NZD/USD FORECAST AND NEWS
NZD/USD drops to fresh below 0.5900 on hawkish Powell and risk-off markets
The risk-averse sentiment on concerns about an escalation of the Middle East conflict is hammering the Kiwi this week. The NZD/USD has depreciated about 3.6% in the last few trading days and is about to test the support area at 0.5860.
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EUR/USD now shifts its attention to 1.0500
The ongoing upward momentum of the Greenback prompted EUR/USD to lose more ground, hitting new lows for 2024 around 1.0600, driven by the significant divergence in monetary policy between the Fed and the ECB.
GBP/USD keeps pushing against 1.2430 support weighed by weak UK employment data
GBP/USD holds steady at around 1.2450 after recovering from the multi-month low it touched near 1.2400 in the European morning. The USD struggles to gather strength after disappointing housing data. Market focus shifts to Fed Chairman Powell's appearance.
Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears and geopolitical tensions
The Japanese Yen remains depressed near a multi-decade low amid the BoJ’s dovish outlook. Reduced Fed rate cut bets lift the USD to a fresh YTD top and further lend support to USD/JPY. Intervention fears and a softer risk tone could help limit deeper losses for the safe-haven JPY.
Gold aiming to re-conquer the $2,400 level
Gold stages a correction on Tuesday and fluctuates in negative territory near $2,370 following Monday's upsurge. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield continues to push higher above 4.6% and makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gain traction.
WTI trims gains amid market caution after Iran’s attack on Israel, remains above $85.00
West Texas Intermediate Oil price edges higher to near $85.30 per barrel during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The crude Oil prices receive upward support due to concerns about the escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, particularly in the wake of Iran's missile and drone attacks on Saturday.
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Influential Institutions & People for the NZD/USD
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is New Zealand's central bank. Like most central banks, the Reserve Bank is primarily a policy organisation, and exists to do three main things: formulate and implement monetary policy to maintain price stability, promote the maintenance of a sound and efficient financial system and meet the currency needs of the public.
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On the other
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Adrian Orr
Governor of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand since March 2018. He is New Zealand born and bred, married to a novelist and they have 3 adult children. Adrian is a 1983 undergraduate of the University of Waikato (New Zealand) and a 1985 Masters graduate (with Distinction) from the University of Leicester (England). Following his Masters, Adrian remained in the United Kingdom for three years working as a Research Associate and tutor at the City University Business School, in London. Adrian returned to New Zealand in 1988 to take up the position of Research Economist at the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research before joining the Economics team at the National Bank of New Zealand the following year. In 1992 Adrian moved to France to work as an economist at the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). After holding this role for three years, Adrian returned to New Zealand and worked for a short time as a Chief Analyst at The Treasury, before returning to the National Bank as Chief Economist. Adrian was appointed Chief Manager of the economics team at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand in 1997, providing core economic and policy advice to the Governor.
Jerome Powell
Jerome H. Powell took office as Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on February 5, 2018, for a four-year term. Mr. Powell also serves as Chairman of the Federal Open Market Committee, the System's principal monetary policymaking body. Mr. Powell has served as a member of the Board of Governors since taking office on May 25, 2012, to fill an unexpired term. He was reappointed to the Board and sworn in on June 16, 2014, for a term ending January 31, 2028. Prior to his appointment to the Board, Mr. Powell was a visiting scholar at the Bipartisan Policy Center in Washington, D.C., where he focused on federal and state fiscal issues. From 1997 through 2005, Mr. Powell was a partner at The Carlyle Group. Mr. Powell served as an Assistant Secretary and as Undersecretary of the Treasury under President George H.W. Bush, with responsibility for policy on financial institutions, the Treasury debt market, and related areas. Prior to joining the Administration, he worked as a lawyer and investment banker in New York City. Mr. Powell was born in February 1953 in Washington, D.C.