|

Ethereum Classic Price Prediction: Six months of downtrend with no end in sight

  • Ethereum Classic price lost 22% of market value in December.
  • ETC has produced six consecutive months of downtrend price action.
  • A sweep-the-lows event targeting $12 is within reach and may require several weeks to invalidate the bearish outlook.

Ethereum Classic price continues to decline after several months of bearish force. Key levels have been identified to forecast ETC's next probable market move.

Ethereum Classic price under a strong bearish influence

Ethereum Classic price has been overwhelmingly bearish as the bears have produced six months of downtrend price action. The six-month slope that began in August 2022 took 60% of market value from the hands of long-term investors. December was no different as the ETC witnessed its strongest decline, a 22% loss since the start of the month.

Ethereum Classic price currently auctions at $15.90. The bulls are stifled by the bearish pressure as volume remains relatively low. The 8-day exponential moving average and 21-day simple moving average hover above the current auctioning price, confirming  ETC is in a downtrend. If market conditions persist, the $12.47 lows established on June 18 could be challenged. The ETC price would decline by another 22% as a result of the bearish scenario.

Traders should be wary of entering the market for any countertrend trades. On smaller time frames, the ETC price could continue to bounce back and forth between the aforementioned moving average indicators before the anticipated liquidation event occurs. 

tm/etc/1/3/22

ETC/USDT 1-Month Chart

Invalidation of the bearish thesis requires more time. A doji candlestick or bullish r candlestick into the $19 zone would need to be established to invalidate the monthly downtrend. 

If the scenario occurs, ETC could begin a countertrend rally toward the midway point of the six-month decline. The first target would be in the $24 region, resulting in a 50% increase from the current Ethereum Classic price. 

This video details how Bitcoin price moves could affect Ethereum Classic price

Author

Tony M.

Tony M.

FXStreet Contributor

Tony Montpeirous began investing in cryptocurrencies in 2017. His trading style incorporates Elliot Wave, Auction Market Theory, Fibonacci and price action as the cornerstone of his technical analysis.

More from Tony M.
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

World Liberty Financial recovers as community votes to unlock treasury funds for USD1 adoption

World Liberty Financial recovers over 3% on Friday, holding ground at a key support trendline. Community begins voting to unlock roughly 5% WLFI treasury funds to incentivize USD1 stablecoin adoption.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.