Should I buy GameStop (GME Stock) right now? Update: Trading restrictions get scaled back, stock soars!


Let’s talk about GameStop (GME) because the stock has gone absolutely crazy.

I mean, yesterday, January 25th, it was up 144% before swinging into negative territory. Then it reversed again and closed up more than 18%. 

Update from the Editor on Friday: Well the stock has indeed gone crazy and it keeps getting crazier! Gamestop (GME) collapsed on Thursday as trading restrictions from several brokers hit the stock. GME closed on Thursday down 44% at $193.60 falling from a high over $500 in Thursday's pre-market!

Ted Cruz, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Elon Musk, among others, all tweeted demanding to know the reasoning behind restricting trading in the stock. Robinhood was served with two class-action lawsuits and Citadel was forced to release a statement saying it had no influence on the decision to restrict trading. All in all, a giant mess.

Robinhood backtracked on Thursday night saying it planned to allow “limited buys of these securities”. The company also released a statement on Thursday saying “As a brokerage firm, we have many financial requirements, including SEC net capital obligations and clearinghouse deposits. Some of these requirements fluctuate based on volatility in the markets and can be substantial in the current environment. To be clear, this was a risk-management decision, and was not made on the direction of the market makers we route to.”

Gamestop (GME) shares are currently trading at $416 during Friday’s pre-market session, a rise of over 100%. 

 

Update from the Editor on Thursday: The entire world  – including the White House – is watching the next moves in GameStop Corp.(NYSE: GME). The sensational stock is now seen as emblematic of a late-stage rally in Wall Street. Investors fear that the skyrocketing of so-called "meme stocks" is a sign of exuberance that is pointing to a broader market crash. Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, was asked about Gamestop in his post rate decision press conference. He refused to answer and in general, said that his focus is on the economic recovery, which "has a long way to go." Has Powell allowed for more gains? Perhaps, but at least in Thursday's premarket trading, GME shares are down some 10% to around $310, showing that some of the wallstreetbet traders are willing to take profits off the table. More  What is happening to GME stock today?

Update from the Editor on Wednesday: GameStop Corp.(NYSE: GME) has hit the high of at least $348 in Wednesday's premarket trading, up by over 100% and volatility remains elevated. The media attention around the stock has been rising as Tesla's Elon Musk tweeted about it and ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision. CNBC has reported that Melvin Capital, one of the firms shorting GME, has closed out on its position. The hedge fund is reportedly struggling to shore up its finances. The battle with an army of retail traders organizing on Reddit's Wall Street Bets forum is closely watched.  At the time of writing, Gamestop's shares have been extending their decline from the highs but remain substantially above Tuesday's closing price of $147.98. Reports suggest that Citron covered its majority GME shot at a loss, quoted "in the $90s." More: Gamestop (GME): Should I buy or should I sell Gamestop now?

And today, it’s up another 22% and trading at $93.50.

One month ago, it was trading around $20!

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So, today, I want to look at exactly what’s happening with GME, and let you know if it looks like a good time to buy the stock.

What is Happening with GME?

GME made its first big move in mid-January after adding Ryan Cohen to its board. This guy is the co-founder and former CEO of Chewy (CHWY) — the online pet supplies store — so he knows a lot about retail.

The stock jumped from $20 to above $40 when that news hit, and this caught a lot of short-sellers off-guard.

In fact, according to one CNBC article I read, GME is the most heavily shorted U.S. stock.

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What’s a Short Squeeze?

For those that don’t know, short interest is when a trader bets against the stock, meaning they want it to go lower. 

To do this, they’ll borrow shares from their broker at one price. If the stock price falls, they can buy the shares back at a lower price to repay their broker and keep the difference as profit.

But if the stock rallies, short sellers will have to buy back the shares at a higher price to limit losses.

For stocks that are heavily shorted, this can create a sort of ripple effect: Because how do you close a “short trade”? Well, you SOLD the stock earlier so now you have to BUY it back. So when more shorts start covering, i.e. BUYING,  the stock climbs higher and higher.

This is the short squeeze.

And in GME’s situation, as the stock rallied on good fundamental news, shorts started to cover.

Then the Reddit crowd got involved. 

There’s a forum on Reddit called “WallStreetBets,” and their purpose is to “make money and being amused while doing it.” – their words, not mine. 

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As GME was rallying, online traders on Reddit began posting about the stock and buying it to manipulate the shorts.

Take a look at some of these posts:

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fxsoriginal

fxsoriginal

And as they bought the stock, the price soared, forcing more shorts to cover their positions, and again, this means that more people are BUYING.

It’s not surprising there are a lot of traders upset about this manipulation. Famous short-seller Citron Research is one of them, and said it would no longer comment on GME because of the “angry mob” on Reddit.

Is GME a Buy or a Sell?

Now, you could make an argument for GME stock to keep going higher. There are probably some shorts still hanging on. And fundamentally, the company did report solid holiday same-store sales and digital sales growth a few weeks back. 

But in reality, it’s dangerous to trade GME right now.

For starters, look how overbought this stock is.

And a lot of times, when these stocks fall, they fall fast.

Remember last summer when Eastman Kodak (KODK) went from $2 to $60 in two days, and then back down to $6 a month later?

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And implied volatility is all over the place. This means options premiums are crazy high right now for options buyers.

But it’s not a good time to sell options, either, because it’s hard to pinpoint levels of support or resistance.

So, yes, you could have made a lot of money trying to trade GME stock, but you could’ve lost a lot of money, too.

And whenever I see a parabolic move as we’ve seen in GME, I leave it alone. The risk is simply not worth it.

Because at some point, the Reddit traders might lose interest in this stock. So they would just sell it and move on to the next stock, and that could make the stock crash. After all, there are 2.3MM people in this group!

More Stocks to Watch

Before we go, I just want to check out some more of these “short squeeze” stocks that have been volatile this week.

The first is Palantir (PLTR), which ran from $26 to almost $40 in two days. Today, the stock is down 3% at $35.12.

Another is BlackBerry (BB). BB stock ran from $7.50 in mid-January to above $20 yesterday — its highest level since 2011. Today, the stock is up 3.6% at $18.60.

And there’s Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), which was trading around $18 earlier this month, but hit a three-year high near $48 yesterday. Today, BBBY is up 0.1% at $30.68.

Finally, there’s AMC (AMC). It was trading below $2 at the start of the month and hit a high of $5.19 earlier today. 

While I’m not going to be trading these stocks because of the risk involved, I’ll certainly be keeping my eye on them.

Trading Futures, options on futures and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. The lower the day trade margin, the higher the leverage and riskier the trade. Leverage can work for you as well as against you; it magnifies gains as well as losses. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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