|

Do not be fooled by Bitcoin price as the weekly chart shows signs of descent with still 25% to go

  • Bitcoin price to close out the week in the green.
  • BTC however saw bulls unable to hold $30,000 and is fading further into the weekend.
  • With a declining pattern on the chart, next week will be vital as a sharp drop of 25% could be in the prospect for May.

Bitcoin (BTC) price could become proof of the general wisdom rule in financial markets that is known as the proverb "Sell in May and walk away." Looking at the candle stick formation from the past two weeks and adding this week's performance, it could spell trouble ahead. With lower highs and lower lows, the peak of April is fading and might see Bitcoin selling off in May towards $22,000.

Bitcoin price to embody the financial proverb "sell in May and walk away"

Bitcoin price must have had bulls all excited earlier this week as BTC popped back above $30,000. Unfortunately, that good news quickly got forgotten as later in the week, BTC faded and started to say goodbye to the level by nearing the lower end of $29,000. As such still nothing to worry about, except that the weekly chart reveals a clear bearish trend with lower lows and lower highs, confirming that bears are at work here.

BTC has one element that could be crucial going forward: the 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) that caught the decline during the week near$27,060. Once Bitcoin price starts to make lower lows next week, it will be clear that the 55-day SMA support was short-lived, and the decline is set to continue. Traders must brace themselves for a selloff that could go as far as $22,000 to find support near the 200-day SMA and drag Bitcoin price 25% for the month of May.

BTC/USD  weekly chart  

BTC/USD  weekly chart    

The simple three-week pattern could still get broken or erased when bulls can break back above $30,000. Ideally, the high of last week, near $30,580, needs to get broken to the upside in order to break this pattern and avoid a double-top formation. From there, it is only a sigh to head to $31,321 and enter a distribution zone that might alleviate Bitcoin price towards $33,000 by the summer.

Author

Filip Lagaart

Filip Lagaart is a former sales/trader with over 15 years of financial markets expertise under its belt.

More from Filip Lagaart
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.

Top Crypto Losers: Aster, Midnight, and Ethena extend losses as selling pressure mounts

Aster, Midnight, and Ethena are the altcoins with the most losses over the last 24 hours, as the broader cryptocurrency market weakens amid Bitcoin dropping below $86,000. ASTER, NIGHT, and ENA risk further losses as selling pressure mounts and risk-off sentiment spreads across the crypto market.

Ethereum Price Forecast: BitMine acquires 102,259 ETH as price plunges 5%

Ethereum (ETH) treasury company BitMine Immersion scaled up its digital asset stash last week after acquiring 102,259 ETH since its last update. The purchase has increased the company's holdings to 3.96 million ETH, worth about $11.82 billion at the time of publication.

Strategy scoops about $1 billion in Bitcoin for second consecutive week

Bitcoin (BTC) treasury and financial intelligence firm Strategy expanded its holdings following another round of weekly accumulation.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.