|

Cardano Price Prediction: ADA might pull back to $1.11 before heading higher

  • Cardano price pierced the July 18 swing high at $1.21, indicating a resurgence of buyers.
  • Although ADA might try to slice through $1.25, a retracement will likely evolve before tagging $1.37.
  • If the $1.11 support level is breached during its correction, it will invalidate the bullish thesis.

Cardano price has seen a quick run-up after approaching the trading range’s lower limit. While this uptick in ADA’s market value was obvious, investors should be aware of a minor pullback before the so-called “Ethereum killer” embarks on another leg up.

Cardano price contemplates retracement

Cardano price has rallied roughly 19% from its July 20 swing low at $1.02 to where it currently trades – $1.20. This run-up was an apparent turnout considering the previous reactions near the trading range’s lower limit.

The run-up sliced through the July 18 swing high at $1.21, collecting the buy stop liquidity. Although ADA could continue heading higher, a pullback seems plausible here. If the buyers continue to bid, the said correction will likely arrive after Cardano price sweeps above the $1.25 resistance level.

The down move might extend just above the support level at $1.11 before the buyers step in to rescue the so-called “Ethereum killer.”

The resulting uptrend will slice through the resistance levels at $1.25, $1.30 and attempt to tag $1.37. Such a move would constitute a 15% ascent from the current position.

If the bullish momentum continues to pour in, ADA might even tag $1.44, $1.50 and, in a highly bullish case, the range high at $1.61, a 33% leg up.

ADA/USDT 12-hour chart

ADA/USDT 12-hour chart

Supporting the short-term correction is IntoTheBlock’s In/Out of the Money Around Price (IOMAP) model. This on-chain metric reveals that “Out of the Money” investors are stacked close to the current position of Cardano price.

From $1.19 to $1.27, roughly 4.13 billion ADA that was purchased by nearly 224,000 addresses are underwater. Therefore, a climb into this area might be met with selling pressure from investors looking to break even.

ADA IOMAP chart

ADA IOMAP chart

On the flip side, things could turn unfavorable for Cardano price if the retracement breaches the $1.11 support level. A recovery above this barrier could avoid this bearish fate, but the bullish thesis will face invalidation if the buyers fail to reclaim the said barrier.

In such a case, there is a high chance ADA could drop 9% to retest the support level at $1.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

World Liberty Financial recovers as community votes to unlock treasury funds for USD1 adoption

World Liberty Financial recovers over 3% on Friday, holding ground at a key support trendline. Community begins voting to unlock roughly 5% WLFI treasury funds to incentivize USD1 stablecoin adoption.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.