|

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can 200-week moving average bring support BTC desperately needs?

  • Bitcoin price losing 13% on Monday, breaks below $25,000 for the first time since December 2020.
  • Crypto analyst Justin Bennett predicted a significant pullback in Bitcoin price as crypto market capitalization takes a hit. 
  • Bennett argues Bitcoin is in the middle of a breakdown from a bearish continuation pattern. 
  • The analyst sets a downside target of $23,500, a 15% decline from the current price level for Bitcoin. 

UPDATE: The most pessimistic Bitcoin price predictions are turning into fulfilled prophecies as the whole crypto market is continuing to see aggravated losses on Monday after an abysmal weekend. BTC price has just broken below $25,000 for the first time since reaching this level back in the huge rally of December 2020. Several reasons are adding up to the major risk-off sentiment dominating most financial markets to put pressure on the cryptocurrency market, including highly leveraged markets, scams and collapses like the Terra one, and other stablecoin pegs under pressure like Tron's USDD. Therefore, the unwinding of such a historic rally continues and the big question is where will Bitcoin and the crypto market bottom out? Popular crypto twitter analyst and trader @RektCapital has a potential answer: the 200-week moving average. 

Bitcoin price continues to bleed as crypto market capitalization declines. Analysts believe Bitcoin and altcoins could witness further pullback in the short term. 

Bitcoin price is in the midst of a breakdown 

Justin Bennett, a leading crypto market analyst, told over 100,000 Twitter followers that the ecosystem could witness significant pullback, wherein Bitcoin and altcoins lose a massive chunk of their value. 

Bennett believes the Bitcoin price is in the midst of a breakdown from a bearish continuation pattern, and $1 trillion is a psychological level for the crypto community. The breakdown occurred today, where over 5% of the crypto market’s capitalization was wiped out, and nearly $950 billion was drained out of the ecosystem. 

Bennett argues that $1 trillion is the area that offers a crucial support level for the entire crypto market. He was quoted as saying:

[The] $1 trillion [level] was also the most heavily traded level during the early 2021 consolidation.

Crypto market capitalization in USD

Crypto market capitalization in USD

Bennett argues that altcoins will take the brunt of the correction. 

Bottom line: another 15% lower from the entire crypto market seems likely before we can start talking about the potential for relief. Remember that BTC will be the closest to that -15% mark. Alts, especially lower caps, will probably outpace it by 1.5-2x.

Bennett has predicted a 15% correction in Bitcoin price, where the asset hits a fresh yearly low of $23,500. Altcoins could lose 22.5% to 30% of their value. 

Analysts believe Bitcoin price could witness further correction

@BigCheds, a pseudonymous crypto analyst, evaluated the Bitcoin price chart and identified an inverted hammer. The analyst concluded that the pattern is bearish for Bitcoin price and expects a decline in BTC. 

BTC-USD chart

BTC-USD chart 

FXStreet analysts believe Bitcoin price could decline to the $12,000 level; for more information, watch this video:

Author

Ekta Mourya

Ekta Mourya

FXStreet

Ekta Mourya has extensive experience in fundamental and on-chain analysis, particularly focused on impact of macroeconomics and central bank policies on cryptocurrencies.

More from Ekta Mourya
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP pressured by weak ETF flows and declining retail interest

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower, trading above its intraday low of $1.32 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The decline from its weekly opening of $1.39 reflects heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, accentuated by tariff-triggered uncertainty.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP come under renewed pressure amid ETF outflows, tariff uncertainty

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are trading under increasing selling pressure at the time of writing on Tuesday, as market participants navigate renewed tariff uncertainty. The Crypto King holds above $63,000, down 2% intraday from its $64,656 open.

Bitcoin falls to two-week low as ETF outflows, tariff chaos weigh

Bitcoin price extends losses on Tuesday, ending a two-week consolidation phase. Risk-on sentiment fades amid growing uncertainty over Trump’s tariffs and rising US-Iran tensions, increasing downside risks toward $60,000.

Sui Price Forecast: SUI capitulates under pressure, opens the door to $0.70

Sui (SUI) declines by 3% at press time on Tuesday, extending the downside breakout of a short-consolidation range confirmed the previous day. Retail sentiment is bearish, as evidenced by increased long liquidations and a sharp drop in the funding rate. 

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: No recovery in sight

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade within a range-bound zone, hovering around $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, and falling slightly so far this week, with no signs of recovery.