e

Risk appetite eases at the beginning of the week, with Asian share markets weaker, and European stocks in the red, as commodities are on retreat. The Shanghai Composite however, closed in the green as China loosened controls on margin lending. Oil is lower, with US futures approaching $40.00 a barrel, as gold trades $10.00 lower from its Friday's close, supporting a tepid advance in the greenback all across the board.

Later on the day, the US will release some housing figures that may imprint some life to the market, but so far, volume seems quite limited given the poor price developments. 

View the Live chart of the EUR/USD


The EUR/USD pair trades around 1.1245, a strong static support level, and 10 pips above the daily low, posted in this London session. The technical picture suggests the pair may decline further, as the price is below a bullish 20 SMA, while the technical indicators kept declining, with the Momentum indicator now below the 100 level, and the RSI heading south around 54.

The bearish tone lacks strength, but the pair can test the 1.1200 level, should US data result stronger-than-expected. Below this level, the decline may extend down to the 1.1160 region, quite unlikely for a slow Monday. If the price recovers above 1.1285 on the other hand, it can return to the 1.1330/40 region, with a break above leading to a test of 1.1375, February monthly high. 

Latest updates on the EUR/USD Forecast

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