|

GBP/JPY finds cushion near 194.00, more downside remains likely

  • GBP/JPY discovers a temporary cushion near 194.00, while its outlook remains uncertain.
  • UK 30-year gilt yields soared amid growing concerns over mounting debt and caution over Trump’s protectionist policies.
  • The BoJ said that it is considering raising the inflation forecast due to the depreciating Yen.

The GBP/JPY pair finds temporary support near 194.00 in Friday’s North American session after a two-day sell-off amid weakness in the Pound Sterling (GBP) across the board. The British currency faces intense selling pressure as yields on United Kingdom (UK) 30-year gilts spiked above 5.4%, the highest since 1992.

Market participants dumped UK gilts as they are worried about the UK economic outlook. Concerns over UK growth prospects have mounted, partly due to my deepening uncertainty over likely tight United States (US) trade policies under the administration of President-elect Donald Trump and the piling nation’s debt.

Higher UK gilt yields have resulted in a sharp increase in the government’s borrowing costs, which could prompt the need for more tax collection and lower public spending by the finance ministry, given that the Chancellor of the Exchequer vowed to avoid tapping borrowings to incur day-to-day spending.

However, UK Treasury Minister Darren Jones clarified at the House of Commons on Thursday that the government's decision to only borrow for investment was "non-negotiable". Jones added that it is normal for the price of gilts to "vary" and assured that financial markets continue to function in an "orderly way".

Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen (JPY) preforms strongly on Friday as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is still considering the interest rate decision for its January monetary policy review, Bloomberg reported. The agency further added that the BoJ mulls to upgrade core-core inflation views for FY2024 and FY2025 on depreciating Yen.

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.