|

Dogecoin’s 4-month long consolidation set to drive investors away unless DOGE reclaims this level

  • Since May 2022, short-term traders have been the only cohort to profit off Dogecoin, but they have even been at a loss lately.
  • Lack of volatility could create apprehension among newer investors as the risk-adjusted returns for DOGE is terrible.
  • Dogecoin’s market value is suffering, and lack of growth could result in Polkadot flipping DOGE to replace it as the tenth biggest cryptocurrency.

Dogecoin is surprisingly still holding its charm despite having made no major development in months. However, the lack of improvement might create an environment of concern among investors who are joining the network in the fourth quarter.

Dogecoin investors looking for profits

November 2021 was the last time the crypto market noted actual bullishness, but in the case of some cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin, even November was not the best while. Having marked its all-time high in May 2021, DOGE has been in a constant downtrend, falling from $0.6903 to currently trading at $0.0604.

Over the last five months, the situation worsened as DOGE stopped moving completely. The sideways momentum has left only one set of investors in a good spot, the short-term traders. Scalping off of the intra-day fluctuations, these traders are the only ones making profits.

TradingView Chart
Dogecoin 4-hour chart

Although, in the last two weeks, their profits have been cut short as well since DOGE fell flat even on the 4-hour chart. Thus, in order to flip these investments into profit, DOGE is required to rise back to $0.0677.

This price point also marks the level where the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement of the 0.0869 to 0.0570 decline lies. Reclaiming it naturally sets DOGE in upward momentum.

But if the same does not occur over the next few weeks, it can cause apprehensions in the minds of newer investors.

No returns, no value

The lack of volatility is becoming Dogecoin’s bane since the meme coin’s risk-adjusted returns are still at a negative right now. The Sharpe Ratio is currently at -0.25%, which is not the most alluring figure at the moment.

Dogecoin Sharpe Ratio

And with no improvement in returns, the market value of the asset is also stuck below the neutral line. These factors might keep potential investors from putting their money on Dogecoin.

Dogecoin market value

Author

Aaryamann Shrivastava

Aaryamann Shrivastava is a Cryptocurrency journalist and market analyst with over 1,000 articles under his name. Graduated with an Honours in Journalism, he has been part of the crypto industry for more than a year now.

More from Aaryamann Shrivastava
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP slides as institutional and retail demand falters

Ripple is trading down for the third consecutive day on Thursday amid escalating volatility in the cyrptocurrency market. After peaking at $2.41 on Tuesday, its highest print since November 14 amid the early-year rally, XRP has quickly ran into aggressive profit-taking.

Zcash downside risks escalate as core development quits amid internal disagreements

Zcash (ZEC) is trading down as volatility reaps through the cryptocurrency market on Thursday. The privacy-focused token is down nearly 14%, marking the largest intraday loss since December 1.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP extend decline as ETF outflows pose headwinds

Bitcoin is trading around $90,000 at the time of writing on Thursday as volatility grips the broader cryptocurrency market. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, also face increasing selling pressure, which continues to trim early-year gains.

Bitcoin slips below $90,000 amid profit-taking, ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) slips below $90,000 on Thursday after a failed rejection at a key resistance level earlier this week. Bearish sentiment is strengthening as institutional demand fades, with spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) recording outflows.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.