Cardano Price Analysis: ADA bulls in control, but the bears are waiting around the corner

Between September 2 and September 23, the price of ADA dropped from $0.125 to $0.76. Following that, ADA bounced up from a healthy support line and jumped to $0.11, as of writing. The "Ethereum killer" is presently consolidating between 50-day SMA and 100-day SMA. The MACD shows positive bullish momentum, so further upward movement can be expected.

ADA/USD daily chart

However, before we get carried away, it should be noted that the price had previously faced rejection at the 100-day SMA ($0.114). As per IntoTheBlock’s In/Out of the Money Around Price (IOMAP), the 100-day SMA corresponds with a strong resistance wall, wherein a little over 4,750 addresses had purchased 2 billion ADA. If the buyers manage to break above this barrier, the price should reach $0.12 before it encounters another moderate resistance level.

ADA IOMAP

The Flipside: An upcoming bearish correction?

According to the 3-day chart, the Cardano will be flashing the sell signal (green 9) in the TD sequential indicator after one day. As such, a downtrend could be expected when that signal gets flashed. However, the price has found support on the 50-bar SMA, which is an obstacle for the bears.

ADA/USD 3-day chart

To get a better understanding of the price movement, let’s refer to the IOMAP once again. It looks like there are two support walls at $0.101 and $0.94. These two support zones should be robust enough to absorb any selling pressure. 

Key price levels to watch

The buyers will need to flip the 100-day SMA ($0.114) from resistance to support to venture into the $0.12 zone. That’s when the price will encounter another moderate resistance barrier. Breaking past that will take the price up to $0.13.

On the downside, the bears will need to deal with two support levels at $0.101 and $0.94. Breaking past the latter will take the price down to the 200-day SMA ($0.89).