|

These are the technical forces that can determine where Cardano’s ADA price will go next

  • Cardano price has formed a bearish pattern that confirms the downtrend.
  • ADA price is set to touch the low of the year for a retest.
  • With the start of July, the repricing of the pivots reveals a consolidation with a breakout in the near term.

Cardano (ADA) price has two key technical elements that need to be pointed out to traders of the cryptocurrency. The first item is the bearish triangle with the tilted edge running alongside the 55-day Simple Moving Average. The second item is that at the start of the new month, the monthly pivots have been repriced and the room between them is now narrower pointing to consolidation and a possible breakout in the near term.

ADA price facing two technical forces

Cardano price is revealing a glimpse of what is coming up in the days and weeks  of the first month of summer. A bearish triangle has formed on the chart adding additional bearish pressure to the already battered ADA price action. A drop to the downside and a test of $0.388 looks almost inevitable as the bearish death cross and current market sentiment point to a negative outlook. 

ADA price could, however, start to see a slowdown in volatility as the new monthly pivots for July are falling very close to one another compared to the spread between the pivots in June. This means that price is consolidating, and buyers and sellers are getting squeezed towards one another. Should $0.388 not hold,  the new S1 support right below is offering itself at $0.364 to catch any price action, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is nearing the ‘oversold’ barrier again.

ADA/USD daily chart

ADA/USD daily chart

Any attempt by bulls to orchestrate a breakout needs to be accompanied by a penetration of the  sloping side of the triangle. The risk to be aware of is that this could be a bull trap with the 55-day Simple Moving Average as the risk factor  muting price action. If bulls can break this technical hurdle as well, however, expect to see a massive upswing that could even reach $0.687.



 

Author

Filip Lagaart

Filip Lagaart is a former sales/trader with over 15 years of financial markets expertise under its belt.

More from Filip Lagaart
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

World Liberty Financial recovers as community votes to unlock treasury funds for USD1 adoption

World Liberty Financial recovers over 3% on Friday, holding ground at a key support trendline. Community begins voting to unlock roughly 5% WLFI treasury funds to incentivize USD1 stablecoin adoption.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.