|

Forex Today: Markets start the week with optimism

What you need to take care of on Tuesday, October 4:

The greenback resumed its decline at the beginning of the week, ending Monday with losses across the FX board. The EUR/USD pair was able to post a modest advance and settled around 0.9820, with the shared currency among the worst performers against the USD. Downwardly revised S&P Global Manufacturing PMIs weighed on the EUR. 

Financial markets traded with optimism, despite persistent recession concerns. Political and financial turmoil in the United Kingdom keeps triggering volatile market reactions and leading the way. The UK government came up with a potential tax cut of a 45%  rate on income, but British Finance Minister Kwasi Kwarteng later said they were dropping the idea. The announcement underpinned GBP/USD, which ended the day near an intraday high of 1.1333. Following UK news, European indexes reverted early losses and settled in the green.

The greenback tried to advance ahead of the US opening, but tepid local data put it back on the bearish path. The ISM Manufacturing PMI contracted to 50.9 in September, barely holding in expansion territory.

Wall Street picked up where European indexes left and posted a substantial advance, further undermining demand for the USD. US Treasury yields retreated, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury note down roughly 15 bps.

The AUD/USD pair regained the 0.6500 threshold ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy decision. USD/CAD settle near its intraday low at around 1.3630.

Finally, the dollar posted uneven advances against its safe-haven rivals, with USD/CHF now trading at 0.9930 and USD/JPY at 144.75.

Gold soared and flirts with $1,700 a troy ounce, while crude oil prices also advanced. WTI is currently trading at around $83.50 a barrel.

Government bond yields were sharply lower but moved off their intraday lows ahead of the close.

Dogecoin’s 4-month long consolidation set to drive investors away unless DOGE reclaims this level


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eyes 1.1800 barrier near two-month highs

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second successive session, trading around 1.1780 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a persistent bullish bias, as the pair moves upward within the ascending channel pattern. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 68.89 sits near overbought, signaling strong demand. RSI remains elevated, which could cap gains if overbought conditions emerge.

GBP/USD knocks ten-week highs ahead of holiday slowdown

GBP/USD found room on the high side on Monday, kicking off a holiday-shortened trading week with a fresh spat of Greenback weakness, bolstering the Pound Sterling into its highest bids in ten weeks. Pound traders are largely brushing off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England as the UK’s central bank policy strategy leaves the water murky for rate-cut watchers.

Gold bulls seem unstoppable amid supportive fundamental backdrop

Gold is seen building on the previous day's strong rally of over 2% and continues scaling new all-time highs for the second consecutive day on Tuesday. The commodity climbs closer to the $4,500 psychological mark during the Asian session and remains well supported by a combination of factors. 

Uniswap holds above $6 as traders eye UNIfication vote outcome

Uniswap price holds above $6 at the time of writing on Tuesday after closing above a key resistance zone in the previous week. Traders are focusing on the highly anticipated UNIfication proposal, which is set to conclude on Thursday, and could become a key near-term catalyst. On the technical side, momentum indicators are flashing bullish signals, hinting at an upside rally.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.