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Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP/USD – Falls on softer than expected UK inflation data

GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Sterling eyes further losses after UK inflation data

GBP/USD came under heavy bearish pressure and touched its lowest level in nearly four months at 1.2333 in the European morning before recovering back above 1.2350. 

Inflation in the UK, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), edged lower to 6.7% on a yearly basis in August from 6.8% in July, the UK's Office for National Statistics reported on Wednesday. More importantly, the Core CPI inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, softened to 6.2% from 6.9% in the same period. Both of these readings came in below market expectations, forcing Pound Sterling to weaken against its major rivals. Read more...

GBPUSD

GBP/USD outlook: Falls on softer than expected UK inflation data

Cable fell to new multi-month low (the lowest since May 26) early Tuesday, hit by softer than expected UK inflation readings in August. Annualized CPI dropped to 6.7% (the lowest since Feb 2022) from 6.8% in July and beating forecast for 7.0% increase, while core inflation (excluding volatile components) was down to 6.2% y/y in August, compared to 6.8% forecast and 6.9% previous month.

Although inflation remains high (over three times above 2% target) August data bring some optimism and provides relief to the Bank of England which was widely expected to raise interest rates for the 15th consecutive time in a policy meeting on Thursday, as bets now stand at 50-50 chance for staying on hold this time. Read more...

Chart

Pound Sterling recovers as uncertainty over BoE policy deepens after soft CPI report

The Pound Sterling (GBP) attracted significant offers after the UK’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for August turned out soft while investors projected a persistent one due to a recovery in energy prices. The GBP/USD pair weakened as core inflation decelerated significantly, portraying a slowdown in demand for non-durable goods. UK’s Producer Price Index (PPI) for core output contracted in August, which indicates that producers lost confidence in the demand outlook as high inflation bit households’ real income.

Ample volatility would remain in the Pound Sterling as the inflation data will be followed by the interest rate decision from the Bank of England (BoE). After a soft inflation report, BoE policymakers might announce the interest rate peak sooner but should remain on course to hike interest rates for the 15th straight time on Thursday. Read more...

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.237
Today Daily Change-0.0022
Today Daily Change %-0.18
Today daily open1.2392
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2542
Daily SMA501.2713
Daily SMA1001.2652
Daily SMA2001.2434
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2425
Previous Daily Low1.237
Previous Weekly High1.2548
Previous Weekly Low1.2379
Previous Monthly High1.2841
Previous Monthly Low1.2548
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2404
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2391
Daily Pivot Point S11.2366
Daily Pivot Point S21.2341
Daily Pivot Point S31.2312
Daily Pivot Point R11.2421
Daily Pivot Point R21.2451
Daily Pivot Point R31.2476

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