|

Silver Price Analysis: US Dollar´s bearish correction could still support, but bears are moving in

  • Silver has corrected into a 61.8% Fibonacci area and bears are moving in.
  • However, the confirming break-of-structure-point is not until $24.9332 to confirm a downside bias. 
  • US Dollar could continue to correct lower, bullish for Silver. 

As per the prior session´s analysis, ´´Silver bulls are lining up as the US Dollar hits a 61.8% Fibo area,´´ the US Dollar did indeed come under pressure and Silver has corrected bullishly as the following will illustrate:

Silver prior analysis

It was stated that Silver had broken below the trendline support and that the Silver price could close on a daily candle in the support area.

$24.5664 was the first import structure level that may otherwise have given way to sell-off as illustrated below. However, it was explained that there could be some consolidation and price discovery to follow over the coming days in and around the recent highs and lows.

US Dollar took on a 61.8% Fibo:

It was acknowledged that f the DXY stalled, then Silver bulls would be in play:

Silver & DXY updates 

We are seeing the correction in the US Dollar on Tuesday. However, so long as 101.50 holds on a closing basis, then the bulls will likely be encouraged within a bullish schematic that is in development. 

This is giving rise to a bullish correction in the white metal:

However, while being on the backside of the bearish trend, the $24.5664 structure remains vulnerable:

Zooming in:

Silver has corrected into a 61.8% Fibonacci area and is being rejected toward trendline support. However, the confirming break-of-structure-point is not until $24.9332 to confirm the downside bias. 

Silver H1 chart

US Dollar bearish scenario

All in all, this could be too premature and the US Dollar could remain under pressure for some time to come, leading to a firmer correction in Silver for the sessions and days ahead:

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 after mixed EU PMI data

EUR/USD manages to hold above 1.1750 but struggles to gather recovery momentum on Friday, following the mixed February PMI figures from Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, Q4 GDP, December inflation and February PMI data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.

GBP/USD recovers further toward 1.3500 after UK PMI data

GBP/USD is recovering ground further toward 1.3500 in European trading on Friday, helped by a modest uptick in the Pound Sterling after stronger-than-expected UK January Retail Sales and February PMI data. However, the pair's further upside could be limited amid persistent US Dollar strength as the focus turns to key US data. 

Gold sticks to positive bias above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold gains some positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. holding above $5,000. Traders now look forward to the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index – for fresh trading impetus. 

US GDP growth expected to slow down significantly in Q4 after stellar Q3 

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the first preliminary estimate of the fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product at 13:30 GMT. Analysts forecast the US economy to have expanded at a 3% annualized rate, slowing down from the 4.4% growth posted in the previous quarter.

Iran tensions and AI fears at the forefront ahead of key US data

Thursday’s scorecard shows major US Stock benchmarks closed modestly in the red amid mounting US-Iran tensions and AI disruption worries. The S&P 500 shed 19 points (0.3%) to 6,861, the Nasdaq 100 lost 101 points (0.4%) to 24,797, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 267 points (0.5%) to 49,395.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.