|

Forex Today: AUD slips on RBA minutes, CPIs, ZEW and Carney in focus

Risk-aversion emerged the main theme in Asia this Tuesday, with the Yen regaining ground against its American counterpart, following the warning issued by the North Korean UN ambassador. As a result, the Antipodeans also traded on the back foot, with the Aussie facing double whammy amid dovish RBA minutes.

Meanwhile, the US dollar extended its bid tone and went on to hit fresh five-day tops at 93.27, before entering a phase of consolidation near the last. The Asian equities picked-up strength over the last hour, while oil prices traded largely subdued, despite escalating Iraq tensions.

Main topics in Asia

RBA minutes: rate change timing here dependent on local economic conditions

The RBA minutes were released and the Aussie dropped a handful of pips with the minute not showing any surprises…

North Korean UN envoy says 'nuclear war may break out at any moment' - Guardian

North Korea’s deputy UN ambassador has warned that the situation in the Korean Peninsular has reached "the touch-and-go point and a nuclear war may breakout at any moment".

RBA's Ellis - Starting to see spill over effect from public infrastructure spending

Comments from RBA Assistant Governor Ellis crossing the wires via Reuters.

NZ CPI first thoughts - Westpac

Analysts at Westpac's first thoughts on the NZ CPI data that arrived as follows..

US, Japan fail to bridge gap on trade in economic talks - RTRS

Reuters out with the latest reports, citing that the US Vice President Mike Pence and Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso failed to bridge the differences on issues of trade during economic talks on Monday. 

Key Focus ahead

Traders are poised for a busy calendar ahead, with plenty of risk events from the European calendar, viz., UK CPI, German ZEW surveys and Eurozone final CPI. Also, of significance remains the speeches by the BOE Governor Carney and board members Ramsden and Tenreyro. In the NA session, a fresh batch of US macro data are up for grabs, including the industrial production, import prices and capacity utilization. Besides, FOMC member Harker’s speech and NZ GDT price index data will also hog the limelight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD - Will UK CPI lift Sterling?

GBP/USD fell to a low of 1.3225 on Monday after reports hit the wires that that unless the European Union concedes on some key issues, Brexit talks could collapse.

EUR/USD - Bond market sending mixed signals, focus on the Spanish / Catalonia standoff

The EUR/USD pair fell to a 5-day low of 1.1775 in Asia on reports that US President Donald Trump was impressed with Stanford University economist John Taylor during an interview for Fed Chair. 

Topsy Turvy Tuesday?

Dealers have spent the last 24 hours digesting Friday’s CPI fallout while keeping an eye on geopolitical risk amidst the deluge of Fed chair speculative headlines.

GBP - Will Hope for BoE Overshadow Brexit?

There was very little movement in currencies on Monday and this lack of volatility could be indicative of trading for the rest of the week.

GMT
Event
Vol.
Actual
Consensus
Previous
Monday, Oct 16
n/a
2.28%
 
1.55%
18:00
 
$6B
$-108B
18:00
 
 
21:00
 
 
10.7%
21:00
 
 
9%
21:45
1.9%
1.8%
1.7%
21:45
0.5%
0.4%
0.0%
Tuesday, Oct 17
00:30
 
 
00:30
-0.5%
 
0.0%
00:30
-0.8%
 
1.7%
07:00
 
 
0%
07:00
 
 
2.1%
07:00
 
1.7%
1.6%
07:00
 
0.1%
0.0%
08:00
 
 
€2.028B
08:00
 
€4.23B
€6.56B
08:00
 
 
08:30
 
4.0%
3.9%
08:30
 
0.3%
0.7%
08:30
 
5.4%
5.1%
08:30
 
0.1%
0.2%
08:30
 
3.3%
3.4%
08:30
 
0.3%
0.4%
08:30
 
8.3%
7.6%
08:30
 
2.6%
2.5%
08:30
 
1.2%
1.6%
08:30
 
2.8%
2.7%
08:30
 
3.0%
2.9%
08:30
 
0.3%
0.6%
n/a
 
 
-0.368%
08:50
 
 
-0.485%
09:00
 
20
17
09:00
 
89.0
87.9
09:00
 
34.2
31.7
09:30
 
 
10:00
 
0.4%
0.3%
10:00
 
1.5%
1.5%
10:00
 
0.4%
0.3%
10:00
 
1.1%
1.1%
10:15
 
 
12:00
 
6.2%
6.6%
12:30
 
2.6%
2.1%
12:30
 
0.6%
0.6%
12:30
 
 
2.3%
12:30
 
0.4%
0.6%
12:55
 
 
3.2%
12:55
 
 
-1.5%
13:15
 
0.2%
-0.9%
13:15
 
76.2%
76.1%
14:00
 
64
64
n/a
 
 
-2.4%
15:30
 
 
1.015%
17:00
 
 
20:00
 
 
$-7.3B
20:00
 
$14.3B
$1.3B
20:30
 
 
3.097M
23:00
 
 
3.8%
23:30
 
 
-0.1%
Wednesday, Oct 18
24h
 
 
03:00
 
 
6.7%
08:00
 
 
4.8%
08:00
 
 
0.1%
08:10
 
 
08:30
 
1.0K
-2.8K
08:30
 
4.3%
4.3%
08:30
 
 
2.1%
08:30
 
 
2.3%
08:30
 
2.0%
2.1%
09:00
 
 
0.2%
09:00
 
 
3.4%
n/a
 
 
1.27%
n/a
 
 
€-0.633B
11:00
 
 
-2.1%
11:45
 
 
12:00
 
 
12:00
 
 
12:00
 
 
7.6%
12:00
 
 
8.8%
12:00
 
 
3%
12:30
 
 
5.7%
12:30
 
 
-0.8%
12:30
 
1.18M
1.18M
12:30
 
1.25M
1.30M
12:30
 
1.0%
-2.6%
n/a
 
 
1.5%
n/a
 
 
4.7%
14:30
 
 
-2.747M
15:00
 
 
$-520.1M
15:15
 
 
18:00
 
 
23:50
 
14.9%
18.1%
23:50
 
 
¥367.3B
23:50
 
15.0%
15.2%
23:50
 
¥559.8B
¥112.6B Revised from ¥113.6B
23:50
 
 
¥89.2B
23:50
 
 
¥1,235.3B
Thursday, Oct 19
24h
 
 
24h
 
 
00:30
 
 
54.2K
00:30
 
 
40.1K
00:30
 
 
14.1K
00:30
 
 
5.6%
00:30
 
 
65.3%
01:00
 
 
1.25%
02:00
 
10.2%
10.1%
02:00
 
6.2%
6.0%
02:00
 
 
02:00
 
7.7%
7.8%
02:00
 
6.8%
6.9%
02:00
 
1.7%
1.7%
04:00
 
 
5%
04:30
 
 
-0.1%
04:30
 
 
4.7%
06:00
 
 
2,173M
06:00
 
 
16,667M
06:00
 
 
14,494M
07:00
 
 
13.1%
07:30
 
 
6%
08:00
 
 
08:30
 
2.4%
2.8%
08:30
 
0.1%
1.0%
08:30
 
-0.2%
1.0%
08:30
 
2.0%
2.4%
n/a
 
 
3.1%
n/a
 
 
1.36%
n/a
 
 
0.026%
08:50
 
 
2.804%
n/a
 
 
1.161%
12:30
 
 
1.889M
12:30
 
245K
243K
12:30
 
23.7
23.8
13:00
 
 
3
n/a
 
 
$423.3B
13:30
 
 
14:30
 
 
87B
n/a
 
 
2.5%
21:00
 
 
3.2%
n/a
 
 
0.3%
21:45
 
 
5.8%
Friday, Oct 20
24h
 
 
04:30
 
 
2.8%
04:30
 
 
23
06:00
 
0.1%
0.2%
06:00
 
2.9%
2.6%
06:35
 
 
07:00
 
 
0.3%
08:00
 
 
€25.1B
08:00
 
 
€32.5B
08:30
 
 
£5.093B
11:30
 
 
$398.79B
12:00
 
 
0.11%
n/a
 
 
6.5%
12:30
 
0.3%
0.2%
12:30
 
0.4%
0.4%
12:30
 
0.3%
0.1%
12:30
 
0.3%
0.1%
12:30
 
1.6%
1.4%
12:30
 
 
0.9%
12:30
 
 
0%
13:00
 
 
3.3%
13:00
 
 
3.5%
14:00
 
5.30M
5.35M
14:00
 
-1.0%
-1.7%
17:00
 
 
743
18:00
 
 
19:30
 
 
$200.1K
19:30
 
 
417.1K
19:30
 
 
$140.5K
19:30
 
 
£15.5K
19:30
 
 
¥-101.4K
19:30
 
 
€98.1K
19:30
 
 
$69.2K
23:15
 
 

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.