China’s government and investors will learn the truth of this eventually, but it may cost them a lot more in failed interventions along the way. The IMF added to tensions this afternoon, airing its belief that the ECB was less than wholly-committed to its QE programme; the Fund might be keen for the ECB to do more, but given the rise in the euro today it seems that markets do not expect them to bow to pressure at any point in the near future.
US earnings season and M&A activity continues to underwhelm Wall Street, which fell again in the early part of Monday’s session. The Dow hit its lowest level in almost six months this afternoon, with the situation not helped by a durable goods figure that was comfortably ahead of expectations. The ‘summer swoon’ goes on, as investors shrug their shoulders and ask why they should continue to back an aging rally which is increasingly led by just a few star performers, while everyone else seems to see their revenues beginning to slide. Throw in a Fed meeting this week that might finally pave the way for a rate hike and you have the ideal recipe for a sizeable correction in equities, one that might finally provide a reason to buy back in.
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