|

HBAR price set to crash 20% as 3 billion tokens will flood markets in March

  • Hedera Hashgraph price is set to devalue as supply increases in March.
  • HBAR will unlock 6.28% of supply after the vesting period.
  • Expect HBAR to hit $0.06 once unleashed supply has been absorbed.

Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) has bulls running for the hills as another vesting period is coming to an end in March. Throughout the next month, roughly 3 billion tokens will be unleashed in the markets, forcing supply to outpace demand. It is very simple in Economics 101 that if supply increases more than demand, the price must decrease also.

Hedera Hashgraph forces rethink about supply and demand

Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) is ringing the bell on the crypto school grounds in order to start giving bulls their first lesson in supply and demand. In March, roughly 3 billion tokens will be released after a vesting period. With roughly 6.28% of supply entering a free market, HBAR bulls will want to stay sidelined and await a coming price adjustment.

HBAR will see price devaluing under that oversupply toward $0.065 as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) needs to absorb the supply. It could even well be that $0.06 gets tested before the RSI reaches oversold. Once a new price equilibrium is reached, bulls will start to buy again and push price action back up.

HBAR/USD daily chart

HBAR/USD daily chart

With the already sharp decline of 18% since last week, a lot has been priced in already. Meanwhile, the economic data calendar is mild and calm for the rest of the week while geopolitical forces fade a bit into the background. Expect to see a bounce higher toward $0.085 as most of the additional supply has already been deducted from the current price action.

Author

Filip Lagaart

Filip Lagaart is a former sales/trader with over 15 years of financial markets expertise under its belt.

More from Filip Lagaart
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.