|

ThorChain Price Prediction: RUNE bulls prepare to reclaim $5.50

  • ThorChain price is planning to extend the gains after a full swing V-shaped recovery.
  • RUNE could make a 15% climb to $5.50, levels last tested on January 4 with technical and on-chain tailwinds.
  • Bitcoin and altcoin revival courses could drive the altcoin to recoup some of the ground lost in 2024.
  • The bullish thesis will be invalidated upon a break and close below the 50% retracement level of $4.34.

ThorChain (RUNE) price is trading with a bullish bias, completing a full swing V-shaped recovery after the steep dip in the first four days of February. It comes amid an altcoin revival recourse, inspired by Bitcoin (BTC) price breaking past the $45,000 psychological level. 

Also Read: THORChain price eyes 10% rally as RUNE bulls make a comeback

ThorChain likely to climb 15% soon

ThorChain (RUNE) price could extend the gains after a 10% climb that began when RUNE price pivoted around the 50% Fibonacci level of $4.34.

Multiple technical indicators and on-chain metrics support the bullish outlook. The Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) is moving up, a sign of rising momentum. Its position above 50 suggests a strong price strength, and a stance below 70 showing there is more room to the north before RUNE is considered overbought.

Also, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is moving above its signal line (orange band) edging toward positive territory. This hints at a possible bullish cycle incoming. The histogram bars of the MACD are flashing green, indicating a strong presence of bulls in the RUNE market. 

Increased buying pressure could see ThorChain price shatter resistance due to the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $4.77 followed by the 100-day SMA at $5.08.

Overcoming these blockades would clear the path for RUNE to make a 15% climb to hit $5.50, levels last seen on January 4. In a highly bullish case, the gain could see the altcoin hit the $6.00 psychological level. 

RUNE/USDT 1-day chart

On-chain metrics supporting ThorChain bullish outlook 

Several metrics from Santiment support the bullish thesis. For starters, the percentage of stablecoin total supply held by whales with more than $5 million is increasing. This points to growing intention to buy RUNE. The sentiment is corroborated by the soaring Tether (USDT) stablecoin market capitalization, also suggesting traders are leaning towards buying.

RUNE Santiment: Percentage of stablecoin total supply held by whales with more than $5 million, USDT market cap

Also, the social dominance and social volume metrics are recording significant upticks, suggesting an increasing number of RUNE mentions on crypto-related social media. These accentuate the bullish thesis. 


RUNE Santiment: Social dominance, social volume

On the flipside, early profit booking could cut the rally short, sending ThorChain price back to the 50% Fibonacci level of $4.38. A break and close below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis. 

In the dire case, the slump could send ThorChain price to the 200-day SMA at $3.35. 

Author

Lockridge Okoth

Lockridge is a believer in the transformative power of crypto and the blockchain industry.

More from Lockridge Okoth
Share:

Editor's Picks

Zcash Price Forecast: ZEC poised for a rebound as momentum recovers

Zcash is up 4% on Wednesday, extending the 4% rise from the previous day and paring Monday’s 8% loss. Grayscale’s ZEC-focused Exchange-Traded Fund is facing selling pressure, with over $5 million in outflows on Tuesday. The technical outlook for ZEC is now mixed, with a bearish bias as upside momentum gains strength.

Top 3 Price Predictions: BTC eyes $85,000, ETH holds support, XRP stabilizes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple show signs of recovery on Wednesday as buyers try to regain control after their recent market weakness. BTC extends its rebound toward the $85,000 resistance, while ETH and XRP find support around key levels.

Strategy (MSTR) bitcoin buying model faces scrutiny as STRC costs climb

Strategy’s STRC financing strategy increased its Bitcoin holdings in H1, but made its capital structure more expensive, prompting an examination of its effectiveness, according to a Tuesday report by K33. STRC recovered close to its $100 par value, closing at $99.90 after an extended period of heavy buybacks.

Bitcoin pressured by rising yields as equities draw strength from earnings expectations

Bitcoin is seeing a TradFi capital exodus as rising US Treasury yields weigh on digital assets, while equities draw strength from expectations of strong corporate earnings, according to Wintermute. The loss came as Bitcoin fell 3.2% last week, while Ethereum declined 7.0% and altcoins dropped 2.9%.

Bitcoin: Uptober or Rektober?
Bitcoin (BTC) price is down over 4% so far this week, trading below $83,000 at the time of writing on Friday as mounting selling pressure threatens to derail the seasonal “Uptober” rally. Profit-taking, a surge in long liquidations and weakening demand from institutional investors are weighing on BTC.