|

Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: Being Wrong Is Healthy, Staying Wrong Is Deadly!

  • Bitcoin price fails to impulsively rally after breaching a triangle consolidation.
  • Ethereum price is back underwater and will likely trade range-bound before falling further.
  • Ripple price continues to fall. A $0.25 XRP token is highly probable.

The crypto market shows early evidence that "Crypto Season" will not commence. Although the call was made for bullish volatility, new evidence suggests Market Makers are not done enticing traders before they send prices lower. 

Bitcoin price targets $16,000

Bitcoin price’s failure to break from the triangular consolidation is early evidence of a future liquidity hunt targeting the $16,000. Last week Bitcoin traders took their first papercut by attempting to join a bullish breakout with a target in the mid $25,000 region. Unfortunately, the call for Crypto Season was short-lived. The triangular pattern seems to have been another smart money trap meant entice bulls to enter the market.

Bitcoin price has not fully invalidated the bullish scenario as the triangle invalidation level at $18,550 has yet to be breached. However, subtle cues signal that hope in the market will suffer a bloodier blow than taking an early papercut loss.

A Fixed Range Volume Profile indicator confounds the idea of a plummet to new lows as the BTC price breached through the congestive volume range but closed below. Auction Market practitioners who understand Wycoff Theory will likely reverse their positions to take aim at $16,000.  

Bitcoin currently trades at $19,928. Invalidation of the downtrend is a break above $22,000. If the bulls can reroute north, they may be able to rally towards $25,000, resulting in a 30% increase from the current Bitcoin price.

tm/btc/7/12/22

BTC/USD 3-Hour Chart

"According to a chart posted by an analyst at CNBC, Bitcoin's correlation with Invesco QQQ, an ETF that tracks the Nasdaq 100 Index, has reached a score of 0.894, the highest level in nearly three years. It is worth pointing out that a score of 1 would mean an exact correlation"  -

Felipe Erazo - Social Media Manager & Analyst @FXStreet

Original Tweet @TheDomino

Ethereum price is done

Ethereum price was last week's best-performing trade setup as analysts at FXStreet captured a 14% gain. It was mentioned in the follow-up thesis to reduce risk by moving the invalidation level to break even at $1,122. Additionally, it was noted that the newly established ascending trendline should propel the ETH price higher if market conditions were genuinely bullish

Ethereum price provided early evidence of failure as the decentralized smart contract token failed to propel from the steep ascending trendline. On July 11, a new bearish thesis noted an inevitable breach of the $1,122 level with targets in the $1,000 vicinity. During the Asian session, the bears accomplished a break of the supportive barrier and are currently at a 4% profit as Ethereum trades at $1,083.

Traders looking to join the bearish trend should consider waiting for a retest-and-rally signal from the bears at the weekly trend line while maintaining the invalidation at the 200-week moving average (WMA), currently positioned at $1,200. Keep in mind that a breach of the $1,200 invalidation level could trigger a volatility spike targeting $1,500 resulting in a 25% increase from the current Ethereum price.

tm/eth/7/12/22

ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart

Ripple price targets $0.25

Ripple's XRP price has been the underperforming asset amongst the top 3 for the past three weeks. Ripple has not shown an impulsive rally worth believing in. While the call for Crypto Season based on Bitcoin's technicals was made, it was noted in the same thesis that traders should avoid buying the XRP price unless a breach above $0.35 occurred. On July 11, the bears validated the cautionary warnings by breaking the weekly trend line at $0.32.

Ripple price currently trades at $0.315 as the bears have profited 8% since the cautionary thesis was issued. If the bulls do not show up soon, a plummet toward $0.25 will inevitably occur. A classical retest and fly signal could be the entry signal for bears looking to join the market.

Invalidation of the bearish thesis remains a breach of $0.35. If the bulls can conquer this level, they could rally as high as $0.45, resulting in a 45% increase from the current XRP price.

tm/xrp/7/12/22

XRP/USDT 3-Hour Chart

Author

Tony M.

Tony M.

FXStreet Contributor

Tony Montpeirous began investing in cryptocurrencies in 2017. His trading style incorporates Elliot Wave, Auction Market Theory, Fibonacci and price action as the cornerstone of his technical analysis.

More from Tony M.
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.

Top Crypto Losers: Aster, Midnight, and Ethena extend losses as selling pressure mounts

Aster, Midnight, and Ethena are the altcoins with the most losses over the last 24 hours, as the broader cryptocurrency market weakens amid Bitcoin dropping below $86,000. ASTER, NIGHT, and ENA risk further losses as selling pressure mounts and risk-off sentiment spreads across the crypto market.

Ethereum Price Forecast: BitMine acquires 102,259 ETH as price plunges 5%

Ethereum (ETH) treasury company BitMine Immersion scaled up its digital asset stash last week after acquiring 102,259 ETH since its last update. The purchase has increased the company's holdings to 3.96 million ETH, worth about $11.82 billion at the time of publication.

Strategy scoops about $1 billion in Bitcoin for second consecutive week

Bitcoin (BTC) treasury and financial intelligence firm Strategy expanded its holdings following another round of weekly accumulation.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.