemployment rate at its lowest possible levels and to keep inflation around 2%. The Federal Reserve System's structure is composed of the presidentially appointed Board of Governors and the partially appointed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC organizes eight scheduled meetings in a year to review economic and financial conditions. It also determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth.
Fed official website, on X and FacebookRBNZ Governor Anna Breman
Anna Breman was appointed as Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Governor in December 2025 for a five-year term ending in November 2030. Breman had previously served as First Deputy Governor of the central bank of Sweden (Riksbank). She holds a PhD in Economics from the Stockholm School of Economics and has previously served as the group chief economist and global head of macro research at Swedbank. She has also worked at the Swedish Ministry of Finance and at the World Bank.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell
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About NZD/USD
The pair indicates how many US Dollars (USD) are required to purchase one New Zealand Dollar (NZD). Often seen as a minor currency, its relevance stems from New Zealand’s strong commercial ties with its neighbor, Australia, and China. The New Zealand Dollar is commonly referred to as 'the Kiwi', named after the bird that symbolizes New Zealand.