- XRP price confidence weakens slightly as breakout from bullish base falters.
- XRP/BTC pair has gained over 300% in the last eight weeks.
- Ongoing SEC case and the documentation production battles cast a wide shadow.
XRP price has gained 100% since the April 22 low while building a solid foundation for further gains in the coming weeks. Consolidation may extend for a couple of days. Still, the technicals point to the continued relative strength and solid absolute returns.
Judge warns SEC to stop stalling
In a new inning of the documentation production battle between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Ripple, judge Sarah Netburn has restated that the SEC must produce all documents related to Bitcoin, Ether and XRP.
The regulatory agency has repeatedly stated that it does not possess any material related to the major cryptocurrencies. Still, if it is revealed that the SEC did discuss XRP with the two largest cryptocurrencies, it would further establish Ripple’s argument. More specifically, the most important materials are related to the SEC’s clarification of Bitcoin and Ethereum as not being securities. The agency regards XRP as a security.
The enforcement action of the SEC against Ripple has to be the most important lawsuit in the cryptocurrency space. However, unlike lawsuits involving other crypto-related enterprises or assets, Ripple has the firepower to battle the case to the Supreme Court if necessary.
XRP price strikes bullish posture in the legal anxiety
Ripple has provided three opportunities to engage bullish speculators, the hammer candlestick pattern on April 23, the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout on April 30 and yesterday’s emergence from a bullish cup-with-handle base. In all, XRP price has assembled a substantial foundation to build a long-duration advance.
Yesterday, XRP price broke out from a bullish cup-with-handle base, allowing new speculators to capitalize on a timely entry price. Unfortunately, the breakout mildly pulled back into the base, forcing speculators to practice patience as XRP price clarifies intentions.
The reversal back into the base triggered a longstanding trading rule: the pullback-plus-four. It specifically states that speculators need to give the digital asset four days to trade above the breakout high. A failure to do so augments the probability that XRP price will decline or evolve into a more complex pattern.
At the moment of writing, the bullish thesis remains active, with the first notable resistance arriving at the convergence of the April high at $1.96, the psychologically important $2.00 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2018-2020 bear market at $2.08.
The measured move target of the cup-with-handle base is $3.16, generating a gain of 90% from the handle high of $1.66. A rally of this significance would position XRP price to target at least the 2018 all-time high at $3.30.
XRP/USD 4-hour chart
Speculators should turn defensive if XRP price fails to rally above the breakout high of $1.76 within four days, starting with today. A decline below the handle low of $1.31 immediately places Ripple in a vulnerable technical position, signifying a complex bottoming process or even a plunge to the April low at $0.874.
XRP price has withstood the legal gyrations to be one of the top-performing cryptocurrencies since the April low, displaying noteworthy speculator demand. Similarly, the explosion higher for the XRP/BTC pair affirms that the returns have been strong on an absolute basis and a relative basis.
Note: All information on this page is subject to change. The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer. Opinions expressed at FXstreet.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of FXstreet.com or its management. Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
Ripple's move above this key level could trigger nearly 50% rally for XRP
Ripple has overcome a critical resistance level and flipped into a support floor on the weekly time frame. This development happened while XRP tightly consolidated for roughly 250 days. Investors can expect XRP to kickstart a massive rally.
Optimism price outlook with nearly $90 million worth of OP tokens flooding markets on Friday
Optimism volatility has shrunk in the ours leading to the network’s cliff unlock. It joins the likes of dYdX and Sui, which have similar events on their calendars. As token unlocks are often considered bearish catalysts, investors should brace for a reaction after the event.
Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: Retail watches from the sidelines with a bias for shorts
Bitcoin could clear $73,777 peak as BTC bulls resurface. Ethereum might fall 10% before next leg up as ETH RSI teases with sell signal. XRP could lose $0.6000 threshold as Ripple bulls fail to show up.
Jito price could hit $6 as JTO coils up inside this bullish pattern
Jito price action shows a potential cup and handle formation. Based on theoretical measurement rules, a successful breakout could yield a 56% rally to $6.0. A breakdown of the $3.86 support level would create a lower low for JTO and invalidate the bullish thesis.
Bitcoin: BTC may have recovered, but is it out of the woods?
Bitcoin’s (BTC) upward momentum has shown a significant decline for the past two weeks or so. This development led to a bearish signal on the weekly and an uncertain outlook on the monthly.