|

Tezos Price Analysis: XTZ breaks through support targeting $3

  • Tezos will be vulnerable to massive losses if bears slice through the 50 SMA support.
  • A spike in social volume often brings to light a potential breakdown after a rally.
  • The uptrend will resumed if XTZ bulls can hold above the  50 SMA and reclaim the lost ground at $4.5.

Tezos has recently been elevated to a new all-time high of $5.6. The significant milestone came after a persistent push from the bulls over the last couple of weeks. However, widespread selling pressure in the cryptocurrency market cut short the rally.

Tezos hunts for support to secure the uptrend

XTZ is trading at $4.1 at the time of writing. The freefall from the record high has been sharp and quick. Tentative support at $4.5 did little to absorb the selling pressure, adding credibility to the ongoing breakdown.

Marginally under the prevailing price level, the 50 Simple Moving Average (SMA) provides immediate support. Tezos bulls are banking on this area to stop the losses and resume the uptrend. However, if the bears slice through, we can expect XTZ to drop toward $3.

Notably, the 100 SMA currently at $3.6 and the 200 SMA at $3.2 will ensure that Tezos does not drop sharply and massively. For now, the least resistance path is downwards based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart.

XTZ/USD 4-hour chart

XTZ/USD 4-hour chart

Santiment highlights a spike in social volume related to Tezos. The model has been designed to track cryptocurrency mentions across hundreds of social channels, including Twitter and Telegram. A surge in the volume is regarded as a bearish signal and often results in a correction.

For instance, after XTZ hit new all-time highs, its related social media mentions shot up significantly, but a price reversal occurred almost immediately. However, this model does not say how far the breakdown can go.

Tezos social volume

Tezos social volume

Looking at the other side of the fence

The 50 SMA support on the 4-hour chart remains intact for Tezos to resume the uptrend. Moreover, bulls must focus on lifting the token’s value above $0.45 to ensure that further losses are averted.

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

More from John Isige
Share:

Editor's Picks

Sonic Labs’ vertical integration fuels recovery in S token

Sonic, previously Fantom (FTM), is extending its recovery trade at $0.048 at the time of writing, after rebounding by over 12% the previous day. The recovery thesis’ strengths lie in the optimism surrounding Sonic Labs’ Wednesday announcement to shift to a vertically integrated model, aimed at boosting S token utility. 

Midnight Price Forecast: NIGHT warms up as Hoskinson reveals March mainnet release

Midnight edges higher by 2% at press time on Thursday, driven by its founder announcing the mainnet release by late March at the Consensus 2026 event. The technical outlook for Midnight highlights a potential bottom formation that could ignite the next bullish trend.

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA eyes short-term rebound as derivatives sentiment improves

Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.257 at the time of writing on Thursday, after slipping more than 4% so far this week. Derivatives sentiment improves as ADA’s funding rates turn positive alongside rising long bets among traders.

Top Crypto Gainers: Pippin rally logs over 75% gains, Aster and Kaia push higher

Altcoins, such as Pippin (PIPPIN), Aster (ASTER) and Kaia (KAIA) continue to trade in the green, defying the broader market pullback as Bitcoin (BTC) dropped to below $68,000. PIPPIN continues to rally and ASTER and KAIA show short-term recovery with possibilities of a breakout rally.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: The worst may be behind us

Bitcoin (BTC) price recovers slightly, trading at $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after reaching a low of $60,000 during the early Asian trading session. The Crypto King remained under pressure so far this week, posting three consecutive weeks of losses exceeding 30%.