|

Tezos Price Analysis: XTZ breaks through support targeting $3

  • Tezos will be vulnerable to massive losses if bears slice through the 50 SMA support.
  • A spike in social volume often brings to light a potential breakdown after a rally.
  • The uptrend will resumed if XTZ bulls can hold above the  50 SMA and reclaim the lost ground at $4.5.

Tezos has recently been elevated to a new all-time high of $5.6. The significant milestone came after a persistent push from the bulls over the last couple of weeks. However, widespread selling pressure in the cryptocurrency market cut short the rally.

Tezos hunts for support to secure the uptrend

XTZ is trading at $4.1 at the time of writing. The freefall from the record high has been sharp and quick. Tentative support at $4.5 did little to absorb the selling pressure, adding credibility to the ongoing breakdown.

Marginally under the prevailing price level, the 50 Simple Moving Average (SMA) provides immediate support. Tezos bulls are banking on this area to stop the losses and resume the uptrend. However, if the bears slice through, we can expect XTZ to drop toward $3.

Notably, the 100 SMA currently at $3.6 and the 200 SMA at $3.2 will ensure that Tezos does not drop sharply and massively. For now, the least resistance path is downwards based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart.

XTZ/USD 4-hour chart

XTZ/USD 4-hour chart

Santiment highlights a spike in social volume related to Tezos. The model has been designed to track cryptocurrency mentions across hundreds of social channels, including Twitter and Telegram. A surge in the volume is regarded as a bearish signal and often results in a correction.

For instance, after XTZ hit new all-time highs, its related social media mentions shot up significantly, but a price reversal occurred almost immediately. However, this model does not say how far the breakdown can go.

Tezos social volume

Tezos social volume

Looking at the other side of the fence

The 50 SMA support on the 4-hour chart remains intact for Tezos to resume the uptrend. Moreover, bulls must focus on lifting the token’s value above $0.45 to ensure that further losses are averted.

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

More from John Isige
Share:

Editor's Picks

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC retreats as macro headwinds grow
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 4% this week and trading around $76,900 at the time of writing on Friday. Institutional demand shows signs of weakness as spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to end their three-week inflow streak, recording nearly $500 million in net outflows through Thursday.
XRP falls toward key support as macro uncertainty, weak momentum cap recovery
Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP stabilize at lower levels amid ETF outflows and macroeconomic risks
The broader cryptocurrency market is rising on Friday, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading above $77,000 after testing lower support near $76,500. Ethereum (ETH) shows signs of stability, hovering above the support provided at $2,400 despite capped upside at $2,500. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) holds above $1.33 after three straight days of declines, reflecting growing headwinds due to macroeconomic uncertainty.
Bitcoin pulls back as another golden cross fails to deliver
Earlier this week, Bitcoin formed a golden cross, a technical signal that occurs when the price’s 50-day moving average rises above the 200-day moving average and is conventionally viewed as a precursor to a bullish rally. Historically, however, that’s often not been the case.
Bitcoin: BTC retreats as macro headwinds grow
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 4% this week and trading around $76,900 at the time of writing on Friday. Institutional demand shows signs of weakness as spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to end their three-week inflow streak, recording nearly $500 million in net outflows through Thursday.