• Bitcoin's Accumulation Trend Score dropped to 0.21, suggesting a movement into the distribution stage.
  • The latest US economic data triggered notable sell-offs in both the stock and crypto markets.
  • BTC's MVRV ratio indicates that Bitcoin is yet to reach "extreme euphoria" in the current market cycle.

Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a 2% decline on Wednesday as the cryptocurrency market grapples with recent losses. On-chain data has indicated a shift in the accumulation of the leading cryptocurrency, suggesting that holders are increasingly selling their assets. Despite this shift towards distribution, Bitcoin's Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio suggests that the current market cycle has not yet reached its peak.

Bitcoin declines to $94K, stirs mixed sentiment among investors

Bitcoin stretched its decline into Wednesday, falling toward $94,000 and sparking over $134 million in liquidations, per Coinglass data.

On-chain data from Glassnode revealed that Bitcoin's Accumulation Trend Score dropped to near 0, indicating a shift in the market toward a distribution phase.

The metric approached a score close to 1 across most cohorts of holders during the rally between November and December, signaling steady accumulation. However, investors across all cohorts have slowly increased distribution in the past few days, with ultra-large holders leading the charge.

Bitcoin Trend Accumulation Score by Cohort

Bitcoin Trend Accumulation Score by Cohort. Source: Glassnode

The selling pressure may have been fueled by headwinds from stronger-than-expected US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) and job openings reported by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics for November 2024.

Likewise, Crypto analyst Markus Thielen stated in a recent memo that global liquidity shifts could threaten Bitcoin's bullish momentum. 

"Following the Trump re-election, the strengthening US dollar has tightened dollar-denominated liquidity, signaling the potential for a consolidation phase in the near term," Thielen wrote.

He noted that Bitcoin and risk assets may experience a temporary consolidation caused by the appreciation of the US dollar. This is also visible in the decline across the US stock market, signaling its growing correlation with Bitcoin.

Despite the recent sell-side pressure after Bitcoin reached an all-time high above $108,000, the top crypto may still have potential for higher price appreciation before the cycle ends.

Bitcoin's Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, which indicates the average profit or loss for all investors, has not yet reached the level of 3.2, which signifies "extreme euphoria," according to Glassnode data. For Bitcoin (BTC) to enter this state of extreme euphoria in the current cycle, it would need to reach a price of $132,000.

Bitcoin MVRV Pricing Bands. Source: Glassnode

Bitcoin MVRV Pricing Bands. Source: Glassnode

"BTC price has historically spent only ~5% of trading days above the 3.2 MVRV level," wrote Glassnode analysts. "This highlights how rare such peaks are and reinforces why it's often considered an 'extreme euphoria' zone."


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EOS 22% pump steals the show unveiling Vaulta’s web3 banking ecosystem

EOS 22% pump steals the show unveiling Vaulta’s web3 banking ecosystem

EOS, the token behind the recently rebranded Vaulta network, has increased by a staggering 22% in the last 24 hours.

More EOS News
Curve DAO Price Forecast: CRV bulls could aim for double-digit gains above key resistance

Curve DAO Price Forecast: CRV bulls could aim for double-digit gains above key resistance

Curve DAO (CRV) price is in the green, up 8%, trading above $0.53 on Thursday after rallying nearly 15% so far this week.

More Curve DAO News
Bitcoin price reacts as Gold sets fresh record highs after Trump’s reciprocal tariffs announcement

Bitcoin price reacts as Gold sets fresh record highs after Trump’s reciprocal tariffs announcement

Bitcoin price plunges towards $82,000 as Gold soars past $3,150 after US President Donald Trump imposed new tariffs on Israel and UK, triggering global markets turbulence.

More Bitcoin News
Bitcoin and top altcoins slide as Trump kicks off reciprocal tariffs

Bitcoin and top altcoins slide as Trump kicks off reciprocal tariffs

Bitcoin (BTC) and the entire crypto market saw a quick correction on Wednesday following President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariff announcements based on half of each country's respective rates.

More Cryptocurrencies News
Bitcoin: BTC remains calm before a storm

Bitcoin: BTC remains calm before a storm

Bitcoin's price has been consolidating between $85,000 and $88,000 this week. A K33 report explains how the markets are relatively calm and shaping up for volatility as traders absorb the tariff announcements. PlanB’s S2F model shows that Bitcoin looks extremely undervalued compared to Gold and the housing market.

Read full analysis
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Read More

BTC

ETH

XRP