|

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Further rangebound looks likely

  • USD/JPY stays consolidative above 107.00 so far.
  • Solid support emerges in the 106.00 neighbourhood.

USD/JPY is receding for the second session in a row at the end of the week, as the selling mood continues to hurt the greenback, mainly in response to month-end flows.

The resurgence of the US-China + Hong Kong effervescence promises to lend support to the demand for the Japanese safe haven amidst the expected “flight-to-safety” environment.

In addition, and despite the spread of the COVID-19 looks somewhat subsided, its impact of the global economy are far from abated. This is, at the same time, kind of limiting the selling pressure on the yen and leaves the upside in the cross limited by the 200-day SMA in the 108.30 region (the upper end of the prevailing consolidative theme).

Near-term Outlook

The rangebound mood in USD/JPY appears unchanged at least in the very near-term. Occasional bullish attempts should meet a solid barrier at the 108.30 zone, where sits the 200-day SMA; on the opposite side, May’s low in the 106.00 neighbourhood is expected to hold the downside for the time being. Furthermore, the broader risk appetite trends (coronavirus, re-opening of the economy, US-China trade) plus domestic issues (BoJ’s easing, economic recession) are predicted to keep driving the sentiment around the pair for the time being.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses traction and slips back to the area of daily lows near 1.1630 on the back of the incipient recovery on the US Dollar. On the data front, the ADP weekly report surprised to the upside in the week to November 15 (+4.75K jobs).

GBP/USD comes under pressure, targets 1.3300

GBP/USD is now facing renewed selling pressure and is giving away initial gains, trading at shouting distance of the 1.3300 region amid some pick up in the demand for the Greenback post-ADP data.

Gold trims losses, challenges $4,200

Gold maintains its bid bias on Tuesday, although it is now losing some momentum in response to the modest bounce in the US Dollar following firmer prints from the weekly ADP data. Meanwhile, investors continue to see the Fed lowering its interest rates on Wednesday. 

JOLTS Job Openings to provide fresh labor-market signals ahead of Fed decision

The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) will be released on Tuesday by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. Market participants anticipate that Job Openings reached 7.2 million in October.

Global economic outlook 2026: Financial system risk, trade, public debt

The global and European economies have been resilient in recent years even accounting for the modest global slowdown of 2025. But risks for the recovery are rising, underscoring a negative medium-run global macro and credit outlook.

Chainlink Price Forecast: LINK holds firm as reserves hit 16-month low

Chainlink (LINK) began the week on a stable footing, trading around $13.70 at the time of writing on Tuesday, holding above a key support zone. Growing ecosystem activity from declining exchange reserves to a wave of new integrations continues to strengthen the network’s fundamental outlook.