|

Two bullish thesis coincide that Avalanche’s AVAX price can double

  • AVAX price is traversing a descending parallel channel, suggesting a breakout soon.
  • A retracement to $22 would be the best-case scenario that could propel Avalanche by 84%.
  • A four-hour candlestick close below $21.47 will create a lower low and invalidate the bullish thesis.

AVAX price is consolidating in a downward sloping channel, hinting at a volatile breakout soon. However, if the bulls need a rest first, a minor retracement might develop, allowing buyers to scoop up Avalanche at a discount, before triggering the next leg higher.

Fundamentals improve dramatically

While technicals are hinting at a bullish outlook, Avalanche and the XRP Ledger blockchains are now connected via ApexBridge. This development will allow users to seamlessly transfer and swap assets between the connecting blockchains.

For this purpose, Catoshi, a cross-chain bridge is joining hands with Apex, a Node as a Service (NaaS) protocol built on the Avalanche blockchain. As a result, all DEXs and DeFi protocols will be able to use this service to connect to the XRPL via the API kits.

Ava Labs is thriving

Emin Gun Sirer, the founder of the Avalanche blockchain stated in a recent interview that despite the massive downturn in crypto markets, Ava Labs is “thriving.” He added that the number of,

people in the company is around 180… and we're growing. I think by the end of the year, we should be 250 at least. We've been in this hyper-growth phase for some time now, we're doing really well.

He also added that he is not particularly worried about the short-term take on prices due to present uncertainty around the Federal Reserve and the steps they’re taking to tackle inflation. While AVAX price is down 75% from its all-time high, so are many other Layer 1 tokens. Regardless, the technicals are showing two outlooks that present a massive rally is on the horizon

AVAX price read to make its move

AVAX price has set up four distinctive lower highs and two lower lows since May 12. Connecting these swing points using trend lines reveals a descending parallel channel. This technical formation leans toward a bullish breakout and confirmation is obtained after a decisive flip of the upper trend line into a support level.

Considering the state of Bitcoin price and the need for a pullback, AVAX price might also do the same. Investors need to be prepared for a retracement that pushes the altcoin down to the immediate support floor at $22.43.

A retest of this level will likely be met with buyers scooping the altcoin up at a discounted price, which will catalyze the breakout and an upswing. The resulting rally could propel AVAX price up by 70% to the first hurdle at $38.48 but could also extend up to $41.17.

In total, the move from $22.43 to $41.17 would almost double the price of Avalanche tokens, making it an amazing opportunity for patient investors.

AVAX/USDT 4-hour chart

AVAX/USDT 4-hour chart

While things are looking up for altcoins, a sudden downturn in Bitcoin price could ruin the bullish setups. The same holds true for Avalanche bulls as well; a four-hour candlestick close below $21.47 will create a lower low and invalidate the bullish thesis. 

This development could see AVAX price crash to $14.75, another high time frame support level.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA stalls as mixed signals limit recovery

Cardano steadies at $0.28 on Wednesday after failing to break through a key resistance zone over the weekend. Mixed signals from the derivatives and on-chain metrics suggest that ADA’s short-term outlook remains uncertain, limiting the scope for a recovery.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges.

Top Crypto Gainers: Jito drops, Morpho holds steady, Convex Finance climbs

Decentralized Finance (DeFi) tokens, including Jito, Morpho, and Convex Finance, rank among the top-performing crypto assets over the last 24 hours. Jito dips on Wednesday after rallying 22% the previous day on the launch of a new mainnet node.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: BTC bears aren’t done yet

Bitcoin (BTC) price slips below $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, remaining under pressure and extending losses of nearly 5% so far this week.