|

Litecoin price could double as LTC fundamentals scream “buy”

  • Litecoin price could blast off as multiple fundamental, technical, and on-chain indicators suggest that it is wildly undervalued.
  • Grayscale accumulated over 174,000 LTC in the last 30 days, while the price hasn’t moved much.
  • Whales holding 100,000 to 1,000,000 LTC have grown by 5.45%, showing interest in this cryptocurrency at the current price levels.

Litecoin price dropped nearly 40% during the market-wide crash on February 20. Now, new developments around LTC suggest that it could lift off soon.

Grayscale makes the most out of LTC dips

Grayscale has been active in each downswing Litecoin price has taken over the past month. The digital assets management firm has acquired 174,939 LTC, representing a 10% increase in its holdings within such a short period. 

Despite the substantial increase in buying pressure, Litecoin price has only moved 30%.

Usually, assets surge considerably in price after Grayscale begins to accumulate. For example, Stellar price saw a 107% increase after the company added 29 million XLM to its portfolio. 

Contradicting the “Grayscale effect,” Litecoin price has dropped by 28.33% since February 20, while the investment firm bought about 40,000 LTC. This divergence is the first of many indicators, suggesting that LTC’s market value is primed to breakout.

At the time of writing, the Grayscale Litecoin Trust (GLTC) is trading at a whopping 1,787% premium to the spot price of Litecoin, which puts GLTC at $3,284 per unit. The gap between the GLTC price and LTC’s spot price is an accurate representation of its demand.

Grayscale’s Litecoin holdings chart

Grayscale’s Litecoin holdings chart

Litecoin price is about to go parabolic

Litecoin price managed to bounce off from the 50-day moving average (MA) after taking a significant nosedive. Now, the Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential indicator presented a buy signal in the form of a green nine candlestick on the 1-day chart, suggesting that LTC is poised for higher highs.

This technical formation forecasts a one to four daily candlestick upswing. Slicing through the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $190 could propel Litecoin price to $230 or even $350.

LTC/USD 1-day chart

LTC/USD 1-day chart

The Market Value by Realized Value (MVRV) model adds credence to the bullish outlook. This on-chain metric is currently hovering at -9.79%, which can be considered as the “buy zone.”  The last time LTC’s 30-day MVRV was around this level, Litecoin price skyrocketed by 72%.

Litecoin MVRV 30-day chart

Litecoin MVRV 30-day chart

Moreover, the number of addresses holding between 100,000 to 1,000,000 LTC has increased by 5.45% since February 8. Roughly six new whales have joined the network within this short period. 
Such massive accumulation by large investors shows that they are interested in Litecoin at the current price levels.

Litecoin holder distribution chart

Litecoin holder distribution chart

Regardless of the bullish outlook, investors should note that a daily candlestick close below the $158 level could be catastrophic. The downswing May have the strength to kickstart a correction that extends up to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $136.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

Uniswap Price Forecast: UNI tests 200-day EMA supply amid renewed retail demand
Uniswap (UNI) edges higher near an immediate resistance at $3.88 on Tuesday. The native decentralized exchange (DEX) token is defying a broader correction in the cryptocurrency market, even as Bitcoin (BTC) falls toward $63,000 from its July highs around $67,000.
XRP slides amid risk-averse pressure and ahead of Fed rate decision
Ripple (XRP) continues to trade under increasing pressure on Tuesday. This marks the second consecutive day of declines, reflecting broader risk-off sentiment as investors appear to shift gears in anticipation of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision. On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged in the 3.50%-3.75% range.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP remain under pressure as risk-off sentiment persists
Bitcoin (BTC) is falling toward the immediate $63,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday, weighed down by continued risk-off sentiment. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), remain under pressure, trading below $1,900 and $1.10, respectively. Crypto market sentiment remains largely unresponsive and in the Fear territory, as reflected in the Fear & Greed Index.
Bitcoin price prediction: Is $60K back in focus as headwinds mount?
Bitcoin is falling towards 63k, at a 10-day low, as a sell-off in AI-linked stocks has hit risk sentiment, spilling over into cryptocurrencies and as investors look cautiously ahead to tomorrow's FOMC rate decision. Bitcoin is down 2.7% over the past 24 hours and more than 4% over the past seven days as it extends its pullback from 67k the July high reached last week.
Bitcoin: BTC holds firm, but the $100 Oil threat could change the game
Bitcoin (BTC) is modestly recovering, trading at $65,400 on Friday and holding firmly above the key support zone. US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) supported BTC’s modest recovery as they continued to attract institutional inflows through Thursday, pointing to the third consecutive week of inflows.