FX Treads Water At Start of the Week


Market Drivers April 27, 2015
Range trading dominates as week starts
Greek talk continue with focus on Tsipras
Nikkei -0.18% Europe -0.67%
Oil $57/bbl
Gold $1181/oz.

Europe and Asia:
EUR GE Import Prices 1.0% vs. 0.5%

North America:
USD Flash Services PMI 9:45

It's been a quiet listless night of trade the currency market with major essentially rangebound for most of Asian and early European trade with little fresh news flow to move the market.

With Gallipoli day remembrance holiday in New Zealand and Australia the markets were off to a subdued start of the week with minimal liquidity until later in the Asian session. European open brought a fresh round of dollar buying but that rally also stalled by mid morning London dealing.

Overall, the FX markets were merely marking time today, awaiting to see what progress has been made on the Eurogroup and Greece negotiations and what the Fed will say at this week's FOMC meeting on Wednesday.

In Eurozone there appeared to be a glimmer of hope with respect to Greece as news over the weekend suggested that Chancellor Merkel and Prime Minister Tsipras held constructive talks over the phone. Negotiations appear to be moving away from the Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis whose confrontational style has angered some in the Euro group and hope now is that the more collegiate tone between Ms. Merkel and Mr. Tsipras could lead to some sort of deal this week. Time is running short for Greece as the country continues to face a shortfall of cash and has only a few weeks left before it will run out of funds to pay its creditors.

As to the Fed, this FOMC meeting is not expected to produce any fresh news, with policy makers unlikely to signal any tightening into the June meeting. The policymakers are likely to remain highly focused on incoming data with the latest batch of reports offering a mixed picture. Many analysts have noted that the US economy appears to have suffered a dichotomy at the start of this year with business and industrial demand slowing while consumer demand has strengthened. Although the Fed is not doubt buoyed by improving trends in consumer spending. its doubtful that US policymakers would make any changes until the business demand firmed up as well.

For now this lack of focus is likely to keep the market rangebound for the time being with EUR/USD travelling from 1.0800 to 1.1000 while USD/JPY remains contained between 118.00-120.00 barriers. 

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD regains the constructive outlook above the 200-day SMA

AUD/USD regains the constructive outlook above the 200-day SMA

AUD/USD advanced strongly for the second session in a row, this time extending the recovery to the upper 0.6500s and shifting its focus to the weekly highs in the 0.6580-0.6585 band, an area coincident with the 100-day SMA.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD recovers to top end of consolidation ahead of Friday’s US NFP

EUR/USD recovers to top end of consolidation ahead of Friday’s US NFP

EUR/USD drove back to the top end of recent consolidation on Thursday, recovering chart territory north of the 1.0700 handle as market risk appetite regains balance heading into another US Nonfarm Payrolls Friday.

EUR/USD News

Gold price pullback on Fed hawkish tilt amidst lower US yields, weaker US Dollar

Gold price pullback on Fed hawkish tilt amidst lower US yields, weaker US Dollar

Gold price clings to the $2,300 figure in the mid-North American session on Thursday amid an upbeat market sentiment, falling US Treasury yields, and a softer US Dollar. Traders are still digesting Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision to hold rates unchanged.

Gold News

Bitcoin price rises 5% as BlackRock anticipates a new wave of capital inflows into BTC ETFs from investors

Bitcoin price rises 5% as BlackRock anticipates a new wave of capital inflows into BTC ETFs from investors

Bitcoin (BTC) price slid to the depths of $56,552 on Wednesday as the cryptocurrency market tried to front run the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The flash crash saw millions in positions get liquidated.

Read more

FOMC in the rear-view mirror – NFP eyed

FOMC in the rear-view mirror – NFP eyed

The update from May’s FOMC rate announcement proved more dovish than expected, which naturally weighed on the US dollar (sending the DXY to lows of 105.44) and US yields, as well as, initially at least, underpinning major US equity indices.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures