|

Is second time the charm for Tezos' XTZ price breakout?

  • XTZ price puts up a bullish front but are about to be tested.
  • If bulls manage to break out above $1.62, the chances of a move to $1.78 improve vastly.
  • A four-hour candlestick close below $1.33 will invalidate the bullish thesis for Tezos.

XTZ price has been stuck trading between a support floor and a resistance barrier since mid-June. Tezos is at an inflection point and could decide its fate soon.

XTZ price ready for a volatile move

XTZ price set a bottom on June 18 at $1.19 and started producing higher highs and higher lows shown in the chart below. However, the upside was capped at $1.62, which prevented the altcoin from rallying higher.

As a result, XTZ price retraced to the positively-inclined trend line and bounced. This bounce has pushed Tezos up by 16% and is likely to advance another 5% before arriving at the $1.62 hurdle again.

Here, the bulls will face a test that will gauge t their grit; a four-hour candlestick close above $1.62 will signal a breakout. In such a case, XTZ price could rally 10% to retest the $1.78 hurdle. However, a failure to do so, could knock the altcoin back into the range to produce a higher low at roughly $1.40. The bulls may try again from here. 

XTZ/USDT 4-hour chart

XTZ/USDT 4-hour chart

While things are favoring the bulls, investors need to pay close attention to the inclining trend line. A failure to stay above this support will indicate bulls’ weakness. In such a case, XTZ price will revisit the $1.33 support floor, where the buyers have another chance at a comeback.

However, a four-hour candlestick close below $1.33 will invalidate the bullish thesis for Tezos. In such a case, XTZ price could revisit the $1 psychological level or the $0.95 support floor.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe recover, echoing Bitcoin rebound

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe are trading mixed as Bitcoin records minor gains on Monday, warming sentiment across the broader cryptocurrency market. Still, the incipient recovery in Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe remains fragile amid the prevailing downtrend.

Bitcoin consolidates as downside risks persist

Bitcoin has made only three wave rallies from the November lows, which is one of the most important indications that more weakness may still lie ahead.

Polkadot's (DOT) dips, with token underperforming wider crypto markets

DOT $1.8269 fell 2% to $1.84 over the last 24 hours. Trading volumes were 7.8% above the seven-day moving average at 7.76 million tokens, according to CoinDesk Research's technical analysis model.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.