|

Cardano Price Prediction: ADA anticipates bullish breakout

  • Cardano price consolidates between two converging trend lines, hinting at a volatile move soon.
  • A decisive 4-hour candlestick close above $1.40 confirms an uptrend, but a breakdown of $1.20 indicates a new downtrend.
  • ADA is likely to head lower, sweep the swing lows at $1.20 and then proceed higher.

Cardano price has been on a downtrend since June 3 without any substantial higher highs, suggesting that the bears are plaguing the markets. As ADA trades inside a tight range, it consolidates between two converging trend lines and anticipates a massive breakout.

Cardano price prepares fakeout

Cardano price was trading above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $1.47 until mid-June. However, this changed as ADA slid below it on June 18. Since then, the Cardano price action has been in the form of lower highs and higher lows, indicating a tightening of the range.

Typically, developments like these result in massive moves.

While the traditional breakout looks for the altcoin to slice through the inclined/declined trend lines, investors should pay close attention to the immediate swing points, which will help discern where ADA might be heading.

Assuming Cardano price breaks lower, it will tag the support level at $1.24. If the selling pressure continues to build up, ADA might sweep the lows at $1.20. This downswing collects liquidity, which is a telltale sign for the start of an upswing

Therefore, investors can expect a 10% correction and a sweep of $1.20, followed by a 16% uptrend that retests the resistance level at $1.40. Breaching this level opens the possibility of retesting the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $1.47.

ADA/USDT 4-hour chart

ADA/USDT 4-hour chart

The bullish thesis explained above will be in jeopardy if Cardano price fails to climb above $1.20. Such a move will reveal that the sellers are dominant and are absorbing the buying pressure.

In such a case, ADA will likely revisit the subsequent swing low at $1.11 from June 23. A breakdown of this barrier will invalidate the optimistic narrative and kick-start a downtrend that could push Cardano price to the range low at $1.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.