Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
EUR/PLN 1H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: The currency pair’s risks are skewed to the upside. EUR/PLN has recently broken through the three-and-a-half-month down-trend and has formed a bullish channel. The Euro is expected to rebound from a solid support area at 4.2970 and surpass this month’s high at 4.3127—the target is the upper boundary of the pattern, which is likely to be tested at 4.3230. The sentiment in the SWFX market (28% of positions are long and 72% are short), is in favour of Euro’s recovery. In case the price dips under the lower boundary of the channel, the focus will shift to the Apr 15 low and 200-hour SMA circa 4.29, while an additional demand area is supposed to be at 4.2840/30, created by the daily S2 and weekly S1.
USD/CAD 4H Chart: Channel Down
Comment: The outlook on USD/CAD is strongly bearish. Last month, the currency pair breached the 21-month trend-line, which paved the way for a test of the lowest level since October 2015, and the next prominent low is only at 1.2130, represented by the June 2015 minimum. At the same time, the upside is limited by a major down-trend that has been guiding the pair south since the end of January. Moreover, daily and weekly technical indicators also imply a sell-off. During this week, USD/CAD is likely to bounce off of 1.3040 and slide down to 1.2740/00, where it is going to find support provided by the monthly S1 and the lower boundary of the emerging bearish channel.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to gains above 1.0750 after US data
EUR/USD manages to hold in positive territory above 1.0750 despite retreating from the fresh multi-week high it set above 1.0800 earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to find demand following the weaker-than-expected NFP data.
GBP/USD declines below 1.2550 following NFP-inspired upsurge
GBP/USD struggles to preserve its bullish momentum and trades below 1.2550 in the American session. Earlier in the day, the disappointing April jobs report from the US triggered a USD selloff and allowed the pair to reach multi-week highs above 1.2600.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,300 despite falling US yields
Gold stays on the back foot below $2,300 in the American session on Friday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in negative territory below 4.6% after weak US data but the improving risk mood doesn't allow XAU/USD to gain traction.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Should you buy BTC here? Premium
Bitcoin (BTC) price shows signs of a potential reversal but lacks confirmation, which has divided the investor community into two – those who are buying the dips and those who are expecting a further correction.
Week ahead – BoE and RBA decisions headline a calm week
Bank of England meets on Thursday, unlikely to signal rate cuts. Reserve Bank of Australia could maintain a higher-for-longer stance. Elsewhere, Bank of Japan releases summary of opinions.