Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
USD/SEK 1H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: The US Dollar has been strengthening across the board lately, and as a result has formed several well-defined bullish channels in different major pairs. In case of USD/SEK, however, the Greenback is currently struggling to overcome resistance at 8.5257, represented by the August 26 high. Accordingly, we expect a sell-off from here, but the losses should be limited by the rising support trend-line at 8.45, where from the price is expected to start a recovery to the upper edge of the pattern at 8.60 (also Aug 19 high). At the same time, the rally is implied by the hourly and four-hour technical indicators. The SWFX sentiment is bullish, as 64% of open positions are long.
USD/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: USD/CAD continues to trade within the boundaries of the upward-sloping channel we spotted yesterday. Since then the currency pair has confirmed the lower trend-line, and it is therefore ready to surpass last week’s high at 1.32. Once above this level, there will be very few reasons for the pair not to reach the upper trend-line at 1.3280.
Alternatively, if 1.32 stays intact and USD/CAD slides under 1.3150, the sell-off will be expected to extend down to the weekly pivot point before it tests 1.3040, namely the Oct 23 low and long-term moving average. Meanwhile, the sentiment among the SWFX traders is neutral: 46% of positions are long and 54% are short.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
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