Investors in Asia are sitting on the sidelines as they cautiously await the outcome of high-level trade talks between the U.S. and China. With the earnings season almost coming to an end, asset prices will begin to fluctuate on daily news headlines. So far, it seems we have more positive than negative news which may continue to support equities.

President Donald Trump is willing to extend the trade deal deadline if the two parties seem to be coming closer to a resolution. A good outcome from the expected meeting on Friday between China's President Xi Jinping and his counterparts U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and trade representative Robert Lighthizer may further prolong the rally in global equities.

Mr. Trump also intends to sign a U.S.-Mexico border security deal despite the fact he's not happy with it. Any news on avoiding another shutdown is welcomed by the markets.

On the data front, U.S. consumer prices remained steady for a third straight month in January. Stable prices have led y-o-y CPI to grow at its slowest pace in one and a half years suggesting that the Fed may keep interest rates on hold for some time if the economic outlook deteriorates further. However, the Dollar reacted positively to the data, given that when excluding the volatile components such as food and energy, the core-CPI stood at 2.2%. Such information may be conflicting in a sense that headline inflation doesn't require further tightening in monetary policy, while core inflation indicates that we cannot rule out further hikes later this year.

Commodity currencies were the main beneficiaries of stronger than expected Chinese data earlier today. Chinese exports rebounded sharply in January rising 9.1% y-o-y beating consensus of a 3.2% decline by a wide margin. Imports, while dropping by 1.5%, also showed much better than the expected 10% decline. The Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar were up 0.5% at the time of writing.

The Euro continued to struggle despite the improved appetite to risk. The single currency tested 1.1249 earlier today on the back of a series of disappointing data releases and political uncertainty. The latest political drama comes from Spain, which is heading into a snap election following a budget defeat. If a right-wing coalition takes over, expect to see more troubles ahead in the Eurozone. Other factors that contributed to Euro weakness include the continued plummeting of German Bond Yields. All maturities below 10-years are currently in negative territory, while 10-year yields are just 12 basis points above the zero line, compared to 2.7% in the U.S. All eyes are going to be on German GDP today to see if the country manages to escape a technical recession. Meanwhile, the Eurozone economy is expected to have grown 0.2% in Q4.

Disclaimer:This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.

Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 90% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Analysis feed

Latest Forex Analysis

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD: Adds 8 pips in Asia, remains trapped in a bear flag

EUR/USD picked up a bid at 1.1084 at 00:00 GMT and rose to 1.1092 a few minutes before press time. As of writing, the currency pair is trading at 1.1089. The buyers failed to keep the pair above 1.11 for the third straight day on Wednesday.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD: Struggles between 10/21-DMA amid bullish MACD

Despite reversing from the 21-day simple moving average (DMA), GBP/USD remains above 10-DMA as it trades near 1.2134 during Asian session on Thursday. Supporting the pair’s upside is a bullish signal by 12-bar MACD.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY weaker near 106.50, focus on T-yields ahead of Powell

USD/JPY trades weaker near the 106.50 level, tracking the negative S&P 500 futures and a cautious sentiment on the Asian equities, as attention shifts from the FOMC minutes to the Fed's Powell speech for fresh direction. 

USD/JPY News

The Fed Minutes are Out, but Does It Matter?

The FOMC July 31st Minutes were released earlier today and the collective market seems to think the minutes are less dovish than expected! Gold was volatile right before the release.

Read more

Gold: Trapped in a symmetrical triangle

Gold is trapped in a narrowing price or a symmetrical triangle pattern, according to the 4-hour chart. The yellow metal rose to a six-year high of $1,353 per Oz on Aug. 13 and has charted lower highs and higher lows ever since.

Gold News

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures